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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Skilled Warriord 3y 24 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 49 | - | 43 (3) | 36 (4) | 39 (4) | 30 (5) | 32 (5) | 22 (4) | 12 (5) | 23 (3) | 10 (5) | 20 (3) | 31 | 31 | 11 | 39 | 20 | 25 | 3 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Flosses Versaced 2y 19 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 83 | 47 | - | 57 (1) | 54 (2) | 57 (1) | 34 (3) | 56 (1) | 41 (3) | 56 (1) | - | - | - | 100 | 62 | - | 62 | - | 26 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Grouchos Tysond 1y 26 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | 71 | 47 | - | 58 (1) | 52 (2) | 25 (4) | 25 (3) | 26 (2) | 31 (1) | 21 (4) | 31 (1) | 20 (4) | - | 37 | 35 | - | 35 | 20 | 25 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Naginib 3y 27 | S A Birks — 16% R221 W36 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 53 | - | 34 (4) | 50 (2) | 25 (5) | 21 (2) | 25 (4) | 20 (2) | 19 (4) | 19 (4) | 17 (5) | - | 38 | 39 | 37 | 39 | 20 | 27 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Skidrow Breezeb 1y 15 | J W Gaskin — 23% R325 W74 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 35 | 59 | - | 20 (4) | 22 (3) | 26 (3) | 24 (3) | 31 (1) | 20 (5) | 29 (1) | 22 (3) | 22 (4) | 25 (2) | 39 | 37 | 23 | 44 | 23 | 29 | 1 | 4/5F | |
Leads on composite at 29 with the field's outstanding speed rating of 59 — a massive 6 points clear of the next best. At D4 level the performance ratings are tightly bunched (20-23 across the rest of the field) so speed becomes a more meaningful differentiator. Form of 2,3,4,5,1 — won last time out at perf 31 after a poor run of form, which suggests a recent uptick. Drawn T6 which is the DOMINANT trap at D4 275m — winning 37.5% from 80 runs. That's more than double the expected rate and by far the strongest structural signal in the conditions data. Track suit 37, distance suit 44, and trap suit 39 are adequate. Trainer Gaskin at 16% is modest. The combination of dominant T6 (37.5%), outstanding speed (59), and a last-time-out win makes this a structurally compelling pick despite the low-grade uncertainties.
DANGER: Perfect trap suit (100) in a dominant trap (T3 at 28.2%). Best suitability across all dimensions (62/62/100). Best recent form (3,3,1,1,2). Low raw perf but structural case is compelling.
Slight improving trend (22→23 in last two) and Williams at 24%, but weak T2 draw, low speed (49), and modest ratings. Minor place chance at best.
Dominant T4 (24.6%) is the main asset but low ratings (P20, Spd47) and inconsistent small form sample limit confidence. The trap draw is the only thing keeping him in contention.
Second-best speed (53) and above-expected T5 draw, but poor form (4,5,2,4,5) and flat perf trajectory (14-19 range) limit prospects at D4.
T6 wins at 37.5% — more than double expected. Skidrow Breeze has the field-best speed from the dominant trap. T3 also dominant at 28.2% and Flosses Versace has a perfect TrpS of 100.
T1:16.6%(139) T2:16.0%(125) T3:28.2%(110) T4:24.6%(134) T5:20.0%(165) T6:37.5%(80)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.