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Meet The Stars
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dusty Pathb 2y 4 | K Hodson — 20% R255 W51 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 81 (2) | 56 (3) | 74 (2) | 69 (2) | 75 (1) | 50 (4) | 56 (3) | 65 (2) | 67 (2) | 56 (3) | 60 | 44 | 23 | 37 | 58 | 54 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Traffic Controld 1y 11 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 49 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 46 | 65 | - | 47 | - | 18 | 6 | 15/8 | |
| 3 | ▶ Avongate Glossb 3y 9 | M A P O'donnell — 19% R293 W55 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 54 (5) | 44 (5) | 50 (5) | 49 (4) | 47 (5) | 77 (1) | 73 (1) | 61 (3) | 56 (4) | 73 (1) | 32 | 42 | - | 37 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Troubled Waterb 4y 27 | S Naylor — 15% R68 W10 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 51 (4) | 55 (3) | 41 (6) | 57 (4) | 53 (3) | 53 (4) | 50 (4) | 59 (3) | 58 (2) | - | 43 | 36 | 22 | 32 | 57 | 50 | 3 | 14/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Slippy Sorengb 3y 13 | M A P O'donnell — 19% R293 W55 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 46 | 71 (1) | 58 (2) | 39 (6) | 45 (5) | 21 (5) | 46 (5) | 40 (4) | 43 (5) | 66 (4) | - | 39 | 30 | - | 31 | 55 | 47 | 4 | 25/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Feora Corab 4y 13 | D L Fretwell — 16% R162 W26 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 58 | 56 (4) | 52 (4) | 57 (5) | 53 (3) | 70 (1) | 57 (2) | 27 (3) | 44 (5) | 42 (5) | 50 (5) | 39 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 62 | 52 | 2 | 7/2 | |
The predicted winner from T1, the DOMINANT trap at 23.5% from 353 runs at A5 500m. Closer (EP 47, CS 78, consistency 87) with the best avgPerf in the field at 58. Form has been consistent at A4/HP level — P2(67) HP→P3(56) HP→P4(51) A4→P3(54) A4→P3(60) A4. She's been placing regularly without winning, but the drop indicators suggest she's competitive at A5. Trap suit 60 is the best in the field — proven T1 affinity. Track suit 44 and distance suit 37 are moderate. Speed 57 is field-best. Trainer Hodson at 18% is standard. The case is built on structural convergence: dominant T1 draw + field-best perf + field-best speed + best trap suit. In a LOW SEPARATION race where ratings barely separate dogs, these structural factors become the primary signal. The moderate closing profile (EP 47, CS 78) means she won't be last — she'll track mid-pack and close through the final two bends.
DANGER — three consecutive wins and the best form trajectory in the field. T6 is not dead at Sheffield 500m A5 (19.4%). Mild Fader who won't completely weaken. The form says she's the one to beat.
Trial graduate with zero graded form. Will lead early with EP 92 but likely fades to nothing at A5 level. Pace-setter only.
Above-average T3 draw helps structurally but form at graded level (two last places) doesn't support competitive involvement. Needs improvement to feature.
Proven winner at these exact conditions (P1 perf 71 at A5 500m) but inconsistent follow-up form and below-average T4 draw limit confidence.
Stepping up from A6/A7 wins to A5 from the dead T5 trap. Below-average speed, suitability, and structural position make a winning effort unlikely.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 20.0% vs R3 16.3% = 3.7pp. Ratings are near-noise at A5. T1 dominant at 23.5% from 353 runs. T6 at 19.4% is above average — not dead despite being widest. Trap position and form trends should lead the analysis over raw perf differences.
T1:23.5% T2:16.4% T3:21.2% T4:15.8% T5:14.8% T6:19.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dusty Path | 47 | 78 | Closer |
2Traffic Control | 92 | 0 | Fader |
3Avongate Gloss | 53 | 47 | All-Rounder |
4Troubled Water | 45 | 76 | Closer |
5Slippy Soreng | 43 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Feora Cora | 57 | 42 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.