Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Redbrick Icemand 2y 8 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 46 | 60 (1) | 33 (5) | 39 (4) | 35 (5) | 41 (4) | 60 (1) | 59 (1) | 43 (3) | 59 (1) | 40 (4) | 57 | 53 | 40 | 51 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 4/7F | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymurry Elleb 4y 36 | M Haythorne — 19% R83 W16 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 51 | 31 (1) | 17 (6) | 21 (3) | 30 (1) | 29 (5) | 33 (4) | 25 (5) | 27 (5) | 29 (5) | 33 (5) | 31 | 31 | 26 | 29 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 25/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Grouchos Emilyb 1y 3 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 51 | 41 (3) | 45 (3) | 60 (1) | 53 (2) | 52 (2) | 47 (2) | 38 (5) | 33 (5) | 42 (4) | 40 (4) | 31 | 23 | - | - | 56 | 46 | 3 | 15/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ Glitter Ronnied 4yN/R 22 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 29 (2) | 27 (4) | 39 (3) | 44 (2) | 49 (3) | 41 (3) | 38 (6) | 49 (3) | 37 (4) | 36 (5) | 29 | 30 | 32 | 27 | 50 | 43 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Millhouse Charmb 3y 6 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 52 | 48 (3) | 42 (3) | 49 (2) | 45 (3) | 44 (4) | 45 (3) | 41 (2) | 41 (4) | 40 (4) | 59 (1) | 45 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 53 | 49 | 2 | 9/2 | |
Speed Rank 1 (joint, 63) combined with the field-best average performance (57) and a proven course & distance record of 3 wins and 5 places from 10 runs at Doncaster 450m (30% win, 50% place). Closer profile (early pace 43, closing speed 100, consistency 33) suits Doncaster's fair layout where Closers can make ground through the home straight. Performance history of 63→67→49→42→47→71 shows a recent peak of 71 — the highest single performance in the field — combined with earlier volatile runs. Grade context: dropping from B3 where he was running 5th, 5th, 4th — the B3 form suggests B4 is a better fit, and the recent 2nd at B4 and peak of 71 confirm he's competitive here. T1 at 21.21% (132r) is moderate — not the structural sweet spot but not a negative. The speed advantage (63 vs field average ~51) combined with the C&D pedigree makes him the most data-backed selection despite the volatile form.
DANGER: Joint Speed R1 (63) + T6 decent draw (22%). The speed matches the pick but the 4-point avgP deficit and 10% C&D win rate (vs pick's 30%) make him the secondary threat.
Improving form (66→62 latest) but only 2 C&D runs and speed 46 well behind the leaders (63). Possible improver but unproven at 450m B4.
0 wins from 10 C&D runs is the defining stat. Worst trap (T5, 16.16%) + 7-point avgP deficit. Consistent placer but structurally unable to win at this level.
Best trap (T3, 29.19%) but worst dog by every metric — avgP 43, speed 38, 0 C&D wins. The structural draw advantage cannot bridge a 14-point ability gap.
T3 dominant at 29.19% but wasted on the weakest dog (avgP 43). Speed R1 is the primary factor with two dogs sharing it at 63. Closer-friendly fair track.
T1:21.2% (132r) T2:17.1% (158r) T3:29.2% (209r) T4:21.4% (173r) T5:16.2% (198r) T6:22.1% (195r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Redbrick Iceman | 43 | 100 | Closer |
3Ballymurry Elle | 51 | 0 | All-Rounder |
4Grouchos Emily | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Glitter Ronnie | 46 | 87 | Closer |
6Millhouse Charm | 53 | 37 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.