Loading...
The Matchbook Betting Exchange 330
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hillcrest Apollod 3y 25 | - | - | 42 | - | 33 (6) | 50 (3) | 35 (5) | 50 (4) | 44 (4) | 50 (3) | 46 (2) | 26 (5) | 40 (5) | 47 (3) | - | 1 | - | 6 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kilmoney Bimbod 2y 26 | Jerry O'Sullivan — 20% R5 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | - | 62 (3) | 70 (2) | 47 (4) | 49 (6) | 41 (6) | 45 (6) | 69 (1) | 52 (4) | 55 (2) | 42 (5) | - | 35 | 29 | 18 | 55 | 32 | 1 | 8/13 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Axil Greased 2y 24 | - | - | 52 | - | 64 (2) | 37 (5) | 36 (5) | 29 (5) | 27 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 41 | 17 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ten Archesd 1y 21 | - | - | 61 | - | 49 (3) | 29 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 40 | 21 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hilight Statemand 4y 42 | - | - | 46 | - | 48 (5) | 36 (6) | 43 (5) | 62 (2) | 50 (4) | 43 (6) | 44 (6) | 51 (5) | 45 (6) | 47 (6) | 21 | 21 | - | 7 | 47 | 20 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kilmoney Bimbo | 18.24 | 18.59 | 18.24 | 63 | 0.00 | Drops from S4 | |
| 4 | Axil Grease | 18.37 | 19.00 | — | 53 | — | 2nd last time | |
| 5 | Ten Arches | 18.43 | 18.43 | — | 62 | — | 2 career runs | |
| 1 | Hillcrest Apollo | 18.51 | 18.85 | — | 44 | — | Beaten at S7 | |
| 3 | Sandpit Lola | 18.73 | 18.83 | — | 43 | — | 6th last time | |
| 6 | Cyclers Storm | 18.93 | 19.17 | — | 32 | — | Slowest in field |
The 330m sprint at Curraheen is a dash to the second bend where breaking speed settles most arguments, and the history at S6 level is honest about how unpredictable it is — only a few dozen races are on record at this exact grade and trip, so the trap pattern (trap 4 best at 27%, trap 6 worst at 9%) is a lean rather than gospel. What the card does offer is one dog whose recent racing has all been in far tougher sprint company: Kilmoney Bimbo has been running S3 and S4 grades, two and three levels above tonight's, and brings both the fastest career time and the best speed figure in the field. Ten Arches, almost unraced, matched him for pace last time out and breaks from mid-track. Expect those two to be clear of the rest early, with Axil Grease — second here last month — the one closing if either falters.
Classes above these on everything he's done lately. His last six starts have all come at S3, S4 and S5 — two and three grades tougher than tonight — and he was still competitive, running third at S4 last time and a rated-70 second the run before. His 18.24 best is the fastest time in the race, set at this very trip, and his speed figure of 63 towers over the field. One win and three places from nine course-and-distance runs shows he handles the venue. Dropped into an S6, this is the easiest assignment he's had all year; if he breaks anywhere near level he should simply be too quick.
Just two career runs, but the latest was eye-catching — third at this grade and trip with a rating of 49 and a clocking of 18.43, and his speed figure of 62 is within a point of the best in the race. One run doesn't make an average and he's still learning his trade, so the improvement curve is the play here: a young sprinter matching the class-dropper for pace second time out is exactly the type who wins these at a price. Trap 5 hasn't been productive here, which is the main knock.
A well-exposed sprinter whose recent form is all at S7 and S8, a grade or two below tonight's company, and it hasn't been flattering — sixth of six last time out at S7 with his poorest rating in months. He's been round here plenty (six runs at this trip) without winning, and while his 18.51 best is only mid-pack in this field, the inside draw at least gives him the shortest run to the bend. Needs several of the principals to misfire.
Four career runs, none better than a rated 48, and she was well beaten in sixth at this grade and trip last time out. Her best clocking of 18.73 is half a second off the pick's — roughly a dozen lengths at sprint speeds — and nothing in her short record suggests that gap closes tonight. The middle draw is serviceable, but she needs a different level of pace than she's shown in any of her four starts.
Put a shabby early career behind him with easily his best run last time — a rated-64 second at this grade and trip, having never previously rated above 37. His 18.37 best time is second only to the pick's and he draws trap 4, historically the most productive box at this level. The question is which version turns up: one big run among five poor ones is a thin foundation, and if the last-time spark was real he's a genuine player, but the four runs before it were nowhere.
The slowest dog in the race on every measure — a best of 18.93, an average over 19, and a speed figure of 32 that sits forty points behind the pick. Five career runs have produced nothing better than a rated 37, and he was fifth at this grade last time. Trap 6 has also been the least productive box at this trip. It's honest toil, but he'd need half the field to fall over to trouble the finish.
Key insight: Just 63 S6 sprint runs on record — a thin book, and the ratings have been a poor guide (the top-ranked dog has won only 1 of 16). With the numbers this unreliable, class edges and raw sprinting speed are the sensible anchors, and treat every percentage here as a hint rather than a rule.
T1:18.2% T2:18.2% T3:20.0% T4:27.3% T5:11.1% T6:9.1%
63 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 330m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 330m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (330m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 330m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hillcrest Apollo | 0.580 | 0.571 | 0.585 |
| 2 | Kilmoney Bimbo | — | 0.563 | 0.585 |
| 3 | Axil Grease | — | 0.580 | — |
| 5 | Ten Arches | — | 0.558 | 0.580 |
| 6 | Hilight Stateman | — | — | 0.570 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.