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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Razldazl Ellab 4y 44 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 52 | - | 37 (5) | 55 (5) | 51 (4) | 42 (4) | 44 (5) | 46 (4) | 32 (1) | 31 (1) | 28 (3) | 39 (5) | 35 | 42 | - | 33 | 27 | 30 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Knockduff Markleb 5y 35 | S A Birks — 16% R221 W36 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | 33 | 50 | - | 19 (5) | 23 (4) | 27 (3) | 32 (1) | 22 (4) | 21 (4) | 28 (2) | 18 (5) | 27 (2) | 28 (3) | 30 | 33 | 19 | 34 | 24 | 27 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Fond Favouriteb 3y 13 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 46 | - | 20 (5) | 21 (5) | 24 (5) | 59 (1) | 37 (4) | 58 (1) | 52 (2) | 54 (1) | 31 (2) | 25 (4) | 49 | 45 | 16 | 39 | 39 | 41 | 1 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Links Batmand 3y 6 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 47 | - | 38 (1) | 24 (5) | 33 (3) | 26 (4) | 26 (5) | 25 (5) | 26 (5) | 27 (5) | 42 (1) | 30 (2) | 27 | 23 | 30 | 29 | 25 | 25 | 5 | 13/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ Reluctant Debb 2y 25 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 34 | 48 | - | 10 (5) | 28 (4) | 23 (5) | 33 (1) | 28 (3) | 32 (1) | 30 (2) | 19 (5) | 30 (2) | 29 (2) | 37 | 34 | 24 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 3 | 10/11F | |
| 6 | ▶ Absurdb 3yN/R 26 | S Watson — 31% R421 W129 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 59 | 68 | - | 32 (5) | 30 (5) | 59 (1) | 46 (4) | 43 (4) | 61 (1) | 58 (1) | 69 (4) | 43 (5) | 51 (2) | 63 | 45 | - | 35 | 52 | 50 | - | - | |
The clear class act in this D3 sprint. Absurd brings a performance rating of 52 — a full 13 points above the next best — and the field's standout speed rating of 68. A confirmed Fader (EP 63, CS 0), but at 275m on a sprint trip that's less of a concern since the race is too short for the fade to fully kick in. Form reads 4,1,1,4,5 with perf trend 43→61→58→69→43 — the last run was disappointing but the 69 peak two runs back shows genuine ability at this level. Trainer S Watson runs at 32% which is a strong-tier signal. Drawn T6 which wins 21.7% from 235 runs at D3 275m — above the 16.7% expected rate. Trap suitability of 63 confirms this dog has historically performed well from wide draws. The combination of class gap, speed, and trap suitability makes this the standout selection despite the Fader tag.
DANGER: Best pace profile for the trip (All-Rounder), second-best performance, solid suitability. Needs the class dog to falter.
Structural advantage from T1 (27.2%) offset by Closer pace profile at sprint distance. The dominant trap keeps her honest but pace profile is wrong for this trip.
Dominant T2 (23.8%) is a structural plus, but low performance (P24) and poor trap suit (30) suggest she won't capitalise. Others have stronger claims.
Lowest composite (25), poor track suit (23), declining form trajectory. The above-average trap draw is the only positive but it's not enough to overcome the class deficit.
Unknown pace profile, modest ratings (P28, Spd48), weak trap (T5 at 17.5%). Would need significant improvement to threaten.
Inside traps T1 and T2 dominate at D3 275m. Absurd drawn T6 at 21.7% is above expected and his class edge overcomes the slight positional disadvantage.
T1:27.2%(173) T2:23.8%(256) T3:18.3%(279) T4:21.2%(255) T5:17.5%(200) T6:21.7%(235)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.