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Star Sports & Orchestrate Ltd English Greyhound Derby Trial Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Beatties Shined 1y 36 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 56 | 46 (5) | 71 (4) | 58 (5) | 67 (5) | 79 (2) | 53 (5) | 75 (2) | 91 (1) | 54 (5) | 51 (5) | 26 | 18 | 39 | 18 | 70 | 53 | 3 | 25/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Swords Styled 2y 7 | G D Holland — 27% R30 W8 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 73 (4) | 94 (1) | 65 (1) | 96 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | - | - | - | - | 3 | 5 | 8/11F | |
| 3 | ▶ Salacres Luciab 1y 16 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 53 | 58 (5) | 57 (4) | 66 (4) | 93 (1) | 34 (5) | 42 (1) | 33 (2) | - | - | - | 51 | 51 | 30 | 30 | 54 | 51 | 2 | 12/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Bower Aoibhinb 2y 38 | M A Wallis — 34% R88 W30 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 41 | 70 (4) | 56 (5) | 82 (1) | 65 (3) | 52 (5) | 86 (1) | 53 (4) | 71 (3) | 69 (2) | 91 (1) | 7 | 42 | 44 | 34 | 77 | 60 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Rebel Alaskad 2y 14 | K R Hutton — 27% R121 W33 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 37 | 58 (5) | 95 (1) | 93 (1) | 72 (3) | 79 (2) | 66 (4) | 64 (5) | 100 (1) | 91 (2) | 100 (1) | 51 | 35 | 14 | 23 | 81 | 65 | 1 | 15/8 | |
Rebel Alaska tops the prediction with the best avgPerf in the field at 81, comfortably ahead of Bower Aoibhin (77) and Farneys — but that headline number masks a concerning recent trajectory. Her last two competitive Towcester 500m OR runs read P66 (4th, 'Wide,SAw,Crd') and P64 (5th, 'MidToWide,Crd1/4&1/2&4') — she was wide and crowded in both, costing significant ground. Before that, three trial wins (P24, P26, P26) at various tracks show she was being prepared for this Derby Trial, but trials don't tell us much about competitive ability. Her Fader profile (EP 72, CS 0) combined with a wide running style is concerning at 500m — she habitually runs wide, and at a track where T1 has the structural rail advantage, running wide from T5 means giving away ground through every bend. Speed 53 is solid and trap suit 51 is decent, suggesting she can perform from T5. Track suit 35 and distance suit 23 indicate some Towcester form but nothing dominant. Trainer Hutton at 38% is strong-tier. The case for: her raw class (avgPerf 81) is 4 points above anyone else, and if she gets a clean run without the crowding that marred her last two runs, that class can prevail. The case against: she's been wide and crowded twice, the Fader profile punishes wide runners at 500m, and T5 is structurally neutral at 16.46%.
DANGER — the T1 rail advantage at Towcester 500m is a major structural plus, and her P80 on debut here showed she handles the track. EP 84 from T1 means she'll lead through the first bend, and if she builds enough of a lead early, the Fader profile might not matter. Main danger to the pick.
Debutant in a Derby Trial with zero form data. The T2 draw is the only positive. Cannot be assessed against a field of proven OR-grade dogs — one to watch but impossible to back with confidence.
Has the highest last performance (P93) but the wider form profile (P34, P42, P33) suggests that was an outlier. Dead T3 draw adds structural headwind. If she reproduces the P93 she wins, but the balance of evidence suggests she can't. Frame contender but risky as a pick.
Proven Towcester OR form (P92 win, P71, P69, P66) in the strongest structural draw. But trap suit 7 signals she hasn't capitalised from T4 before. The Closer profile suits 500m but mid-field speed means she needs pace ahead. Strong frame contender but the trap suitability mismatch tempers confidence.
976 runs. LOW SEPARATION at OR: R1 wins 18.07% vs R3 at 14.29% — just 3.78pp gap. This is a Derby Trial so the field quality is high. T4 and T1 are structurally dominant. Closers have a genuine chance at this distance on this galloping track.
T1:20.26%(153) T2:20%(175) T3:14.37%(174) T4:21.88%(160) T5:16.46%(164) T6:13.33%(150)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Beatties Shine | 84 | 0 | Fader |
2Swords Style | — | — | No data |
3Salacres Lucia | 28 | 100 | Closer |
4Bower Aoibhin | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Rebel Alaska | 72 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.