| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dower Magicd 4y 35 | T D Coote — 19% R578 W111 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 19 (5) | 29 (1) | 22 (4) | 20 (4) | 27 (3) | 29 (1) | 20 (4) | 26 (3) | 25 (2) | 27 (2) | 41 | 32 | 34 | 35 | 24 | 30 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Glenvale Beaub 4y 15 | I Zivkovic — 13% R611 W82 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 23 (2) | 16 (4) | 24 (6) | 23 (3) | 20 (3) | 19 (4) | 26 (6) | 18 (2) | 28 (4) | - | 43 | 33 | 38 | 33 | 23 | 30 | 2 | 9/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Perryd 1y 5 | J Robinson — 19% R298 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 23 (3) | 23 (4) | 25 (6) | 36 (6) | 20 (5) | 29 (6) | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | 23 (4) | 32 (1) | 45 | 52 | - | 52 | 20 | 33 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Grumpy Emmyb 1y 16 | N Langley — 16% R210 W34 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (2) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 24 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 44 | 61 | - | 61 | - | 24 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ferndale Ginb 4y 24 | W M Lyons — 19% R1052 W203 P561 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 24 (3) | 27 (2) | 27 (2) | 29 (2) | 27 (3) | 36 (5) | 25 (2) | 25 (2) | 27 (3) | 33 (1) | 28 | 26 | 18 | 32 | 24 | 26 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Grumpy Dorisb 1y 5 | N Langley — 16% R210 W34 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 23 (5) | 24 (3) | 24 (3) | 28 (3) | 23 (3) | 33 (6) | 23 (1) | 31 (5) | 33 (5) | - | 11 | 9 | - | 9 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 9/2 | |
The model's top pick based on consistent D5 form at Kinsley — a run of placings that reads three second or third positions in her last three outings. She hasn't won but has been competitive in every recent start. Drawn on the rail, which historically returns a solid 17% at this trip. The concern is that the field's margins are so slim that the trap position and course record of the runner immediately beside her may be the deciding factor.
Dominant box and best course record. The structural case for her is stronger than the predicted pick — flagged as AI Pick.
Declining form combined with the weakest trap draw. Faces a tough ask to feature here.
Trial background makes her an intriguing wildcard but impossible to assess with confidence against proven D5 rivals.
Reliable placer but lacks the finishing speed or box advantage to win. Each-way option at best.
Improving but starting with a structural disadvantage at a venue that doesn't suit her profile. Unlikely to feature.
T2 dominant at D5 268m Kinsley. LOW SEPARATION (3.1pp R1 vs R3) — trap position and course record outweigh composite rank. AI Pick flagged to trap 2.
T1:17.4% (172) T2:24.9% (185) T3:15.3% (157) T4:19.6% (179) T5:15.9% (189) T6:18.5% (157)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.