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Orchestrate Ladies
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fabulous Soniqueb 4y 44 | M A Wallis — 34% R88 W30 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 41 | 49 (5) | 85 (1) | 70 (4) | 92 (3) | 72 (3) | 81 (2) | 100 (2) | 100 (2) | 66 (5) | 99 (2) | 72 | 41 | 61 | 43 | 83 | 72 | 1 | 11/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ Sporting Boogieb 2y 14 | F J Gray — 20% R353 W71 P188 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 53 (5) | 72 (3) | 75 (3) | 72 (3) | 60 (6) | 66 (3) | 58 (5) | 61 (5) | 53 (6) | 29 (3) | 41 | 59 | 10 | 56 | 45 | 47 | 4 | 11/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Jazzy Belleb 2y 34 | K R Hutton — 27% R121 W33 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 66 (3) | 89 (1) | 75 (3) | 90 (1) | 80 (2) | 83 (3) | 64 (4) | 74 (4) | 65 (5) | 60 (3) | 4 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 78 | 58 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Newinn Tonicb 2y 18 | M A Wallis — 34% R88 W30 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 67 | 72 (2) | 42 (6) | 87 (1) | 92 (1) | 92 (1) | 61 (4) | 78 (2) | 67 (5) | 59 (6) | 92 (1) | 25 | 62 | 45 | 54 | 79 | 68 | 2 | 5/6F | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Mistb 3y 25 | H J Dimmock — 19% R172 W33 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 14 | 46 | 55 (3) | 48 (5) | 44 (6) | 64 (2) | 62 (3) | 53 (4) | 63 (4) | 74 (2) | 69 (3) | 53 (4) | 9 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 66 | 48 | 5 | 50/1 | |
Fabulous Sonique tops the prediction with the field's best avgPerf at 83, confirmed by a career that includes a P100 win, P93 at Romford 575m OR, and P81 from strong OR company. She's a confirmed Closer (CS 100) who runs rails-to-middle, perfectly suited to the T1 rail at Towcester 500m where the dominant draw (20.26% from 153 runs) saves ground through every bend. Her trap suit of 72 is exceptional — the highest in the field — confirming she thrives from this specific position. Track suit 41, distance suit 43, and class suit 61 all add to the picture of a dog who belongs at this level at this venue. Trainer Wallis at 38% is strong-tier. The concern is her recent competitive form: P70 (4th, crowded at bends 1 and 3) was below her usual standard, and before that a P24 trial. Her speed (50) and bend (41) are mid-field, so she relies on the pace coming back to her rather than closing ground under her own power. With Newinn Tonic's back-to-back P93 wins setting genuine pace ahead, the Closer dynamic should work — but she needs a clean run to deploy her class advantage.
DANGER — the strongest current form on the card with back-to-back P93 Towcester 500m OR wins. Field-best speed (61) and bend (67) from the dominant T4 draw. Wallis at 38%. The only reason he's not the pick is the model ranks Fabulous Sonique's higher avgPerf above his recent form. A genuine alternative pick — would not be surprised at all if he makes it three in a row.
Mainly trial form stepping into an OR field — the class gap is enormous. EP 100 means he'll show pace early but will likely weaken when genuine OR dogs like Newinn Tonic and Fabulous Sonique engage. Outclassed at this level.
Genuinely talented (P89 OR win at Oxford) but drawn in the dead T3 (14.37%) with trap suit 4. The Front Runner profile means she'll be involved early but the structural headwind from T3 makes it hard to win. More likely to set up the race for others.
Speed 14 is catastrophically low for OR company — field-worst by 25 points. The Closer profile is right for the race shape but she can't close ground she can't physically run fast enough to cover. Weak suitability across every dimension. Hard to see a path to the frame.
976 runs. LOW SEPARATION at OR: R1 18.07% vs R3 14.29%. Fabulous Sonique's AP 83 is field-best by 4 points with excellent T1 trap suit 72. But Newinn Tonic's back-to-back P93 wins represent the best recent form at this CD. A genuine pick vs form debate.
T1:20.26%(153) T2:20%(175) T3:14.37%(174) T4:21.88%(160) T5:16.46%(164) T6:13.33%(150)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fabulous Sonique | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Sporting Boogie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Jazzy Belle | 100 | 50 | Front Runner |
4Newinn Tonic | 50 | 21 | All-Rounder |
5Ballymac Mist | 3 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.