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The Roaming Turbo @ Stud 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lahana Hoped 1y 24 | - | - | 46 | - | 54 (4) | 67 (1) | 48 (4) | 64 (1) | 41 (6) | 34 (5) | 43 (5) | 46 (4) | - | - | 7 | 20 | - | 27 | 52 | 34 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kearneys Imageb 1y 36 | - | - | 45 | - | 56 (2) | 36 (6) | 27 (6) | 62 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cleanaway Ellab 2y 24 | - | - | 58 | - | 58 (4) | 66 (3) | 43 (6) | 69 (3) | 38 (5) | 83 (1) | 65 (4) | 57 (4) | 64 (2) | 68 (1) | - | 25 | 20 | 18 | 60 | 37 | 1 | 6/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Topside Tornadob 1y 3 | - | - | 41 | - | 43 (6) | 68 (1) | 48 (5) | 58 (2) | 35 (6) | 37 (6) | 59 (4) | 60 (3) | 49 (6) | 62 (1) | 22 | 15 | - | 20 | 51 | 38 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Glassey Alleyb 1y 23 | - | - | 57 | - | 50 (6) | 58 (2) | 55 (3) | 56 (5) | 51 (6) | 46 (5) | 62 (4) | 49 (5) | 74 (1) | 66 (1) | - | 29 | - | 26 | 55 | 36 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Let Me Speakb 2y 23 | - | - | 45 | - | 50 (6) | 54 (6) | 39 (6) | 78 (1) | 52 (5) | 56 (3) | 57 (4) | 60 (3) | 56 (3) | 51 (4) | 10 | 6 | - | 12 | 54 | 23 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cleanaway Ella | 29.17 | 29.53 | 29.07 | 58 | -0.10 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Glassey Alley | 29.32 | 29.63 | 29.32 | 57 | 0.00 | Sprint last time | |
| 6 | Let Me Speak | 29.37 | 29.76 | 29.37 | 45 | 0.00 | Cold trap | |
| 1 | Lahana Hope | 29.40 | 30.11 | 29.55 | 46 | +0.15 | 2 C&D wins | |
| 2 | Kearneys Image | 29.39 | 30.15 | 29.60 | 45 | +0.21 | Up from A7 | |
| 4 | Topside Tornado | 29.45 | 29.89 | 29.45 | 41 | 0.00 | 2 C&D wins |
A4 over 525m at Curraheen has a clear-cut draw story — trap 1 wins 26% (85 runs) and trap 4 is next best at 21%, while trap 6 has been a near write-off at 9% — and the fastest dog in the field converts about one in four, slightly ahead of the ratings' top pick. On the clock this race has one standout: Cleanaway Ella has been mixing it at A3 and A4 all year, owns the fastest best time (29.17), the quickest last run (29.07), the top speed figure and the best performance average in the field. The complication is her middle draw in three, historically quiet at this grade, in a race full of honest course specialists — Lahana Hope and Topside Tornado have two course-and-distance wins apiece and Glassey Alley the same with the second-best speed figure. Expect Ella to use her pace to be on or near the lead into the bend; if she clears the inside trio cleanly the race is hers to lose, and the stats say the biggest threat comes from Topside Tornado's box in four rather than the outside pair.
Sets every standard in the race: the fastest best time (29.17), the quickest last run — 29.07, actually faster than her official best window — the top speed figure and the best performance average, built against A3 and A4 company all season. Two wins and three places from nine course-and-distance runs prove she converts here, and a form line featuring a 66 and a 69 in her last four says the engine is in tune. The one genuine knock is the draw: trap 3 wins only 13.5% at this grade, so she needs a clean break to avoid the mid-track squeeze. Her early pace is exactly the tool for that job, and nothing else in the field matches her on the watch.
The venue record demands respect — two wins and three places from nine course-and-distance runs, including a rated-68 win two starts back — and he draws trap 4, the second-most productive box at this grade at 21%. Last time out was a flop (sixth, rated 43), but the run before was as good as anything in this field bar Ella's, and his pattern all year has been a big run following a quiet one. His speed figure of 41 is the lowest in the race, so he wins with track craft rather than raw pace; from the right box, that has already worked twice at this trip.
A course specialist in the box that matters — two wins and two places from eight course-and-distance runs, drawn where 26% of these are won. Her recent form reads well too, a rated-67 second three runs back and a solid fourth at A5 last time, though tonight is a step up from the A5–A7 company she's been keeping. The clock is the worry: her average time is the slowest in the field and her best of 29.40 was a one-off. The draw and the venue record make her the each-way play; beating Ella on level terms is a taller order.
Climbs from A7 to A4 — a three-grade jump — on the strength of a rated-56 second last time out. She has won over this course and distance (one from five) and her best time of 29.39 is only a couple of lengths off the leaders, but her form is wildly up and down: a 62, a 27 and a 36 sit side by side in her last four. Trap 2 wins under 15% at this grade, and dogs making this size of grade leap rarely land it at the first attempt. The talent flickers; the consistency isn't there yet.
A model of consistency — six straight runs rated between 46 and 58, two wins and three places from nine course-and-distance starts, and the second-best speed figure in the field at 57. His 29.32 best is within two lengths of Ella's mark. The quirks: he was switched to a 330m sprint last time (sixth at S4), so this is his first run back at the full trip in a month, and trap 5 wins a middling 16% at this grade. Everything about him says solid place claims; toppling the fastest dog in the race needs her to find trouble at the bend.
Capable of the spectacular — the rated-78 win four starts back towers over most of this field's figures — but he hasn't been near that level since, finishing sixth at this grade in each of his last two 525m starts and coming up winless in his other six course-and-distance tries. Trap 6 is the coldest box at this grade, winning under one in ten, which is a heavy anchor for a dog whose recent racing has been flat. The old peak says he's got A4 ability; the trend and the draw say tonight isn't the night.
Key insight: Trap 1 (25.9% from 85 runs) and trap 4 (20.9%) are the productive boxes at A4; trap 6 wins under one in ten. The fastest-rated dog wins 24.5% — marginally ahead of the ratings' top pick at 22.1% — so pace plus draw is the winning blend at this grade.
T1:25.9% T2:14.6% T3:13.5% T4:20.9% T5:16.1% T6:9.2%
523 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lahana Hope | — | 0.573 | — |
| 2 | Kearneys Image | — | 0.572 | — |
| 3 | Cleanaway Ella | — | 0.563 | 0.577 |
| 4 | Topside Tornado | — | 0.569 | 0.571 |
| 5 | Glassey Alley | 0.560 | 0.564 | — |
| 6 | Let Me Speak | 0.562 | 0.567 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.