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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Adachi Red Devilb 2y 6 | D Jeans — 13% R244 W31 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 29 (5) | 25 (5) | 21 (6) | 24 (4) | 34 (4) | 40 (1) | 35 (3) | 41 (1) | 37 (2) | 71 (1) | 58 | 78 | 40 | 78 | 52 | 59 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Salacres Serenb 2y 14 | P H Harnden — 17% R398 W67 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 42 (2) | 37 (3) | 74 (4) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 46 (1) | 38 (3) | 47 (1) | 74 (2) | 50 (5) | 82 | 86 | 50 | 71 | 46 | 58 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fratton Barkd 3y 15 | L J Pruhs — 24% R25 W6 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 0 | 45 (6) | 42 (1) | 29 (6) | 41 (1) | 34 (3) | 56 (5) | 58 (3) | 40 (3) | 28 (5) | 32 (3) | 64 | 65 | 30 | 56 | 40 | 48 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Pavilion Miahd 2y 16 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W92 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 27 (4) | 27 (3) | 25 (5) | 28 (3) | 31 (3) | 22 (4) | 31 (4) | 30 (3) | 27 (5) | 28 (5) | 13 | 36 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 30 | 6 | 18/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Unknown Pathb 2y 15 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W92 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 42 (3) | 42 (5) | 61 (1) | 59 (1) | 33 (5) | 40 (4) | 37 (4) | 37 (2) | 34 (2) | 41 (1) | 35 | 67 | - | 71 | 36 | 44 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Peled 3y 26 | H J Dimmock — 19% R177 W34 P97 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 91 | 63 (1) | 45 (5) | 52 (2) | 63 (1) | 51 (5) | 92 (1) | 36 (4) | 43 (1) | 54 (5) | 53 (5) | 34 | 57 | 61 | 53 | 61 | 56 | 1 | 11/2 | - | |
Jacktavern Pele is a fascinating selection whose profile stands out dramatically from the rest of this D2 field. Her firstBend rating of 91 is the highest by a considerable margin in this race and among the most extreme first-bend speed indicators possible — in a 270m sprint where the race is effectively settled at the opening bend, this is a decisive structural advantage that few rivals can overcome regardless of trap position. Her avgPerf of 61 is the highest in the field, and the career form at A1 and A2 level (P87 win at A2 500m on 5 Dec, A1 runs in December) confirms she is a dog of significantly superior ability to these D2 rivals; this is a talent returning after a break to the easiest grade she has contested. The earlyPace of 58 and Fader profile complement the firstBend data — she is expected to break sharply, take an early lead and sustain it over the very short trip. The T6 draw is the only concern at a track that rewards inside running, but the extraordinary gate-speed data suggests she will cross and find the rail regardless. Class, speed at the break, and pure ability all point to Jacktavern Pele.
Adachi Red Devil is the consistent form pick in this race, having won D2 270m on 24 March and finished 2nd the previous week. Composite of 59 is the highest in the field, and his track suitability (78), distance suitability (78) and trap suitability (58) from T1 are excellent — the T1 inside draw at Towcester is a premium position. Consistent All-Rounder profile (earlyPace 50, firstBend 50) means he will get a clean early run. The only real challenge comes from Jacktavern Pele's superior class and gate speed, but if she is ring-rusty after her long absence, Adachi Red Devil is the safe in-form alternative who should take at least the place.
Salacres Seren carries the best track suitability (86) and trap suitability (82) in the field — exceptional course affinity from the T2 draw. She drops from OR company which represents class relief. However her recent competitive form is heading in the wrong direction: P75 (2nd OR 305m), then P52, P35, P27 in her D1 270m starts — a notably declining sequence. Without firstBend data available her early pace profile is uncertain. The suitability advantage is real but the deteriorating form trajectory makes her a risky proposition despite the course figures.
Fratton Bark has a firstBend rating of 0 — essentially no early bend speed — and a Closer profile with earlyPace 0, making her the worst-placed runner in this field for a 270m sprint. The distance is simply too short for her running style to be effective. Despite decent track suitability (65) and trap suitability (64) from T3, the pace profile disqualifies her as a credible winning prospect here. Her best form (P56 at A3 462m, P41 at D2 277m) came at longer trips.
Unknown Path steps up from D3 270m where she has been consistently winning and placing (P36 win D3, P35 2nd D3). Composite 44 and avgPerf 36 reflect modest ability, and the step to D2 is a natural progression but a tougher test. Track suitability 67 and distance suitability 71 suggest she handles this course and trip. She is unlikely to beat the class performers above her but could contest the minor placings if both main contenders have issues.
Pavilion Miah is the lowest-rated runner in this field with composite 30 and avgPerf 31. Her recent D2 form shows consistent mid-field finishes (4th, 3rd, 5th, 5th, 2nd) without suggesting she can win at this level. Track suitability of only 36 and the lowest trap suitability in the field at 13 compound the rating weakness. She offers little winning interest against this company.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 255m | 270m | 277m | 305m | 450m | 460m | 462m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adachi Red Devil | — | 0.607 | — | — | 0.610 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Salacres Seren | 0.623 | 0.593 | — | 0.601 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Fratton Bark | — | 0.604 | 0.600 | — | — | — | 0.620 | — |
| 4 | Pavilion Miah | — | 0.610 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Unknown Path | — | 0.597 | — | — | — | 0.597 | — | — |
| 6 | Jacktavern Pele | — | 0.592 | — | — | — | 0.586 | — | 0.602 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.