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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Freyas Lulab 2y 27 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 49 | 37 (6) | 37 (5) | 36 (6) | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 59 (1) | 48 (2) | 29 (5) | 42 (2) | 26 (6) | 65 | 26 | 18 | 26 | 45 | 43 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballyclearyflashd 3y 16 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 60 | 37 (3) | 25 (5) | 39 (5) | 50 (2) | 35 (5) | 37 (5) | 43 (4) | 33 (5) | 55 (3) | 59 (1) | 40 | 36 | - | 36 | 49 | 45 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Falls Of Dochartd 3y 5 | N J Deas — 17% R450 W76 P247 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 29 | 58 (2) | 62 (1) | 42 (3) | 39 (6) | 18 (6) | 36 (6) | 78 (2) | 77 (2) | 65 (4) | 46 (3) | 31 | 10 | 34 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 5 | 16/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Vinegarhill Deeb 3y 14 | A Ioannou — 13% R90 W12 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 65 | 47 (5) | 51 (5) | 58 (4) | 50 (3) | 32 (4) | 56 (6) | 37 (2) | 40 (6) | 46 (5) | - | 40 | 38 | 49 | 34 | 45 | 42 | 2 | 15/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ El Prez Banditd 3y 14 | V A Lea — 15% R191 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 45 | 54 (3) | 68 (1) | 62 (1) | 51 (3) | 42 (4) | 38 (6) | 57 (6) | 35 (2) | 43 (6) | - | 24 | 31 | 49 | 22 | 50 | 41 | 4 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Trapstyle Sleepyb 2y 25 | J M Liles — 19% R425 W79 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 42 | 33 (3) | 58 (1) | 32 (6) | 33 (6) | 31 (6) | 36 (1) | 35 (1) | 29 (3) | 49 (3) | 61 (1) | 28 | 29 | - | 15 | 37 | 32 | 6 | 7/1 | |
Freyas Lula has the combination of the strongest structural advantage on this course — T1 at Towcester 500m, where the inside trap wins at roughly double the expected rate — and the best speed rating in the field at 57, which translates to genuine raw pace to back up the positional benefit. Her form trajectory is encouraging: she won A8 500m on 24 March (P59) and followed up with a 2nd at A6 500m on 29 March (P52), showing she can be competitive at this grade immediately after stepping up from A8. The Closer profile (earlyPace 45) is somewhat mitigated by the T1 draw — she will settle on the inside rail without needing to cross from an outer trap. Trap suitability of 65 is the highest in the field and confirms her affinity for the inside position. While track suitability of 26 is below ideal, the trap advantage at this specific course layout is the overriding factor. In a tightly matched field where composites range narrowly between 32 and 45, the T1 structural edge at Towcester 500m is the deciding differentiator, and Freyas Lula is the best-equipped runner to exploit it.
Ballyclearyflash leads the field on composite score (45) and is the most consistent runner here with six recent A7/A6 performances all showing credible form — a P59 win at A7 and P55 3rd at A6 being recent highlights. Her consistency rating of 74 is the second-highest in the field and her Fader profile (firstBend 60, earlyPace 55) gives her genuine early presence in a race where pace is important. From T2, one off the inside rail, she should get a clean early run. The lack of a decisive suitability edge over Freyas Lula prevents her from taking the top spot, but she is the most reliable each-way option in the race.
Vinegarhill Dee has the highest firstBend (65) and earlyPace (64) in the field — the likely early leader. But inconsistent A6 form (P50, P33, P56) and the T4 draw mean she is a place/each-way runner rather than a confident selection.
El Prez Bandit drops from A5 with the highest avgPerf (50) but a history of placing without winning. Closer from T5 with modest suitability scores. Consistent 3rd-5th type who rarely wins in the final analysis.
Falls Of Dochart has track and distance suitability of 10 and 11 at Towcester 500m — essentially zero course affinity. Recent runs at D4 270m and S3 712m bear no relevance. FirstBend 29, earlyPace 0. Difficult to see how she factors.
Trapstyle Sleepy is the worst-rated A6 runner here, with two 6th-place finishes at this grade. Her sprint D3 form does not translate to A6 500m. Composite 32, earlyPace 100 is misleading at this trip. No realistic chance.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Freyas Lula | 45 | 77 | Closer |
2Ballyclearyflash | 55 | 23 | Fader |
3Falls Of Dochart | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Vinegarhill Dee | 64 | 15 | Fader |
5El Prez Bandit | 38 | 100 | Closer |
6Trapstyle Sleepy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.