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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Harton Whirlwindd 1y 15 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 34 | 68 (3) | 54 (5) | 78 (3) | 63 (3) | 62 (3) | 79 (1) | 61 (2) | 69 (2) | - | - | 56 | 59 | - | 51 | 66 | 62 | 1 | 1/1F | |
| 2 | ▶ Marlfield Levid 2y 2 | C Handford — 33% R18 W6 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 49 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 63 | - | 61 | - | 17 | 4 | 11/8 | |
| 3 | ▶ Croagh Patrickd 3yN/R 14 | C Handford — 33% R18 W6 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 55 | 47 (6) | 40 (4) | 35 (1) | 54 (2) | 72 (4) | 44 (2) | 64 (6) | 62 (3) | 70 (2) | - | 48 | 45 | 42 | 49 | 61 | 56 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ringsend Rihannab 3y 17 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 57 | 74 (2) | 62 (3) | 53 (4) | 75 (1) | 57 (3) | 56 (4) | 52 (3) | 51 (5) | 48 (5) | 78 (1) | 40 | 39 | 15 | 33 | 50 | 46 | 3 | 10/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Jaykay Sevend 2y 14 | K Hodson — 20% R255 W51 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 44 (5) | 60 (4) | 78 (1) | 55 (5) | 67 (6) | 99 (1) | 85 (3) | 64 (4) | 68 (2) | 68 (4) | 26 | 55 | - | 63 | 73 | 64 | 2 | 9/2 | |
The predicted winner from T1, the DOMINANT trap at 23.7% at A3 500m from 148 runs. Closer (EP 48, CS 64, consistency 79) with the best suitability package in the field — track suit 59, distance suit 51, trap suit 56 are all the strongest numbers on display. AvgPerf 66 is the second-best behind Jaykay Seven's 73. Recent form: P3(63)→P3(62) A3→P1(79) A4→P2(61) A4→P2(69) A4. Two A4 wins and an A3 3rd suggest she's competitive at this grade. The P1(79) at A4 is a strong peak. Trainer Draper at 28% is moderate-tier. Speed 54 and bend 34 are decent speed but below-average bend. In a LOW SEPARATION race where ratings mean little, the convergence of dominant T1 + best suitability + proven A3/A4 form provides the most reliable basis for a pick. EP 48 means she won't be dead last — she'll track mid-pack from the rail and close through the final bends with CS 64.
DANGER — near-max EP will have him leading by lengths. P2(72) at A3 proves grade competitiveness. The question is whether the Closers catch him before the line.
Trial graduate stepping into A3 — the toughest graded race on the card. Zero competitive evidence makes any assessment speculative. Too raw for this level.
Inconsistent form with one flattered A4 win. CS 5 means he'll weaken from mid-race. A grade too high at A3 — likely mid-pack at best.
Best avgPerf (73) but dead T5 at 11.1% in a low-separation race where structural factors dominate. The class is there but the position prevents conversion. Place claim only.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 19.5% vs R3 15.9% = 3.6pp. Ratings barely separate at A3. T1 dominant at 23.7%. T5 DEAD at 11.1% from 162 runs. In this race, the T1 draw and suitability should lead the analysis.
T1:23.7% T2:20.4% T3:20.0% T4:19.6% T5:11.1% T6:17.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Harton Whirlwind | 48 | 64 | Closer |
2Marlfield Levi | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Croagh Patrick | 98 | 0 | Fader |
4Ringsend Rihanna | 62 | 5 | Fader |
5Jaykay Seven | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.