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Retired Greyhounds Make Great Pets Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Helicopter Jacobd 3y 6 | S Linley — 18% R381 W68 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 22 (5) | 26 (4) | 31 (1) | 21 (4) | 21 (4) | 25 (3) | 25 (4) | 27 (3) | 31 (1) | 20 (6) | 24 | 27 | 38 | 27 | 50 | 42 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Avalon Pestanad 4y 14 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R529 W88 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | - | 25 (2) | 22 (3) | 19 (4) | 26 (2) | 22 (4) | 20 (3) | 21 (4) | 23 (2) | 27 (3) | 21 (5) | 30 | 28 | 33 | 36 | 52 | 45 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Louis Hopeb 2y 7 | M K Bulmer — 21% R239 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 43 | 24 (5) | 36 (1) | 30 (2) | 27 (2) | 28 (2) | 28 (4) | 29 (2) | 32 (1) | 27 (2) | 23 (6) | 41 | 31 | - | 14 | 56 | 46 | 2 | 15/8 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Avongate Shineb 3y 6 | P Miller — 17% R497 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 51 | 22 (4) | 28 (2) | 26 (3) | 21 (3) | 21 (5) | 30 (2) | 26 (2) | 22 (5) | 45 (5) | 64 (3) | 54 | 51 | - | 61 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 4/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Easy Elainab 1y 18 | S Linley — 18% R381 W68 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 59 | 41 (4) | 52 (2) | 49 (3) | 48 (3) | 50 (3) | 41 (4) | 52 (3) | 57 (1) | 32 (2) | 29 (3) | 11 | 35 | - | 68 | 58 | 51 | 3 | 13/8F | ||
Avongate Shine presents the strongest profile for this D4 sprint. AP of 59 places her in the 62nd percentile for the race and offers stable foundation. Speed rating 47 is moderate but adequate for D4 level. Crucially, her suitability across all dimensions is exceptionally strong: track suitability 51, distance suitability 61 (the highest in field), trap suitability 54, indicating she's specifically suited to 261m racing at Sunderland. Her condition form is outstanding—1 win and 3 places from 9 runs at 261m Sunderland (44% place rate). She has competed at this exact distance/track 9 times, demonstrating consistency. Early pace of 50 is solid for a sprint specialist, and her pace profile as an All-Rounder gives flexibility to adapt through the bend. Trainer win rate of 28% is respectable for D4. Combined with her proven track record at conditions and suitability metrics, she's the standout choice.
Louis Hope is dangerous in trap 3 (favoured) with decent bend rating, but his Closer profile is structural weakness at 261m sprint. Limited condition form (3 runs, 1 place). Secondary danger only; Avongate Shine's proven condition record is decisive.
Helicopter Jacob is a steady mid-field runner. AP of 50 is below the field median and places him in lower percentile for pace. Speed rating 52 is marginal. His suitability metrics are weak across the board: track 27, distance 27 (second lowest in field after Louis Hope), trap 24 (significantly low), class 38. His condition form is 0w/3p/10r at 261m Sunderland—whilst the 10-run sample is larger than Louis Hope's, he's clearly a place specialist with no wins at conditions. His trainer win rate of 18% is the lowest in field. Trap 1 shows 18.9% win % in ML data (below average). He has run at these conditions frequently but shown no improvement, suggesting he's a consistent-but-not-winning type. Against Avongate Shine's exceptional distance suitability and proven wins, Jacob offers no compelling advantage.
Avalon Pestana is technically in trap 2 (favoured at 22.1% win %), which is a minor positive. Her AP of 52 is slightly above Jacob's but below Shine's. Speed rating of 55 is the second-highest in field after Helicopter Jacob's 52 (actually Jacob is 52, Pestana is 55—correcting: Pestana has better speed rating). Her suitability metrics are moderate: track 28, distance 36, trap 30, class 33—solid but not exceptional. Her condition form is 0w/2p/10r at 261m Sunderland, similar to Jacob: multiple runs but no wins. Trainer win rate of 30% is strong. However, without a clear condition edge and with lower distance suitability than Avongate Shine, she's third-tier. Trap 2 is favourable, but that alone doesn't overcome Shine's multi-dimensional superiority.
Comorin rounds out the field. With AP of 47 (below average), speed rating 43 (bottom tier), and suitability metrics across the lower range (track 29, distance 28, trap 26, class 0 suggesting untested at class), he presents no compelling case. His condition form is 0w/2p/13r, the largest sample but with no wins. Bend rating of 35 is the lowest in field. Trap 5 has 18.4% win % in ML data. Trainer win rate of 25%. He's a clear outsider for this race.
Seabass Mya is the final runner. AP of 51 is slightly above average. Speed rating 50 is moderate. Suitability metrics: track 32, distance 44, trap 47, class 0 (untested at class). She has 0 wins but 2 places from 9 runs at 261m Sunderland (22% place rate, below average). Bend rating 40 is moderate. Trainer win rate 25%. Trap 6 has 20.5% win % in ML data. She offers no standout advantage versus Shine's proven form and exceptional suitability.
D4 base win rate 31.1% is most predictable grade. Speed rank R1-2 dogs win 72% of races. Trap 2/3 slight bias at 22-23%. Dogs with 3+ CD runs at 261m show 38% win rate vs 31% field average.
T1:12% T2:19% T3:26% T4:22% T5:18% T6:17%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.