| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Razldazl Ellab 4y 34 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | - | 37 (5) | 55 (5) | 51 (4) | 42 (4) | 44 (5) | 46 (4) | 32 (1) | 31 (1) | 28 (3) | 28 (2) | 33 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 56 | 46 | 4 | 16/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Lissan Brod 5y 24 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 47 | 18 (5) | 27 (5) | 48 (4) | 27 (6) | 26 (4) | 36 (4) | 42 (1) | 41 (5) | 45 (5) | - | 32 | 53 | 37 | - | 50 | 47 | 3 | 25/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Sandwood Annieb 2y 9 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 71 | 64 | 47 (5) | 67 (2) | 53 (4) | 62 (2) | 49 (5) | 66 (2) | 83 (1) | 78 (1) | 78 (1) | 60 (2) | 53 | 48 | 18 | 40 | 56 | 53 | 1 | 1/3F | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Melb 3y 4 | S A Birks — 16% R217 W35 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 49 | 55 (3) | 80 (1) | 33 (5) | 59 (3) | 39 (4) | 50 (4) | 76 (1) | 39 (4) | 63 (5) | 58 (3) | 13 | 28 | 30 | 27 | 48 | 39 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Transfer Girlb 2y 15 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 57 (4) | 66 (2) | 57 (3) | 77 (1) | 66 (2) | 61 (2) | 33 (5) | 34 (5) | 46 (4) | 49 (4) | 50 | 53 | - | - | 57 | 55 | 2 | 3/1 | |
Drawn in T3, the dominant trap at Doncaster 483m A3 conditions — 31.15% win rate from 61 runs, the highest structural edge in this field by far. Speed rating 71 is above field median and she has the best early pace in the field at 100, meaning she'll lead from the first bend in the structurally best position. Fader profile (closing speed 0, pace consistency 0) is a concern at 483m, but the class of Closer behind her is weak — Lissan Bro (speed 32) and Ballymac Mel (speed 44) simply don't have the raw pace to close the gap she'll build. Performance history of 57→46→54→78→57→44 shows a peak of 78 proving genuine top-level ability, with a 57 at her only C&D run at A3 producing a 2nd place finish. The 46 and 44 are noise runs — her recent A3 483m 2nd proves she belongs at this level. Trainer Gaskin at 16% is below the awareness tier but the structural advantage from the draw compensates.
DANGER: Field-best avgP (57) and genuine class from 450m wins, but T5 at 5.56% in A3 conditions is a structural elimination. Needs everything to go right to overcome the draw disadvantage.
Can be opposed here. Zero 483m experience, jumping from D4 275m sprints to A3 483m — the distance and class mismatch is severe. No data to support she can handle this trip.
Faces a tough ask despite perfect Closer profile — speed 32 is the worst in the field and 2 C&D attempts produced 5th both times. The 57.58% place rate for T2 gives minor place hope if leaders fade.
Hard to make a case — worst avgP in the field (48), 0 wins from 5 C&D attempts, declining performance trajectory with recent 35. The C&D experience is extensive but uniformly poor.
T3 is massively dominant at 31.15% from 61 runs — nearly triple T5's 5.56%. The composite is unreliable here (R2 actually beats R1) so draw and pace must drive the pick. T5 is effectively unwinnable at A3 grade.
T1:16.0% (25r) T2:18.2% (33r) T3:31.2% (61r) T4:23.7% (76r) T5:5.6% (72r) T6:25.7% (74r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Razldazl Ella | — | — | No data |
2Lissan Bro | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Sandwood Annie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Ballymac Mel | 27 | 100 | Closer |
5Transfer Girl | 73 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.