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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Roanna Sharpb 3y 26 | C Condon — 9% R32 W3 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 42 | 100 (1) | 91 (2) | 87 (1) | 70 (3) | 53 (6) | 60 (5) | 82 (2) | 43 (1) | 56 (5) | 58 (3) | 58 | 80 | 37 | 61 | 64 | 65 | 3 | 5/2F | |
| 2 | ▶ Happy Jetd 2y 6 | C A Grasso — 10% R31 W3 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 31 | 68 (4) | 71 (3) | 69 (2) | 67 (4) | 73 (4) | 54 (6) | 63 (4) | 50 (5) | 52 (6) | 56 (5) | 40 | 50 | - | 11 | 63 | 53 | 6 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Bogger Prod 2y 24 | A Welch — 15% R316 W47 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 69 (3) | 57 (4) | 86 (1) | 82 (1) | 79 (1) | 60 (4) | 58 (3) | 65 (3) | 28 (3) | - | 40 | 40 | - | 51 | 71 | 61 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Salacres Slickd 3y 15 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 53 (5) | 60 (5) | 87 (6) | 84 (1) | 63 (1) | 86 (3) | 60 (1) | 61 (4) | 66 (4) | - | 57 | 46 | - | 51 | 75 | 67 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Fabulous Glanceb 3y 15 | L G Tuffin — 25% R276 W70 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 62 | 54 (5) | 93 (1) | 38 (2) | 31 (5) | 50 (5) | 92 (1) | 52 (6) | 68 (3) | 87 (1) | 78 (2) | 34 | 51 | 18 | 35 | 72 | 61 | 4 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Knockard Joed 3y 7 | P B Philpott — 16% R141 W22 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 43 (5) | 46 (6) | 71 (5) | 56 (5) | 48 (4) | 73 (5) | 82 (3) | 46 (2) | 90 (6) | - | 55 | 31 | 21 | 30 | 74 | 62 | 2 | 13/2 | |
Bogger Pro arrives at A1 on the most compelling form trajectory in this race — three consecutive wins at A4 (P79), A3 (P82), and A2 (P86, last race 28 March), each at a progressively harder grade and each with an improving performance rating. This is a dog accelerating through the grades in real time, and the step to A1 is the logical next test for a runner who has not been beaten in six weeks. AvgPerf of 71 and composite 61 are among the best in the field, and his bestTime of 29.37 is competitive for A1 company. From T3 with firstBend 52 and earlyPace 51 he will be well-positioned without needing to lead, tracking the early pace of Fabulous Glance and able to assert in the latter half of the race. The Closer profile (consistency 41) is a minor concern but the form trajectory overrides it — horses and dogs on three-race winning streaks stepping up in grade are statistically among the most reliable betting propositions in racing. The A2 win margin (P86, 1st) was the strongest performance figure in this field's collective recent form and suggests A1 is well within his range.
Fabulous Glance will lead this race by virtue of the highest firstBend rating (62) and earlyPace (66) in the field — a Fader who goes very early and tries to build an insurmountable lead. Her form reads P87 (1st A2), P78 (2nd A1), P87 (1st A2), P82 (1st A3) — she has already placed at A1 level and her A2/A3 wins are all high-quality performances. BestTime of 29.26 is the joint-fastest in the field. Her T5 draw is less ideal than an inner trap at Towcester 500m, but her pace profile means she will not be relying on rail running to win. The most recent OR run (P68, 3rd) on 29 March suggests she may have found conditions tough there, but a return to Towcester at A1 on her record merits maximum respect. She is the most likely pace-setter and one of the two most likely winners.
Salacres Slick leads on composite (67) and avgPerf (75) with three A2 wins including P88. BestTime 29.26, All-Rounder from T4. Steps to A1 with the strongest raw data in the field. Third pick behind Bogger Pro and Fabulous Glance.
Roanna Sharp has T1 draw and track suitability 80 — the strongest course advantage in the field. Previous A1 2nd (P82). But Closer profile with earlyPace 0 and 27-day absence create genuine doubts. Structural advantage is real but pace dependency is the risk.
Knockard Joe has excellent A1 history (P90 win, P85 2nd) but recent form includes a P47 6th and a stayers detour. T6 at Towcester 500m is a structural disadvantage. Class is there but draw and form doubts prevent a confident selection.
Happy Jet has the fastest bestTime (29.06) but A1 race form of 4th, 6th, 5th, and distance suitability of only 11 make him hard to back. Returns from two trials. The speed is there in theory but not converting in races.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Roanna Sharp | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Happy Jet | 49 | 42 | All-Rounder |
3Bogger Pro | 51 | 58 | Closer |
4Salacres Slick | 51 | 33 | All-Rounder |
5Fabulous Glance | 66 | 0 | Fader |
6Knockard Joe | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.