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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Step Juniorb 3y 15 | W M Lyons — 20% R1020 W199 P547 Trainer form — last 3 months | 74 | 53 | 49 | 42 (5) | 71 (1) | 45 (1) | 69 (4) | 53 (1) | 42 (3) | 41 (6) | 70 (6) | 34 (1) | - | 44 | 33 | 37 | 50 | 46 | 44 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Island Magsb 4y 28 | M N May — 16% R266 W43 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 36 (1) | 23 (4) | 26 (4) | 33 (1) | 23 (5) | 22 (4) | 25 (3) | 23 (5) | 26 (5) | 26 (4) | 38 | 44 | 45 | 44 | 29 | 34 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Queen Ettab 5y 14 | J S Atkins — 14% R288 W39 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 37 (1) | 29 (3) | 33 (4) | 21 (1) | 22 (6) | 30 (5) | 33 (3) | 22 (3) | 31 (5) | - | 50 | 35 | 38 | 35 | 30 | 36 | 3 | 2/1F | |
| 4 | ▶ Grumpy Wilburd 2y 16 | N Langley — 16% R203 W32 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 32 (3) | 20 (6) | 26 (4) | 32 (1) | 26 (3) | 27 (3) | 25 (6) | 25 (3) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 29 | 24 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Russanda Lexib 4y 37 | M N May — 16% R266 W43 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 38 | - | 50 (4) | 43 (5) | 65 (2) | 31 (3) | 29 (2) | 32 (2) | 25 (1) | 22 (4) | 20 (5) | - | 42 | 27 | 44 | 27 | 26 | 30 | 6 | 33/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Castlerock Cashd 1y 16 | J Robinson — 19% R290 W55 P165 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 69 (1) | 46 (3) | 42 (5) | 43 (5) | 36 (6) | 36 (5) | 54 (2) | 29 (3) | 36 (1) | - | 14 | 53 | 30 | 53 | 36 | 35 | 5 | 11/4 | |
Step Junior is the model's top-rated runner here and has showed she belongs at this level — her historical form at A6 produced scores in the low-40s and 50s, showing she has run far above D3 grade. Her recent outings at D3 level have been modest by comparison, with a 34 when second last time, but that was a competitive D3 effort. She finishes her races well and has decent distance suitability. The concern is her closing style at a sprint where the downhill Kinsley first bend tends to favour those who get into stride quickly. Trainer Lyons at 14% is below average, adding a degree of uncertainty.
Recent winner in the dominant box — the primary danger to the selection.
Honest D3 runner with poor trainer form — unlikely to win.
Consistent D3 placer but drawn in structurally disadvantaged box — hard to support.
Early pace at a sprint but poor closing ability — likely to be involved briefly then fade.
Poor recent form, lowest speed in field, poor trainer — very hard to recommend.
1,708 runs at D3 268m. Trap 6 is structurally dominant at 20.8% from 264 runs. Trap 3 is structurally dead at 12.6% from 263 runs. Rank 1 vs Rank 3 gap of 4.8pp — approaching but below the LOW SEPARATION threshold; structural factors lead the analysis.
T1:16.9% T2:18.5% T3:12.6% T4:14.8% T5:17.4% T6:20.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.