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Ryan & Parker's Birthday Bash
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumdoit Rosieb 2y 5 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 21 | 32 (2) | 29 (3) | 31 (2) | 32 (2) | 29 (2) | 32 (2) | 31 (2) | 29 (4) | 40 (1) | - | 51 | 55 | 23 | 51 | 34 | 40 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Drumdoit Pixieb 2y 7 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 32 (2) | 40 (1) | 32 (3) | 32 (3) | 34 (2) | 29 (2) | 40 (1) | 23 (5) | 30 (4) | 41 (1) | 50 | 43 | 31 | 43 | 32 | 37 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Trickys Popeyed 4y 28 | R Holt — 15% R40 W6 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 100 | 36 (1) | 30 (5) | 37 (1) | 36 (2) | 37 (2) | 32 (5) | 45 (5) | 41 (6) | 48 (5) | 75 (1) | 73 | 33 | 30 | 73 | 41 | 48 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lifes A Beachb 3y 16 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 29 (5) | 32 (6) | 35 (4) | 27 (2) | 36 (6) | 30 (5) | 35 (1) | 22 (3) | - | - | 49 | 36 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 35 | 6 | 9/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Tee Emgee Foxyb 3y 28 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 100 | 100 (1) | 71 (5) | 37 (2) | 32 (3) | 39 (3) | 32 (4) | 35 (2) | 35 (2) | 30 (4) | 32 (5) | 46 | 45 | 47 | 44 | 33 | 37 | 2 | 5/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Ivy Hill Sanchod 3y 110 | M A P O'donnell — 19% R293 W55 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 33 | 81 (1) | 41 (1) | 58 (4) | 62 (4) | 36 (5) | 31 (4) | 27 (5) | 66 (2) | 49 (5) | 85 (1) | 35 | 50 | 14 | 11 | 60 | 50 | 3 | 7/2 | |
The predicted winner with the best suitability convergence. Distance suit 73 is field-best by a distance — he knows this trip inside out. Trap suit 73 is equally outstanding from T3. Track suit 33 is moderate. Closer (EP 48, CS 94) which is normally a concern at 280m sprints, but CS 94 is near-perfect closing ability and EP 48 means he's not completely dead early. Form reads P1(37) D3→P2(36) D2→P2(37) D2→P5(31) D1→P1(25) trial — won at D3 last time suggesting he's been competitive a grade higher. AvgPerf 41 is field-best along with the highest speed (62) and best bend (100). Trainer Holt at 35% is strong and the key positive — a quality handler who places dogs to win. In a LOW SEPARATION race where ratings mean nothing, the convergence of best speed + best suitability + strong trainer is the most reliable indicator.
DANGER — maximum EP and bend from an above-average trap. The textbook sprint profile in a low-separation race. Will lead and may hold.
Inside rail advantage helps but below-average perf (34) and inconsistent form trajectory limit her to minor place claims at best.
Below-average runner with no pace profile data. One win from recent form but the overall level (avgPerf 32) doesn't suggest she can feature consistently.
Best trap structurally (T4 at 23.3%) but weakest runner by avgPerf (31) and class suit (9). Structural advantage wasted on a below-grade dog.
Massive class edge (avgPerf 60 vs field avg ~35) but wrong distance (suit 11), wrong trap (T6 at 16.1%), and Closer profile at 280m. The structural mismatch is too severe despite the ability gap.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 22.4% vs R3 21.9% = 0.6pp gap. Ratings are noise at D2 280m. Trap bias is relatively flat with T4 marginally best. Speed rank 1 at 24.0% is the strongest signal — the fastest dog wins most often at sprint distance.
T1:21.1% T2:20.9% T3:17.4% T4:23.3% T5:21.2% T6:16.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.