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The Racing Again Tomorrow Night 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Araglen Aced 1y 24 | - | - | 51 | - | 72 (3) | 78 (1) | 37 (5) | 72 (1) | 48 (3) | 41 (3) | - | - | - | - | 8 | 35 | - | 33 | 61 | 42 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Curragh Rankind 2y 24 | - | - | 47 | - | 61 (6) | 51 (6) | 71 (2) | 84 (1) | 58 (4) | 65 (3) | 76 (2) | 52 (5) | 55 (4) | 84 (1) | 20 | 33 | 26 | 39 | 65 | 42 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bucks Freed 1y 22 | Eamonn Morton — 10% R10 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | - | 51 (4) | 61 (2) | 57 (3) | 30 (6) | 48 (4) | 40 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | 9 | - | 11 | 49 | 27 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Canadian Windb 2y 15 | - | - | 50 | - | 67 (2) | 68 (3) | 66 (2) | 35 (6) | 57 (4) | 73 (1) | 53 (6) | 56 (4) | 61 (5) | - | 16 | 3 | - | 24 | 61 | 46 | 6 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Borna Pedrod 1y 3 | - | - | 55 | - | 72 (2) | 75 (1) | 45 (5) | 47 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 18 | 39 | 62 | 52 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bohermore Legendd 2y 4 | - | - | 51 | - | 59 (5) | 70 (2) | 60 (3) | 55 (4) | 41 (5) | 50 (3) | 72 (1) | 44 (6) | 55 (2) | 35 (5) | 22 | 30 | - | 22 | 57 | 43 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Curragh Rankin | 28.93 | 29.55 | 29.54 | 47 | +0.61 | Down from A2 | |
| 6 | Bohermore Legend | 29.06 | 29.82 | 29.64 | 51 | +0.58 | Best trap | |
| 1 | Araglen Ace | 29.10 | 29.77 | 29.29 | 51 | +0.19 | 2 C&D wins | |
| 5 | Borna Pedro | 29.20 | 29.43 | 29.20 | 55 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Canadian Wind | 29.22 | 29.66 | 29.50 | 50 | +0.28 | Up from A5 | |
| 3 | Bucks Free | 29.29 | 30.06 | — | 29 | — | Slowest in field |
A3 over 525m is the fairest-drawn grade at Curraheen — trap 6 leads a tightly bunched map at just under 20% with trap 4 the quietest at 13.5%, so the boxes matter less here than anywhere else tonight and the clock and form direction carry the argument. The pace shape favours the young improver: Borna Pedro has the field's top speed figure, has rattled off ratings of 75 and 72 in his last two, and his 29.20 last time was the quickest recent clocking in the race bar none. Curragh Rankin brings the outright fastest career time (28.93) and the highest average, earned in A2 company and over 550 metres lately, but he was beaten out of sight last time and drops back in trip. Araglen Ace, twice a winner over course and distance, and Bohermore Legend from the statistically friendly six box both have back-class peaks in the low 70s. Expect Pedro to lead or track the leader from five with Rankin's stamina the late threat if the early fractions get hot.
A four-race career and already the profile of a proper A3 dog: he won at A6, jumped straight to this grade and ran ratings of 75 and 72, finishing second here last time in 29.20 — the fastest recent clocking in the field and bang on his career best. His speed figure of 55 tops the race and his average time of 29.43 says the big runs aren't flukes. Four races is a short book, so tonight asks him to confirm rather than surprise, but he's drawn in a box that carries no penalty at this grade and the two dogs above him on career clock are both trying to bounce back from poor runs rather than build on good ones. Momentum is worth a lot in these; he has all of it.
The classiest résumé in the race: the fastest career time in the field (28.93), the highest performance average (65), a rated-84 romp four starts back, and his last two runs came in A2 company — a full grade above tonight — over the longer 550-metre trip. Beaten sixth last time, but dropping both in grade and back to his best distance is exactly the move that wakes a dog like this up. One course-and-distance win and three places from seven tries. If he returns to even 90% of his spring form he wins; the risk is that the two flat runs signal something more lasting.
Rocketed up the grades this year — two wins from six course-and-distance starts on his way from A6 to A3 — and his last two ratings of 72 and 78 are as good as anything in the field. Third at this grade last time confirms he belongs. His best time of 29.10 sits close to the front rank and trap 1 is a fair box at this grade. The mild concern is that his figures have been earned in bursts (a 37 and a 48 also sit in his six-race line), so he's less metronomic than the pick. Every chance he makes the frame again with more possible.
Battling above his station now — he climbed from A8 to A3 through the spring, but the last two runs (rated 51 and 61, fourth and second-ish efforts) haven't matched the sharp rise, and his speed figure of 29 is the lowest in the field by some distance. His average time is a second slower than the pick's, which at this trip is upwards of twenty lengths of theoretical deficit. Five course-and-distance runs without a win. The grade climb was admirable; tonight the ceiling looks like fourth.
In the form of his life — ratings of 67, 68 and 66 in three of his last four, second at A5 last time, and now he takes the two-grade step up to A3. His 29.22 best is within a length of the pick's mark and ten course-and-distance runs give him plenty of local knowledge, though only one of them ended in victory. Trap 4 is statistically the quietest box at this grade, and dogs jumping two grades off a second place tend to find the water deeper than it looks. Competitive, but needs another career-best.
Draws the statistically friendliest box at this grade and brings genuine back-class — a 29.06 career best, a rated-70 run three starts back, and his last two outings came in A2 company over 550 metres, so like Curragh Rankin he's dropping in both grade and distance tonight. The difference is output: he's been rated in the 50s where Rankin peaked in the 80s, and one win from nine course-and-distance runs is a modest return. He stays on well and the six box gives him a clean run, so he's the type to be finishing into third or second — winning requires the front-runners to overcook it.
Key insight: The flattest trap map of any grade here — barely six points between the best box (trap 6, 19.8%) and worst (trap 4, 13.5%) from 670 runs. The fastest-rated dog (25%) narrowly outperforms the ratings' top pick (23.7%), so lean on the clock and recent form rather than the draw at A3.
T1:18.6% T2:16.1% T3:16.8% T4:13.5% T5:16.4% T6:19.8%
670 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Araglen Ace | — | 0.568 | — |
| 2 | Curragh Rankin | — | 0.563 | 0.557 |
| 3 | Bucks Free | 0.566 | 0.573 | — |
| 4 | Canadian Wind | — | 0.565 | — |
| 5 | Borna Pedro | — | 0.563 | — |
| 6 | Bohermore Legend | — | 0.568 | 0.556 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.