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Friday Night Executive Boxes @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Zesty Blueberryb 3y 18 | E Y Bell — 22% R520 W113 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 37 | 38 (5) | 48 (4) | 39 (5) | 50 (3) | 66 (1) | 45 (4) | 39 (5) | 55 (2) | 61 (1) | 58 (1) | 38 | 40 | 14 | 36 | 56 | 50 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Marwood Ravenb 1y 16 | G Strike — 18% R410 W74 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 60 | 67 (2) | 62 (4) | 67 (2) | 78 (1) | 71 (2) | 77 (1) | 75 (1) | 55 (2) | 63 (2) | 70 (1) | 46 | 37 | 18 | 37 | 57 | 51 | 2 | 5/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Lazy Loob 1y 3 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 43 | 40 (4) | 50 (2) | 41 (4) | 44 (4) | 39 (6) | 45 (2) | 36 (5) | 58 (1) | 42 (4) | 45 (3) | 8 | 14 | - | 14 | 51 | 37 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Kilmaloo Stillyd 1y 15 | P Miller — 17% R501 W87 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 45 | 49 (1) | 41 (3) | 25 (5) | 37 (3) | 26 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (5) | 45 (4) | 43 (4) | 6 | 10 | - | 10 | 44 | 32 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Innfield Bellab 2y 7 | E Y Bell — 22% R520 W113 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 56 | 34 (6) | 59 (2) | 47 (4) | 29 (6) | 64 (1) | 35 (6) | 43 (5) | 44 (2) | 40 (3) | 49 (3) | 42 | 46 | 15 | 43 | 60 | 54 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Freeway Skyb 3y 16 | P Miller — 17% R501 W87 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 58 | 37 (4) | 42 (2) | 29 (4) | 41 (3) | 38 (2) | 43 (2) | 47 (3) | 33 (6) | 28 (6) | 33 (5) | 20 | 22 | 15 | 20 | 53 | 42 | 4 | 7/1 | |
Zesty Blueberry is the clear pick in this A7 race. His condition record is the strongest in field: 3 wins and 5 places from 8 runs at 450m Sunderland (37.5% win rate)—representing a 97% advantage over the 19% A7 baseline, demonstrable dominance at these conditions. His AP of 56 is mid-range, second only to Marwood's 57 (1-point difference, negligible). His speed rating of 54 is R1, tied for highest in field, providing advantage in pace capability. His early pace of 27 is the lowest in field, a notable weakness—he cannot engage early and must rely on late closing capability. His closer profile combined with his pace consistency of 82 suggests he's a reliable closer who can strike late effectively. His suitability metrics are moderate: track 40, distance 36, trap 38—adequate across dimensions. His bend rating of 37 is the lowest in field, weakness for Sunderland's critical bend, but his consistent closing form (82 pace consistency) and condition dominance suggest he handles the bend through experience. His trap 1 carries below-average historical bias (19% win % in A7 data). His recent form shows A8-A9 higher-tier runs, suggesting he's been competing at harder levels, but his 3w/8r at these conditions is what matters. His trainer win rate of 16%. Combining his field-leading condition dominance (3w/8r, 37.5%, 97% above baseline), R1 speed (54), high pace consistency (82), and proven multiple wins at conditions, Zesty Blueberry is the standout selection. His closer profile, while requiring low early pace, is proven at these conditions.
Marwood Raven has strong condition form (33%) but tiny 3-run sample (volatility risk), highest bend (60), R1 speed (56), and strong EP (54). Zesty's larger sample (8r) and higher conversion (37.5%) decisive.
Lazy Loo has zero condition wins despite 3 runs, lowest AP (51), R3 speed (43), and weak suitability. Non-competitive vs Zesty's 37.5% condition dominance.
Kilmaloo Stilly is weak. His condition record is 0 wins and 1 place from 5 runs (0% win rate at conditions). His AP of 44 is the lowest in field. His speed rating of 41 is R3, the lowest in field. His early pace of 62 is the highest in field, enabling early pace setting, but his fader profile with AP (44) is disqualifying—he can't sustain pace through 450m. His suitability metrics are exceptionally weak (10/10/6, extremely low). His trap 4 carries average bias (26% win %). His recent form shows A6-A7 mixed. His trainer win rate of 14%. Despite highest early pace, his structural weaknesses (lowest AP, R3 speed, zero condition wins, weakest suitability) make him non-competitive.
Ballyorla Prince rounds out. His condition form and metrics don't appear competitive vs Zesty's field-leading 37.5% dominance.
Dunwoodie is the final runner. His metrics don't suggest competitive advantage vs Zesty's proven condition excellence.
A7 base win rate ~19%. Zesty Blueberry dominates with 3w/8r (37.5% win rate, 97% above baseline). Marwood Raven offers highest bend (60) from small 3-run sample. Speed ratings 41-56 (R2-R3 tier). Closer profile successful at Zesty's conditions.
T1:9% T2:24% T3:22% T4:14% T5:20% T6:8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Zesty Blueberry | 27 | 92 | Closer |
2Marwood Raven | 54 | 35 | All-Rounder |
3Lazy Loo | 38 | 58 | Closer |
4Kilmaloo Stilly | 62 | 0 | Fader |
5Innfield Bella | 48 | 55 | Closer |
6Freeway Sky | 52 | 45 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.