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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Devond 3y 13 | A Welch — 15% R313 W47 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 53 | 36 (4) | 39 (3) | 89 (1) | 83 (1) | 77 (2) | 41 (3) | 55 (5) | 100 (1) | 94 (2) | 100 (1) | 48 | 61 | - | 40 | 85 | 73 | 1 | 15/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ My Ballymacb 1y 15 | R Peckham — 50% R14 W7 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 26 | 91 (1) | 67 (3) | 52 (2) | 42 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 44 | 63 | - | 63 | 42 | 47 | 3 | 11/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Makeit Epicb 4yN/R 14 | F J Gray — 20% R350 W70 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 80 | 31 (4) | 35 (3) | 55 (4) | 64 (4) | 52 (5) | 78 (1) | 48 (5) | 63 (3) | 42 (1) | 35 (2) | 50 | 62 | 28 | 50 | 54 | 54 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Franco Jon Jod 2y 27 | L G Tuffin — 25% R275 W69 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 43 (1) | 36 (5) | 37 (4) | 58 (5) | 43 (2) | 39 (2) | 42 (2) | 39 (2) | 33 (3) | 42 (1) | 45 | 31 | - | 35 | 56 | 49 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Longcroft Antd 1y 4 | C J Joyce — 7% R14 W1 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 31 (4) | 31 (4) | 36 (2) | 35 (2) | 23 (6) | 42 (1) | 33 (2) | - | - | - | 5 | 75 | - | 79 | 37 | 43 | 4 | 10/3 | |
Savana Devon is a standout class act in what is a straightforward D1 sprint for a dog of her calibre. Her performance ratings of P100 and P95 at A1 450m level — two grades above this contest — represent a ceiling comfortably ahead of anything else here, and her composite score of 73 and avgPerf of 85 dwarf the field. The recent low form figures (P22 in trial, P55 at OR3) reflect a returning dog easing back into competition rather than a decline in ability; her bestTime of 15.87 is faster than anyone else in this race. Occupying T1 at Towcester in a 270m sprint provides the critical inside rail advantage from the outset. The firstBend rating of 53 is solid if not spectacular, and her Closer profile from the data (earlyPace 45) may reflect that pace data comes from 450m races — 270m sprints at Towcester reward gate speed and inside position. Track suitability of 61 and a speed rating of 56 that leads this field underline her credentials as a class dropper who should dominate at this level.
Makeit Epic is the main pace threat courtesy of a firstBend rating of 80 — the highest by a substantial margin in this field — which is the single most important attribute in a 270m sprint where the race can be won or lost in the first two seconds. She drops from A3/A4 500m company to D1 270m which represents a genuine class relief on ability grounds, and her track suitability of 62 confirms she handles Towcester well. The Fader profile (earlyPace 40) is somewhat contradicted by the exceptional firstBend rating, suggesting she is capable of breaking sharply from the traps. If she can secure the early lead from T3, she has the class edge over the other lower-rated rivals and could hold on if Savana Devon is slow out.
Franco Jon Jo won at D2 270m last time (P42, 1st on 29 Mar) and steps up a grade here to D1. His composite of 49 and avgPerf of 56 place him third in the field on ratings, but the low class suitability (0) and track suitability of only 31 suggest limited course affinity. FirstBend 47 is workmanlike and earlyPace 55 is moderate. He cannot be dismissed having won last time but the class step up and limited Towcester form make him a place candidate at best.
My Ballymac shows a high earlyPace rating of 91 but this is contradicted by a firstBend rating of only 26, an unusual combination suggesting erratic breaking habits. Composite 47 and avgPerf 42 are below the key protagonists. Track and distance suitability are respectively 63 and 63 — the highest in the field for both — but the raw performance data does not match her course affinity scores. She has a recent D2 win but remains a lightly-raced, inconsistent runner. The earlyPace/firstBend contradiction means she is hard to trust in a race this short.
Longcroft Ant steps up from D2 270m where she has been competitive but unspectacular (P41, 1st; P33, 2nd; P22 trial wins). Composite of 43 and avgPerf of 37 are the lowest in the field, and she is moving into D1 company for the first time. Despite a consistent D2 record her ratings ceiling appears modest. She should compete for a place but is unlikely to trouble the top two on current evidence.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.