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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Calgray Flyerd 3y 5 | S A Birks — 16% R216 W35 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 50 | 45 (4) | 45 (3) | 41 (4) | 48 (3) | 58 (1) | 48 (3) | 39 (4) | 63 (1) | 15 (3) | 47 (2) | 29 | 28 | 14 | 27 | 54 | 45 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Abigail Surpriseb 2y 11 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P182 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 54 | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 53 (2) | 44 (2) | 41 (5) | 46 (3) | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 37 (4) | 57 (1) | 31 | 40 | - | 65 | 61 | 56 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Ruffian Kimberd 1y 4 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 41 | 44 (4) | 51 (2) | 47 (3) | 59 (1) | 44 (3) | 44 (3) | 35 (5) | 28 (4) | 43 (3) | 37 (3) | 36 | 28 | - | - | 54 | 46 | 4 | 9/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Shanahee Briand 2y 18 | S A Birks — 16% R216 W35 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 58 | 25 (5) | 36 (3) | 58 (1) | 43 (4) | 31 (5) | 34 (5) | 58 (1) | 52 (3) | 42 (2) | 58 (1) | 43 | 43 | 26 | 43 | 59 | 53 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Redbrick Nuked 2y 27 | J W Gaskin — 23% R325 W74 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 43 | 65 (2) | 60 (3) | 40 (4) | 46 (2) | 47 (3) | 58 (1) | 58 (1) | 43 (5) | 59 (1) | 42 (4) | 71 | 64 | 40 | 64 | 60 | 62 | 2 | 7/4F | ||
The mega stack dog — Speed Rank 1 (55, field best), best average performance (61), drawn in T3 which is the dominant trap at 29.19% from 209 runs in B4 conditions, AND a course & distance record of 4 wins from 6 runs (67% win rate, 83% place rate). That 67% C&D win rate from 6 runs is exceptional. All-Rounder profile (early pace 51, closing speed 44, consistency 40) gives tactical versatility to adapt to the pace. Performance history of 70→56→63→68→47→67 shows peaks of 70 and 68 with strong consistency — the 47 is an off-day but 4 of 6 runs are above 56. Rising through the grades: recent wins at B5/B6 level, now B4. Trainer Williams at 16% is the one weak point but with this mega stack of signals, trainer is irrelevant. This is Doncaster's version of the R1 + best trap + strong C&D + perf gap combination — the national data says this stack hits 30.4% win / 50.9% place rate.
DANGER: B4 specialist with 40% C&D win rate from 10 runs and improving form (69→68). Closer profile suits Doncaster. The 7-point trap gap to the pick (22% vs 29%) is the main negative.
Strong C&D record (40% win, 70% place from 10r) but T5 is the worst trap at 16.16%. Fader profile means he leads from the worst structural position — a tough combination. Each-way contender at best.
Worst C&D win rate in the field (10% from 10 runs) + declining form + field-worst avgP. The data strongly suggests this dog is outclassed at B4.
Limited C&D experience (2 runs, 0 places) + joint-worst avgP (54). Closer profile gives some hope but the ability gap to the leaders is too large.
T3 dominates at 29.19% from 209 runs — the strongest structural trap by far. T5 and T2 are the dead traps. Comp R1 is solid at 24.7%. The mega stack alignment is clear: best dog + best trap.
T1:21.2% (132r) T2:17.1% (158r) T3:29.2% (209r) T4:21.4% (173r) T5:16.2% (198r) T6:22.1% (195r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Calgray Flyer | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Abigail Surprise | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
4Ruffian Kimber | 43 | 100 | Closer |
5Shanahee Brian | 57 | 0 | Fader |
6Redbrick Nuke | 44 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.