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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crystal Gemb 5y 23 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 22 | 87 (3) | 75 (3) | 36 (2) | 33 (2) | 41 (1) | 29 (4) | 37 (5) | 66 (1) | 48 (3) | 53 (3) | 47 | 46 | - | 43 | 61 | 56 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Davyd 1y 3 | J M Windrass — 18% R28 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 36 (3) | 70 (3) | 42 (1) | 75 (2) | 36 (2) | 40 (1) | 34 (2) | 21 (5) | 36 (1) | 35 (1) | 66 | 61 | - | 65 | 67 | 66 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Leahs Patb 3y 17 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 58 (1) | 42 (4) | 59 (1) | 51 (2) | 34 (5) | 52 (2) | 30 (3) | 98 (1) | 36 (2) | 46 (5) | 54 | 45 | 27 | 30 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 7/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Millhouse Iand 3yN/R 24 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 50 | 44 (2) | 58 (1) | 50 (2) | 59 (1) | 41 (6) | 36 (4) | 42 (4) | 39 (3) | 47 (4) | - | 53 | 40 | - | 52 | 53 | 51 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Slaneyside Tarab 2y 7 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 28 (3) | 28 (4) | 25 (4) | 30 (3) | 29 (3) | 30 (2) | 35 (2) | 36 (1) | 34 (2) | 35 (1) | 47 | 41 | - | 59 | 71 | 63 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Jazza Rooneyb 4y 25 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 64 | 32 (3) | 42 (1) | 42 (1) | 40 (1) | 27 (5) | 29 (5) | 29 (4) | 37 (2) | 33 (3) | 37 (2) | 59 | 47 | 34 | 63 | 59 | 58 | 3 | 9/4 | |
Speed Rank 1 in the field (55) combined with the best average performance (71, field-leading by 4 points) and a phenomenal course & distance record — 5 wins and 9 places from 10 runs at Doncaster 275m (50% win rate, 90% place rate). That 90% place rate means she's effectively guaranteed to be in the first two — an extraordinary level of consistency at this specific track and trip. Performance history of 71→74→69→73→66→66 shows an incredibly tight band of 66-74, with no runs below 66 in the last 6. This is the kind of honest, consistent form the composite thrives on at D-grade. Recent D3 form of 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 2nd — now stepping up to D2 which is the only question, but the raw ability at 71 avgP puts her well ahead of this D2 field. T5 at 25.76% (198r) is the second-best trap in D2 conditions — a strong structural draw. Trainer Overton at 16% is below the awareness tier but the C&D record makes the trainer irrelevant — this dog wins at Doncaster 275m regardless of trainer input.
DANGER: 56% C&D win rate + Windrass 29% trainer + D3 dominance. The grade step and T2 draw (19.05%) are the negatives. If he handles D2, he's the main threat.
Best trap (T1, 26.79%) and highest peak (79) but Closer profile at 275m sprint is the wrong pace profile. Trial-heavy recent form. Needs pace collapse to feature.
Consistent Fader who'll lead early but speed 41 and avgP 59 leave him 12 points behind the pick. Recent 5th at D2 suggests this grade stretches him.
Speed 54 (second-best) gives sprint credibility but avgP 58 and inconsistent form (51-56 range with one 75 outlier) leave him well behind the top two C&D specialists.
Structurally opposed — worst speed (31), worst trap (T4, 16.94%), worst avgP (53). Trial-inflated peak. No realistic path to victory in this field.
T1 and T5 both above 25% — inside and outside-clear draws dominate. T4 at 16.9% is the dead trap. D2 is a competitive D-grade where the composite works well. Two C&D specialists (Slaneyside 50% win, Grouchos 56% win) make this a two-horse race.
T1:26.8% (209r) T2:19.1% (273r) T3:23.0% (244r) T4:16.9% (248r) T5:25.8% (198r) T6:21.1% (185r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.