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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Luttons Ivyb 4y 15 | J M Windrass — 18% R28 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | 61 | 50 | 43 | 45 (2) | 47 (2) | 42 (3) | 30 (5) | 43 (2) | 39 (4) | 44 (3) | 30 (4) | 57 (1) | 56 (1) | 46 | 39 | 23 | 36 | 53 | 49 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Davyd 1yN/R 13 | J M Windrass — 18% R28 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | 62 | 100 | - | 36 (3) | 70 (3) | 42 (1) | 74 (2) | 36 (2) | 40 (1) | 34 (2) | 21 (5) | 36 (1) | 35 (1) | 63 | 65 | - | - | 67 | 66 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Amazing Emperord 3y 3 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 40 | 49 | 37 (3) | 42 (3) | 33 (5) | 40 (4) | 38 (4) | 33 (5) | 50 (2) | 12 (4) | 40 (4) | 34 (5) | 33 | 24 | 30 | 19 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 12/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Tommys Ruthb 1y 6 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 68 | 46 | 65 | 42 (3) | 58 (1) | 34 (4) | 57 (1) | 33 (3) | 27 (5) | 38 (4) | 50 (2) | 46 (3) | 43 (2) | 21 | 28 | - | 37 | 54 | 45 | 3 | 15/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Moss Tang Sallyb 4y 16 | K Everitt — 19% R84 W16 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 53 | 47 | 48 (3) | 32 (5) | 36 (5) | 49 (3) | 48 (2) | 41 (5) | 58 (1) | 37 (3) | 35 (4) | 38 (5) | 35 | 30 | 24 | 30 | 50 | 44 | 4 | 2/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Glitter Moonb 4y 14 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 38 | 53 | 45 (2) | 34 (4) | 41 (4) | 36 (5) | 37 (4) | 32 (5) | 39 (5) | 12 (5) | 33 (5) | 38 (3) | 31 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 57 | 47 | 2 | 11/4 | |
The most proven course & distance runner in the field with 10 runs at Doncaster 450m producing 3 wins and 5 places (30% win, 50% place) — outstanding volume and consistency. Trainer Windrass at 29% win rate is just below the strong tier and a meaningful signal. All-Rounder profile (early pace 49, closing speed 50, consistency 60) gives tactical flexibility to sit mid-pack and close or push forward depending on the pace — exactly the kind of adaptability that wins at Doncaster's fair layout. Performance history of 52→47→53→37→68→67 shows a peak of 68 with two recent strong runs (68, 67) suggesting improving form. Recent B5 form of 2nd, 4th, 3rd, 4th, 1st, 1st — two B5 wins and a B6 win proves she consistently performs at this level. T1 at 20% (95r) is moderate in B5 conditions. Speed 50 is field median among the experienced 450m runners. The combination of strong C&D record + near-strong trainer + improving form trajectory makes her the most reliable selection.
DANGER: 10-point avgP lead over the field is enormous but distance suitability 0 at 450m is a genuine structural unknown. If he stays the trip, he's the winner. The class ceiling is far above this field.
Consistent C&D placer (60% place rate from 10 runs) but speed 38 is second-worst in field. Will be involved at the finish but unlikely to beat the pick unless pace collapses perfectly.
Trial-heavy form (2 of 5 at T grades) makes the average unreliable. T4 is the dead trap at B5 (17.3%). Closer with 0 consistency from the worst draw — hard to see a path to victory.
10 C&D runs with 0 wins says everything — proven placer but unable to win at Doncaster 450m. The grade drop helps but the 0% win rate from extensive experience is a fundamental concern.
Best trap (T3, 29.57%) but worst dog — avgP 41, 0 wins from 10 C&D runs. The structural advantage can't overcome a 16-point performance deficit to the field leader.
T3 dominates at 29.57% from 115 runs — the structural sweet spot, but no competitive dog is drawn there. T4 is the dead trap at 17.3%. Comp R1 is strong at 27% suggesting the model works at B5.
T1:20.0% (95r) T2:23.0% (113r) T3:29.6% (115r) T4:17.3% (133r) T5:18.6% (172r) T6:22.4% (125r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Luttons Ivy | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Grouchos Davy | — | — | No data |
3Amazing Emperor | 55 | 0 | Fader |
4Tommys Ruth | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Moss Tang Sally | 50 | 75 | Closer |
6Glitter Moon | 57 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.