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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lamorna Amazeb 4y 34 | A D Scott — 15% R39 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 70 | 50 | 65 (5) | 62 (5) | 91 (1) | 69 (4) | 66 (3) | 65 (4) | 70 (3) | 66 (4) | 44 (5) | 60 (4) | 54 | 40 | - | 35 | 68 | 59 | 1 | 11/8JF | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Deliciousb 4y 28 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W76 P245 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 78 | 45 (2) | 48 (2) | 71 (2) | 69 (2) | 58 (5) | 61 (4) | 43 (4) | 60 (4) | 43 (3) | 68 (4) | 29 | 5 | - | - | 49 | 38 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hitthelids Bonod 2y 17 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W76 P245 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 18 | 43 (4) | 45 (4) | 70 (3) | 61 (4) | 79 (2) | 70 (2) | 42 (3) | 45 (3) | 41 (4) | 33 (6) | 54 | 27 | - | 30 | 41 | 40 | 5 | 11/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballyea Hoped 2y 15 | K J Crocker — 16% R142 W23 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 78 | 46 (3) | 47 (3) | 60 (1) | 37 (4) | 51 (2) | 56 (5) | 56 (5) | 48 (3) | 32 (6) | 34 (5) | 33 | 15 | - | - | 45 | 38 | 4 | 9/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Unknown Captaind 4y 42 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 78 | 40 | 60 (6) | 45 (4) | 72 (4) | 72 (3) | 37 (6) | 71 (3) | 94 (1) | 61 (1) | 69 (3) | 44 (4) | 22 | 22 | 15 | 15 | 55 | 43 | 3 | 11/8JF | |
| 6 | ▶ Confey Storyb 3y 24 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 36 | 52 (1) | 35 (5) | 40 (3) | 55 (1) | 40 (2) | 58 (6) | 67 (5) | 35 (5) | 40 (2) | 71 (4) | 1 | 17 | - | - | 45 | 32 | 6 | 18/1 | |
Lamorna Amaze leads this S3 712m field by a decisive composite margin — 59 versus 43 for the next-best rival — and holds the best avgPerf (68) and the leading bestTime (44.28) of the confirmed stayers in the field. She has been a consistent S-grade performer across recent months: P69 4th at S3, P67 3rd at S3, P66 4th at S3, P70 3rd at S2 — a remarkably stable pattern of running near the front of quality stayer fields without taking them apart. The Closer profile (earlyPace 0) is entirely appropriate for a 712m race where stamina and sustained middle-distance galloping matter far more than gate speed — the opening bend at 712m is a minor factor compared to the long run back and the second circuit of the course. Speed rating 70 is above the field average for a stayer of this calibre. T1 provides the inside rail which at 712m on a turning course is a useful, if modest, advantage. The most recent trial run (P21) on 28 March confirms she is race-fit. Given the large composite gap over rivals and the consistency of her S-grade form across multiple grades and trips, she is the standout selection.
Unknown Captain recorded the fastest 712m time in this field (bestTime 44.12) and her two recent S3 712m runs are genuinely strong: P83 (2nd) on 10 March and P69 (3rd) on 27 March. The speed rating of 78 is the highest in the field by a wide margin, suggesting she has the raw pace to compete at this distance when she is on song. The concern is that all her suitability scores — track (22), distance (15), trap (22) — are very low, indicating unreliable or limited form data at this course and distance. From T5 she needs a clean run on the outside. However, the 712m time record and the recent S3 form make her Lamorna Amaze's most credible challenger by some distance.
Swift Delicious has firstBend 78 and some S3 form but track suitability 5 and distance suitability 0 are severe red flags at Towcester 712m. Consistent mid-field finisher without winning prospect.
Hitthelids Bono steps up from A8 500m to S3 712m — major distance increase. BestTime 45.18 is among the slowest here. EarlyPace 100 contradicted by firstBend 18. Below the main contenders on all measures.
Ballyea Hope has firstBend 78 and earlyPace 100 but distance suitability 0 and bestTime 45.21. Mostly A6/A7 500m form with limited stayer credentials. Unlikely to feature in the finish.
Confey Story has composite 32, trap suitability 1 from T6, speed 37 (lowest), and distance suitability 0. The combination of poor stayer credentials and a wide outside trap makes her the weakest runner here.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 712m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lamorna Amaze | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Swift Delicious | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Hitthelids Bono | 100 | 5 | Fader |
4Ballyea Hope | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Unknown Captain | 0 | 95 | Closer |
6Confey Story | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.