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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Abigails Sunnyb 3y 24 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 30 (3) | 25 (5) | 40 (1) | 36 (2) | 36 (2) | 36 (2) | 33 (3) | 35 (2) | 36 (2) | 34 (2) | 48 | 41 | 51 | 65 | 33 | 39 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mahomesd 3y 26 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 27 (4) | 34 (3) | 26 (5) | 29 (3) | 28 (4) | 33 (3) | 28 (5) | 27 (4) | 41 (1) | 33 (3) | 26 | 42 | 32 | 45 | 35 | 36 | 3 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Slaine Lunab 3y 17 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 38 (2) | 42 (1) | 42 (1) | 29 (4) | 33 (3) | 30 (5) | 37 (1) | 35 (3) | 32 (3) | 24 (4) | 49 | 34 | 11 | 38 | 31 | 34 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ The Yellow Perild 5y 25 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 18 (5) | 40 (1) | 37 (1) | 28 (4) | 22 (6) | 36 (3) | 17 (5) | 37 (1) | 26 (4) | 26 (4) | 43 | 21 | 37 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Grouchos Gamed 2y 17 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 61 (5) | 30 (2) | 41 (1) | 41 (1) | 29 (4) | 26 (5) | 24 (4) | 35 (3) | 37 (1) | 31 (3) | 43 | 38 | - | 38 | 30 | 33 | 4 | 1/1F | |
Leads on composite at 39 in a very tight D2 sprint field. The standout factor is distance suitability of 65 — far and away the best in this field, confirming proven 275m form. Track suit 41 and trap suit 48 add further condition fit. Performance of 33 is modest but competitive for D2. Form of 3,5,1,2,2 includes a win and two placings from the last five, with perf trend 30→25→40→36→35 showing improvement after the 25 dip. Speed 44 is below some rivals but at 275m the speed rating is less predictive than early pace and trap position. Drawn T1 which is the DOMINANT trap at D2 275m — 26.6% from 214 runs, far above the 16.7% expected rate. The combination of dominant T1, exceptional distance suit (65), and adequate ratings makes this a solid pick. Trainer Calvert at 20%.
DANGER: Slightly better raw perf (35 vs 33) and decent speed (49). But neutral T2 with low trap suit and weaker distance fit than the pick. The main alternative.
Watson at 30% and strong T3 (23%) are genuine positives, but the form is declining steeply (23 last run). Best speed (51) may help at sprint distance but needs a form bounce.
Field-lowest speed (47), declining form (36→21 over five runs), weakest trap. Very hard to see involvement from this position.
Competitive D2 runner with decent T6 draw and two recent wins. But nothing in the profile surpasses the pick's structural advantages. Place chance.
T1 is the strongest trap at 26.6% from 214 runs. Abigails Sunny drawn T1 with field-best DS (65) is the strongest alignment. Multiple dominant traps here but T1 leads.
T1:26.6%(214) T2:18.8%(276) T3:23.0%(248) T4:17.1%(252) T5:25.2%(202) T6:21.6%(190)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.