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The Irish Retired Greyhound Trust 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gleaming Mollyb 3y 55 | - | - | 45 | - | 52 (3) | 22 (6) | 40 (6) | 47 (3) | 52 (6) | 51 (4) | 48 (4) | 39 (3) | 62 (6) | - | 6 | - | - | - | 44 | 14 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Topside Arrowb 1y 37 | - | - | 45 | - | 47 (4) | 48 (5) | 58 (3) | 44 (6) | 73 (1) | 53 (3) | 32 (6) | - | - | - | - | 14 | 19 | 11 | 51 | 33 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Society Shelbyb 2y 25 | - | - | 49 | - | 63 (2) | 44 (5) | 50 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 18 | 18 | 53 | 25 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Granard Diorb 1y 21 | - | - | 61 | - | 48 (4) | 32 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 41 | 32 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rosshill Jasperd 2y 4 | Tony Winters — 17% R12 W2 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 60 (4) | 53 (4) | 49 (4) | 61 (3) | 56 (4) | 54 (4) | 59 (4) | 62 (2) | 68 (2) | 58 (4) | 18 | 28 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 48 | 2 | 11/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosshill Jasper | 29.36 | 29.68 | — | 57 | — | Dead trap | |
| 1 | Gleaming Molly | 29.45 | 30.06 | — | 45 | — | Best trap | |
| 4 | Granard Dior | 29.48 | 29.48 | — | 61 | — | 2 career runs | |
| 6 | Farnahoe Pearl | 29.51 | 30.18 | 29.51 | 40 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Topside Arrow | 29.58 | 29.87 | 29.38 | 45 | -0.20 | 29.38 last time | |
| 3 | Society Shelby | 29.72 | 29.72 | — | 49 | — | Off since April |
At A6 over Curraheen's 525m the draw map is the most lopsided on the card: trap 1 has won a commanding 31% of these (42 runs) while trap 5 has managed under 7% — the worst box-and-grade combination at the track. That statistic hangs over this race, because the classiest dog in it, Rosshill Jasper, is stuck in that very trap 5, and his ten course-and-distance runs without a win suggest he finds ways to get beaten here even before the draw bites. The race sets up instead for Farnahoe Pearl, dropping from A5 off the best last-time-out run in the field — a rated-69 second — with a clean wide passage from six. Topside Arrow, the only course-and-distance winner in the race and quicker last time than anything Jasper has run this year, is the value danger from the unfashionable two box. Gleaming Molly holds the golden trap 1 but her form doesn't look strong enough to cash it in.
Arrives with the best last-time-out run in the field — a rated-69 second at A5, a grade above tonight's, clocking 29.51, her fastest ever at the trip. That's the second time she's hit the high 60s or better this year (a 71 in the spring), so the ceiling is proven, and she now drops into A6 with a clean wide draw in trap 6, which wins a solid 18.6% here while the middle boxes take the first-bend traffic. Her overall average is modest and her speed figure won't win any prizes, which keeps the price honest — but form direction, grade drop and a trouble-free passage from six is the combination most likely to beat the odds-makers' obsession with Jasper's class.
On ability, the best dog in the race and it isn't close — the top performance average (57), the fastest career time (29.36), and a form line that has been running at A5, a grade above this, without ever dipping below a 49. But two facts stop the enthusiasm cold: he's had ten cracks at this course and distance without winning one, and he's drawn in trap 5, which has won fewer than one in fourteen at this grade — the deadest box-and-grade combination at the track. Class this obvious dropped into an A6 wins races, so he remains the clear danger, but backing him at a short price means betting against both his own record here and the geography.
Holds the box everyone wants — trap 1 wins nearly one in three at this grade — but her form gives little confidence she can use it. Seven course-and-distance runs without so much as a place, a mixed bag of graded and sprint outings lately, and though she ran a respectable rated-52 third at A7 last time, that's a grade below tonight and her only bright spot since spring. Her 29.45 best shows there's an engine in there, and the draw alone makes her impossible to dismiss entirely, but she needs a career day.
The only course-and-distance winner in the field, and quietly one of its better clockers — she stopped the watch at 29.38 last time out, faster than anything Rosshill Jasper has recorded, when fourth at this grade. Her form line mixes solid mid-50s ratings with a standout 73 five runs back, so the ability is real if inconsistent. The catch is the draw: trap 2 has won barely one in eleven of these, a serious structural tax. If she breaks well enough to clear the inside early, she's a live price-of-the-night candidate.
Hasn't been seen since early April, when she ran her best race — a rated-63 second at this very grade and trip. Three career runs, one place, and a modest 29.72 best time make her hard to weigh: the last run says she belongs in the finish, the fourteen-week absence says treat her cautiously. Middle draws are workable at this grade (trap 3 wins 17.5%), so if she's returned fit and forward she could out-run these comments, but bettors deserve to know the layoff is the biggest unknown in the race.
The fastest speed figure in the race at 61 — but it's built on a two-run career, and his single try at this trip produced a 29.48 that's decent without being startling. Last time out he contested a 330m sprint, so this is only his second crack at the full 525m and his stamina at the trip is unproven. Young dogs with his kind of raw pace do improve past exposed rivals, and trap 4 is respectable here, but one run at the distance is not a foundation for confidence — treat the big speed number as promise, not proof.
Key insight: Trap 1 wins 31% at this grade (42 runs) — the strongest single-box bias on tonight's card — while trap 5 at 6.8% is the weakest. The ratings' top pick converts only 19% at A6 here, so structural factors (draw, recent form direction) deserve extra weight over the model.
T1:31.0% T2:9.3% T3:17.5% T4:16.7% T5:6.8% T6:18.6%
254 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gleaming Molly | 0.577 | 0.573 |
| 2 | Topside Arrow | — | 0.571 |
| 3 | Society Shelby | — | 0.569 |
| 4 | Granard Dior | 0.562 | 0.582 |
| 5 | Rosshill Jasper | — | 0.565 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.