| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Duggies Flyboyd 3y 16 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 42 (3) | 61 (1) | 29 (5) | 61 (1) | 38 (4) | 41 (3) | 33 (5) | 45 (3) | 61 (1) | 38 (4) | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 | 55 | 49 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Keefill Apollod 2y 8 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 47 | 56 (2) | 45 (4) | 47 (3) | 46 (2) | 51 (2) | 41 (4) | 55 (2) | 43 (3) | 61 (1) | 46 (3) | 53 | 59 | 51 | 54 | 64 | 61 | 1 | 6/5F | |
| 3 | ▶ Late Lolab 4yN/R 23 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 52 (2) | 53 (6) | 41 (4) | 42 (5) | 77 (3) | 38 (5) | 82 (3) | 89 (1) | 61 (1) | 59 (1) | 42 | 40 | 23 | 33 | 62 | 54 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lisadelb 2y 27 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 16 (5) | 34 (5) | 50 (3) | 38 (5) | 23 (6) | 34 (4) | 42 (6) | 42 (2) | 37 (5) | 38 (4) | 22 | 29 | - | 20 | 58 | 46 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballinabola Molyb 2y 9 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 51 | 35 (4) | 56 (2) | 60 (1) | 40 (4) | 40 (3) | 40 (4) | 46 (3) | 60 (1) | 53 (2) | 53 (2) | 23 | 46 | 23 | 39 | 59 | 51 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Bluey Boyd 5y 36 | W E Link — 0% R5 W0 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 36 | 42 (4) | 60 (3) | 61 (4) | 62 (3) | 59 (4) | 70 (3) | 74 (3) | 84 (1) | 76 (2) | 70 (4) | 62 | 50 | - | 47 | 64 | 60 | 3 | 10/3 | |
Speed Rank 1 in the field at 55 — the single best predictor nationally. Joint-best average performance (64) with a Closer profile (early pace 47, closing speed 90) that's perfectly suited to Doncaster's fair, galloping layout where Closers can make ground through the long home straight. Course & distance: 3 runs, 1 win, 2 places (33% win, 67% place) — excellent on a small sample. B2 form of 2nd, 1st, 3rd proves he's competitive at this exact level. Performance history of 55→72→51→64→67→64 shows a peak of 72 and decent consistency in the 64-67 range recently. The 55 and 51 are earlier runs showing improvement since. T2 at 19.17% (339r) is below average which is the one structural negative. Closing speed 90 is the best in the field behind the two pure 100s, but unlike those dogs (Bluey Boy, Lisadel), Keefill Apollo also has some early pace (47) so he won't be dead last through the first bend — he can sit mid-pack and close, which is a more reliable strategy than starting from last.
DANGER: Watson 30% + C&D 40% win from 10r = the strongest trainer+C&D stack in the field. Fader profile at 450m and 5-point avgP deficit are the concerns.
Best trap (T6, 23.53%) + class-dropper from A2/OR with peak 77. But trial-heavy recent form (2 of 5) and pure Closer (EP 0) create execution risk. The class is undeniable but the strategy is risky.
Worst trap (T3, 17.9%) + extreme form volatility. Capable of winning on her day (76 peak, B2 win) but unreliable. More likely to place than win from this draw.
A2 class-dropper with genuine ability (peaks 77, 75) but extreme volatility (lows of 41, 45) and Closer from poor T4 draw. Trial-contaminated last run. High-risk proposition.
Decent trap (T1, 22.29%) but field-worst avgP (55) and declining form (48→41 in last 2). B2 wins are 0 — all wins at B3. Structural draw can't overcome the ability gap.
T6 is the best trap (23.53%) and T3 the worst (17.9%). Three Closers in the field with a single Fader setting the pace — classic setup for a Closer at Doncaster's fair layout.
T1:22.3% (314r) T2:19.2% (339r) T3:17.9% (229r) T4:18.5% (302r) T5:19.0% (310r) T6:23.5% (306r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Duggies Flyboy | 54 | 0 | All-Rounder |
2Keefill Apollo | 47 | 90 | Closer |
3Late Lola | 53 | 10 | All-Rounder |
4Lisadel | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Ballinabola Moly | 55 | 0 | Fader |
6Bluey Boy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.