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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Abigails Sunnyb 3y 24 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 28 (5) | 25 (5) | 40 (1) | 36 (2) | 36 (2) | 36 (2) | 33 (3) | 35 (2) | 36 (2) | 34 (2) | 49 | 41 | 56 | 68 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tasty Choiced 4y 25 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 32 (4) | 46 (1) | 43 (5) | 27 (1) | 23 (5) | 42 (5) | 30 (1) | 40 (4) | 42 (1) | - | 53 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 67 | 59 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lissan Antond 4y 23 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 25 (5) | 34 (2) | 42 (1) | 75 (3) | 27 (4) | 28 (4) | 78 (2) | 33 (2) | 42 (1) | 24 (5) | 56 | 60 | 27 | 42 | 60 | 57 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Redbrick Daisyb 3y 27 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 48 (2) | 48 (3) | 51 (3) | 55 (2) | 55 (2) | 60 (4) | 33 (1) | 49 (3) | 61 (2) | - | 58 | 67 | 64 | 61 | 63 | 63 | 3 | 7/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Mustang Miled 3y 7 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | - | 91 (2) | 48 (1) | 44 (2) | 37 (4) | 38 (1) | 37 (3) | 40 (4) | 35 (2) | 41 (3) | - | 64 | 56 | 43 | 55 | 67 | 64 | 2 | 8/11F | |
The dominant D2 specialist — 5 wins and 6 places from 10 runs at Doncaster 275m (50% win, 60% place) with a stunning recent D2 record of 4 wins from 5 starts (1st, 4th, 1st, 1st, 1st). Trainer Watson at 30% win rate is the strong-tier signal. Performance history of 78→54→75→77→77→59 shows three consecutive runs at 75-78, which is elite-level consistency — the kind of peak maintenance that separates winners from contenders. The 54 and 59 are off-days but even those are competitive at D2. Speed 58 is second-best in the field (behind stablemate Mustang Mile at 62). T3 at 22.95% (244r) is moderate but not a structural negative. The pick over Mustang Mile comes down to consistency: four D2 wins from five recent starts versus two from five for the stablemate. When a dog wins at a 50% rate from 10 C&D runs with Watson behind, the data is overwhelming. Average performance 67 is joint-best in the field.
DANGER: Speed R1 (62) + Watson 30% + C&D 40% win. The speed edge over the pick (62 vs 58) is the main threat. More volatile form (53, 55 mixed in) is the key differentiator.
Best trap (T1, 26.79%) + 80% C&D place rate = outstanding each-way value. Speed 44 limits winning potential but she'll almost certainly be in the first two.
Strong structural position (T5 + early pace 100 at sprint) but only 1 C&D run vs opponents with 10 each. The 450m→275m distance switch is a significant unknown against proven specialists.
Dead trap (T4, 16.94%) + worst avgP (60) + declining form. C&D record (30%) shows he belongs but recent evidence and structural draw make winning very difficult.
Two Watson 30% runners both on 67 avgP with proven D2 C&D records. T1 and T5 are the structural best traps. D-grade reliability means the class dogs should prevail.
T1:26.8% (209r) T2:19.1% (273r) T3:23.0% (244r) T4:16.9% (248r) T5:25.8% (198r) T6:21.1% (185r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.