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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Keefill Stormd 2y 7 | J W Gaskin — 23% R325 W74 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 71 | 53 | 48 | 33 (5) | 41 (3) | 59 (1) | 59 (1) | 30 (5) | 59 (1) | 47 (2) | 34 (4) | 55 (2) | 51 (2) | 50 | 41 | 45 | 37 | 48 | 46 | 1 | 4/5F | |
| 2 | ▶ Abigail Surpriseb 2y 110 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 85 | 44 | 49 | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 53 (2) | 44 (2) | 41 (5) | 46 (3) | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 37 (4) | 38 (5) | 40 | 39 | - | 56 | 43 | 44 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Gethoffameb 3y 16 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 40 | 48 | 37 (5) | 29 (6) | 30 (5) | 41 (4) | 39 (4) | 35 (5) | 48 (3) | 36 (4) | 36 (5) | 31 (4) | 64 | 44 | 20 | 41 | 43 | 45 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Millhouse Iand 3y 16 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | 76 | 51 | 52 | 44 (2) | 58 (1) | 50 (2) | 59 (1) | 41 (6) | 36 (4) | 42 (4) | 39 (3) | 47 (4) | - | 46 | 40 | 36 | 35 | 38 | 39 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Drumcrow Baled 4y 36 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 55 | 39 (5) | 49 (2) | 43 (3) | 44 (2) | 58 (1) | 37 (5) | 35 (5) | 39 (5) | 33 (5) | 52 (4) | 33 | 32 | 34 | 30 | 44 | 40 | 3 | 9/4 | |
Leads on composite at 46 in a very tight B4 field. A Closer (EP 46, CS 100) with performance of 48 — modest but field-best. Form of 2,2,4,2,2 is remarkably consistent — four 2nds from five with one 4th. The perf trend 51→49→44→47→47 mirrors that consistency: always competitive, never brilliant. Speed 53 is field-best and bend 48 is solid. Drawn T1 at 20.7% from 135 runs at B4 450m — above expected and advantageous for a Closer who can save ground on the rail through every bend. Trap suit 50 confirms he's capable from T1. Track suit 41 and distance suit 37 are adequate. Trainer Gaskin at 16% is modest. The consistency is the key asset — this dog shows up every time and the Closer profile suits Doncaster's fair track character.
DANGER: Dominant T3 (28.9% from 211 runs) with field-best trap suit (64) is a powerful structural case. But declining form (57→41→39) and lower perf (43 vs 48) temper confidence.
Improving form with a win last time and best distance suit (56), but drawn in one of the weakest traps (T2 at 17%). A place contender who'd be a stronger pick from a different box.
Field-lowest performance (38) with steep declining form (24, 23 in last two). Decent T4 draw but significantly outclassed. Would need drastic improvement.
Best raw speed (56) and bend (55) but a Fader from the weakest trap with sharply declining form. Will contribute to the early pace but likely to weaken in the closing stages.
T3 dominates B4 450m at 28.9% — nearly double expected rate from 211 runs. Gethoffame drawn T3 with TrpS 64 has powerful structural support. Tight composite spread (39-46) means structural factors carry extra weight.
T1:20.7%(135) T2:17.0%(159) T3:28.9%(211) T4:21.6%(176) T5:16.5%(200) T6:22.2%(198)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Keefill Storm | 46 | 100 | Closer |
2Abigail Surprise | 49 | 80 | Closer |
3Gethoffame | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Millhouse Ian | 52 | 23 | All-Rounder |
5Drumcrow Bale | 56 | 13 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.