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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hitthelids Stevod 5y 36 | N J Deas — 17% R456 W76 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 41 | 70 (3) | 70 (4) | 96 (1) | 84 (2) | 74 (4) | 60 (4) | 68 (2) | 79 (1) | 55 (5) | 76 (1) | 46 | 49 | 51 | 42 | 65 | 58 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Makeit Riverb 3y 16 | F J Gray — 21% R345 W72 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 52 | 81 (1) | 65 (2) | 63 (3) | 66 (2) | 56 (5) | 60 (4) | 53 (5) | 75 (2) | 76 (2) | 66 (3) | 64 | 44 | 47 | 35 | 62 | 57 | 1 | 6/4F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Fabulous Sakurab 2yN/R 13 | L G Tuffin — 25% R271 W68 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 55 | 54 (6) | 58 (4) | 66 (4) | 57 (2) | 77 (4) | 74 (1) | 47 (1) | 53 (5) | 71 (4) | - | 22 | 34 | 15 | 31 | 63 | 51 | - | - | ||
| 4 | ▶ Antigua Bubbled 3y 6 | A Welch — 15% R292 W44 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 50 | 65 (3) | 59 (4) | 76 (1) | 52 (5) | 50 (5) | 69 (2) | 61 (3) | 62 (2) | 59 (3) | 32 (3) | 30 | 38 | 18 | 36 | 51 | 45 | 4 | 11/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Keplar Alexab 2y 16 | D J Atkins — 17% R35 W6 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 53 | 38 (5) | 54 (4) | 64 (3) | 56 (4) | 74 (3) | 54 (5) | 50 (5) | 82 (1) | 77 (1) | 76 (3) | 45 | 51 | 21 | 45 | 68 | 61 | 2 | 3/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Be More Ruthlessd 2y 15 | H J Dimmock — 19% R173 W33 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 32 | 56 (5) | 60 (4) | 78 (1) | 49 (5) | 73 (2) | 65 (2) | 64 (4) | 77 (1) | 50 (5) | 60 (3) | 19 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 55 | 42 | 5 | 10/3 | ||
Hitthelids Stevo is the selection on the combined strength of Towcester's powerful T1 structural advantage at 500m — where the inside trap wins at roughly double the expected rate — and a recent A3 form record that is the most consistent and convincing in the field. He won A3 500m on 13 March (P79) and finished 2nd at A3 on 22 March (P69), demonstrating he is fully effective at this grade right now without any form fluctuation. Composite 58 and avgPerf 65 are second only to Keplar Alexa, and the consistency rating of 72 reflects a reliable, repeatable performer rather than a boom-and-bust runner. The All-Rounder profile (earlyPace 46, firstBend 41) from T1 means he will settle promptly on the inside rail and dictate his own race — the T1 position at Towcester 500m is the single most powerful structural advantage available in any race at this venue, and Hitthelids Stevo has the form and fitness to convert it. His class suitability of 51 is the highest in the field, confirming he is at the right grade. With two solid A3 runs behind him in the last fortnight, he is in the form of his life for this assignment.
Makeit River brings the best speed rating in the field at 60, the fastest bestTime of 29.38, and the highest trap suitability at 64 from T2. She drops from A1/A2 company — having faced the best competition available — to A3, which is a significant class relief. Her recent P66 (2nd A3) and P56 (5th A2) suggest she can operate at A3 level and above. The All-Rounder profile (earlyPace 48, firstBend 52) gives her a clean early run and the raw pace to challenge throughout. The risk is that recent A2 exposure (5th, 4th) shows she struggled there, but A3 is demonstrably within her compass on the P66 run. If she produces her best at this trip, the speed rating advantage over the field is significant.
Keplar Alexa tops the composite and avgPerf but had a P51 5th at A3 most recently. Closer from T5 with earlyPace 0 is structurally difficult at Towcester. High ability but form uncertainty makes her third pick.
Fabulous Sakura has two A4 wins and a recent A3 2nd (P66). Fader with firstBend 55 from T3 gives decent pace. But track suitability 34 and trap suitability 22 highlight limited course affinity. Fourth pick.
Antigua Bubble has A3 3rd places but consistency 39 is low. Mid-field on composite (45) and avgPerf (51). Workmanlike runner who competes without threatening the front. Place interest only.
Be More Ruthless has been A3 consistent but never wins. Track suitability 20, distance suitability 17 — very poor Towcester affinity. EarlyPace 72 contradicted by firstBend 32. T6 draw and poor course figures make her an unlikely winner.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hitthelids Stevo | 46 | 53 | All-Rounder |
2Makeit River | 48 | 47 | All-Rounder |
3Fabulous Sakura | 55 | 14 | Fader |
4Antigua Bubble | 52 | 55 | Closer |
5Keplar Alexa | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Be More Ruthless | 72 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.