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Owlerton Stadium 480
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dunbolg Formulad 2y 16 | H J Dimmock — 19% R169 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 69 | 65 | 55 (5) | 71 (3) | 46 (3) | 56 (6) | 93 (1) | 66 (2) | 70 (3) | 58 (1) | 59 (1) | 63 (1) | 53 | 63 | 63 | 47 | 63 | 60 | 2 | 8/13F | |
| 2 | ▶ Holding Blazed 2y 3 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 0 | 69 0 | 70 (4) | 75 (2) | 80 (3) | 77 (2) | 53 (3) | 46 (5) | 70 (3) | - | - | 65 | - | - | 62 | 65 | 64 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Oscar The Grouchd 4y 32 | W B L Hamilton — 33% R15 W5 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 80 | 49 | 48 (6) | 100 (6) | 89 (1) | 70 (1) | 55 (2) | 74 (6) | 78 (4) | 82 (2) | - | - | 75 | 68 | - | 47 | 82 | 75 | 1 | 9/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Mossrich Mossyd 2y 4 | E O Driver — 21% R319 W66 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 66 | 72 (2) | 36 (2) | 45 (6) | 57 (5) | 58 (4) | 58 (5) | 74 (2) | 64 (2) | 80 (1) | - | 36 | - | - | 25 | 64 | 52 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Catunda Maurab 3y 15 | S Naylor — 15% R68 W10 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 75 | 43 (6) | 56 (4) | 47 (2) | 42 (1) | 35 (3) | 30 (5) | 30 (4) | 44 (5) | 45 (4) | - | 6 | 52 | 43 | 48 | 44 | 41 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Carakeel Expressd 2y 15 | D L Fretwell — 16% R162 W26 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 11 | 0 | 78 (2) | 59 (5) | 72 (3) | 87 (1) | 90 (1) | 89 (1) | 87 (1) | 54 (4) | 62 (3) | 70 (3) | 19 | 48 | 14 | - | 69 | 57 | 6 | 11/1 | |
The standout runner on this card and the predicted winner with a compelling case. AvgPerf 82, speed 80, bend 49 — the first two numbers are field-best by a distance. T3 is the DOMINANT trap at 480m IV, winning an extraordinary 41.2% from 17 runs. Track suit 68, trap suit 75 are both excellent. Fader (EP 74, CS 0) but with EP 74 he'll be prominently placed early, and at 480m from the dominant T3 draw, front-runners hold more often. Trainer Hamilton at 50% is elite. All five recent races are trial wins (P1 repeatedly at Sheffield 280m and Nottingham 305m) suggesting this is a young dog of serious promise stepping into competition. His single graded run — P6(100) at Sheffield 500m OR — produced a perf of 100 despite finishing last, which is unusual and suggests the perf model values his raw speed. The class gap over this field (82 avgPerf vs next-best 65) is overwhelming — 17 points above the next runner. This is a genuine convergence of class + structure + trainer.
DANGER — two Sheffield 480m IV wins from T1, the second-best draw. EP 100 on a front-runner trip from the inside rail. Only Oscar The Grouch's class advantage separates them.
Monmore form doesn't translate to Sheffield — zero track suit, speed 35, bend 0. Closer profile at 480m where front runners dominate is structurally wrong.
Trial graduate with zero Sheffield experience. Closer at 480m from a neutral draw with poor speed (31) limits him to a learning run.
Zero wins from T5 at these conditions from 10 runs. Despite EP 100 and decent speed/bend, the structural death sentence from T5 cannot be overcome.
A2 class is genuine (perf 87, 86) but distance switch to 480m (suit 0), dead T6 trap (5.9%), and zero bend rating make this a severe structural mismatch.
Very low sample sizes (83 runs total) limit reliability, but T3 and T1 dominate. T5 has ZERO wins from 10 runs. LOW SEPARATION in composite ranks (R1 16% vs R2 26%) but this is noise from tiny samples. Speed rank 1 at 31.3% is the strongest signal.
T1:33.3% T2:12.5% T3:41.2% T4:18.2% T5:0.0% T6:5.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dunbolg Formula | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Holding Blaze | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Oscar The Grouch | 74 | 0 | Fader |
4Mossrich Mossy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Catunda Maura | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Carakeel Express | 26 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.