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Bet St George Gymcrack Trial Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Holding Hollieb 1y 12 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 85 | 46 | 81 (2) | 83 (2) | 98 (1) | 71 (2) | 44 (6) | 71 (2) | 61 (3) | 71 (2) | 83 (1) | 72 (2) | 77 | - | - | - | 78 | 78 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Buddyd 2y 15 | E Soppitt — 38% R24 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 78 | 38 (6) | 66 (4) | 51 (2) | 55 (5) | 94 (1) | 95 (5) | 91 (1) | 95 (1) | 69 (1) | - | 83 | 70 | 50 | 30 | 82 | 75 | 1 | 1/5F | |
| 3 | ▶ Blow Outb 2y 13 | D L Cross — 18% R116 W21 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | - | 46 (1) | 52 (4) | 47 (1) | 60 (3) | 42 (2) | 55 (4) | 44 (3) | 47 (1) | 51 (4) | 61 (2) | 8 | 65 | 15 | - | 52 | 47 | 4 | 9/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Holding Aerod 2y 25 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 21 | 36 | 93 (1) | 78 (2) | 69 (4) | 81 (2) | 56 (5) | 89 (1) | 63 (1) | 65 (5) | 92 (1) | 84 (1) | 31 | - | - | - | 75 | 60 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Cokob 2yN/R 33 | E O Driver — 21% R319 W66 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 25 | 69 (4) | 59 (5) | 55 (5) | 95 (1) | 92 (1) | 88 (1) | 74 (2) | 64 (4) | 89 (1) | 85 (1) | 1 | - | - | 64 | 74 | 59 | - | - | |
The predicted winner with the highest composite (75) and best suitability package. AvgPerf 82 is field-best. All-Rounder (EP 46, CS 16) with tactical flexibility. Recent form: P1(22) Sheffield 480m trial→P1(24) Sunderland 450m trial→P5(55) Monmore 480m OR1→P1(94) Monmore 480m OR→P1(23) Monmore 480m trial. That P1(94) at Monmore OR is a stellar performance showing top-grade ability. Trainer Soppitt at 47% is elite — the same handler as Sunnyside Cairo in R2. Track suit 70, distance suit 30, trap suit 83 are interesting — outstanding trap affinity from T2, strong track suit but moderate distance suit. Speed 62 and bend 78 are both strong — bend 78 is the second-best and will help through Sheffield's bends. The T2 draw at 10.5% is a structural headwind, but trap suit 83 suggests this dog individually performs well from T2 despite the aggregate data. With avgPerf 82, elite trainer, and the best suitability convergence, the class should overcome the trap disadvantage.
DANGER — A3 class with field-best speed (85) from the dominant T1 draw. Zero Sheffield experience is the only risk. If the venue translates at all, she wins.
280m sprinter with no 500m form. Distance suit 0, inflated speed, and the weakest competitive perf in the field. The distance switch is too severe.
High-class Monmore runner (perf 92) from the dominant T4 draw but zero Sheffield experience. Could easily feature if the venue translates, but the data gives no confidence.
Genuine A1 class but dead T5 trap, trap suit 1, and zero Sheffield form create an insurmountable structural barrier. Can be opposed despite the raw ability.
T4 and T1 dominate at 500m IV — but the predicted winner is from T2 at 10.5%, a structural headwind. The class gap (avgPerf 82 vs field) may be sufficient to overcome the trap disadvantage.
T1:28.0% T2:10.5% T3:15.4% T4:30.4% T5:7.1% T6:5.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Holding Hollie | 64 | 38 | Fader |
2Ballymac Buddy | 46 | 16 | All-Rounder |
3Blow Out | — | — | No data |
4Holding Aero | 54 | 62 | Closer |
5Ballymac Coko | 1 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.