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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Beretta Makalab 2y 15 | E Y Bell — 22% R520 W113 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 36 | 37 (6) | 58 (3) | 66 (2) | 68 (2) | 65 (2) | 64 (2) | 58 (4) | 63 (3) | 62 (4) | 57 (3) | 31 | 36 | 11 | 31 | 59 | 50 | 4 | 11/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Drish Riverd 3y 14 | P Miller — 17% R501 W87 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 49 | 44 (4) | 61 (2) | 58 (2) | 36 (5) | 65 (2) | 49 (3) | 49 (3) | 42 (5) | 45 (3) | 64 (3) | 46 | 45 | 36 | 35 | 53 | 49 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Nicoles Dancerb 2y 16 | G A Stark — 19% R275 W53 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 52 (4) | 44 (5) | 61 (4) | 52 (3) | 47 (4) | 52 (5) | 49 (5) | 45 (4) | 49 (4) | - | 35 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 55 | 45 | 6 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Atealive Sallyb 3y 27 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 58 | 60 (4) | 57 (5) | 30 (6) | 78 (1) | 48 (5) | 60 (3) | 65 (2) | 71 (2) | 51 (5) | 70 (2) | 56 | 39 | - | 43 | 64 | 58 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 5 | ▶ Moulton Dollb 3y 34 | E Y Bell — 22% R520 W113 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 67 | 52 (6) | 27 (5) | 45 (6) | 78 (6) | 56 (6) | 34 (1) | 74 (4) | 66 (6) | - | - | 48 | 58 | 17 | 40 | 59 | 55 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Not To Beb 3y 25 | M K Bulmer — 20% R238 W47 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 24 | 51 (6) | 76 (1) | 54 (4) | 56 (3) | 50 (4) | 56 (4) | 62 (4) | 74 (1) | 71 (2) | 72 (3) | 29 | 33 | 23 | 34 | 57 | 48 | 5 | 6/1 | |
Atealive Sally is the clear pick in this high-tier A4 race. Her AP of 64 is the highest in field by significant margin (beating second-place runners by 4-11 points), placing her in elite performance tier. Her speed rating of 56 is R1, the highest in field, indicating she can dictate pace at this competitive level. Her early pace of 50 is solid and places her near median, enabling her to contest early exchanges. Her All-Rounder profile provides tactical flexibility to respond to rivals through the bend. Her condition record at 450m Sunderland is 1 win and 3 places from 10 runs (10% win rate, 40% place rate)—not dominant like lower-tier specialists, but solid for A4 level. Her suitability metrics show strength: trap suitability 56 (highest in field), distance suitability 43 (solid), track suitability 39 (moderate). Her trap 4 is favoured at 28% bias in historical data, directly supporting her selection. Her bend rating is unavailable but her All-Rounder profile suggests adequate flexibility. Her recent form shows consecutive A3-A4 runs (A4 as current target grade), indicating sharpness at this level. Her trainer win rate of 17% is respectable for A4. Combining elite AP (64), R1 speed (56), solid condition form (1w/10r), trap advantage (4, 28% bias), and high trap suitability (56), Atealive Sally is the dominant choice. At A4's competitive level, her performance and speed dominance with adequate condition form outweigh competitors' condition win advantages (which are modest anyway—2 wins is maximum in field).
Drish River has exceptional condition wins (2w/10r, 20% rate—field max), but speed rating 39 (R3, lowest in field) is crippling at A4. Speed tier vs condition wins: Atealive Sally's R1 speed + adequate form > Drish's condition wins + weak speed.
Beretta Makala has R1 speed (58) but zero condition wins, Closer profile with low EP (34), weak suitability (36/31/31). Closer + no wins at conditions = third-tier only.
Nicoles Dancer has R2 speed (50), modest CD form (11% win), weak suitability (25/22/35). Below elite tier of Atealive Sally and condition wins of Drish River.
Lemon Flash rounds out. Her AP of 57 is respectable but below elite tier. Her speed rating of 51 is R2. Her early pace of 48 is moderate. Her All-Rounder profile is positive. Her condition record is 0 wins and 2 places from 8 runs (0% win rate, 25% place rate)—never won at conditions. Her suitability metrics are moderate. Her bend rating is moderate. Trap 5 carries average bias. No condition wins and moderate metrics make her non-competitive.
Talacre Lass is the final runner. Her AP of 56 is below Sally (64) but respectable. Her speed rating of 45 is R3, below elite tier. Her early pace of 46 is moderate. Her All-Rounder profile is positive. Her condition record is 1 win and 3 places from 10 runs (10% win rate, 40% place rate)—similar to Sally's form but below Drish's. Her suitability metrics are moderate. Her bend rating is moderate. Trap 6 carries above-average bias. While decent, she trails Sally in AP/speed and Drish in condition wins.
A4 base win rate ~18% (competitive). Atealive Sally dominates AP tier (64 vs 53-60 field). Condition records sparse: most runners 1-2 wins from 10 runs. Speed matters more at A4 where performance clustering is tight. Trap 4 bias 28%.
T1:20% T2:24% T3:16% T4:16% T5:18% T6:16%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Beretta Makala | 34 | 76 | Closer |
2Drish River | 52 | 29 | All-Rounder |
3Nicoles Dancer | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
4Atealive Sally | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
5Moulton Doll | 67 | 0 | Fader |
6Not To Be | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.