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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Markstreet Barryd 2y 37 | T D Coote — 19% R573 W110 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 45 | 30 (6) | 46 (4) | 53 (4) | 60 (3) | 44 (5) | 78 (1) | 43 (5) | 56 (4) | 45 (6) | 76 (1) | 36 | 41 | 17 | 37 | 59 | 49 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Sober Balladd 5y 28 | I Zivkovic — 13% R602 W81 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 48 | 57 (3) | 50 (4) | 37 (5) | 49 (6) | 45 (6) | 80 (1) | 80 (1) | 65 (2) | 67 (2) | 61 (3) | 46 | 45 | 58 | 49 | 64 | 56 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Scuba Stevied 4y 16 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 76 (1) | 50 (5) | 36 (2) | 63 (3) | 53 (5) | 52 (5) | 53 (5) | 46 (6) | 67 (4) | 69 (2) | 44 | 32 | 38 | 38 | 51 | 46 | 3 | 2/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Grantstown Roadd 2y 18 | T D Coote — 19% R573 W110 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 65 | 51 (5) | 58 (3) | 80 (1) | 65 (3) | 42 (6) | 62 (4) | 70 (2) | 33 (3) | 81 (1) | 71 (2) | 35 | 42 | 27 | 43 | 65 | 53 | 2 | 15/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Lundhill Alfied 3y 24 | S Oakes — 15% R27 W4 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 53 | 64 (2) | 31 (3) | 67 (2) | 76 (1) | 57 (4) | 60 (3) | 60 (4) | 64 (3) | 45 (5) | 49 (4) | 29 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 57 | 45 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Killieford Negrid 3y 15 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 81 (1) | 52 (4) | 68 (3) | 71 (2) | 49 (5) | 74 (2) | 67 (3) | 72 (2) | 82 (1) | 64 (4) | 30 | 32 | 41 | 29 | 67 | 51 | 4 | 7/1 | |
Sober Ballad is rated the class act in this field on her best form, having recorded back-to-back scores of 80 when winning A4 races here earlier in the season. She places from every box at this course and grade and her class suitability of 58 is the highest in the race. A closer by profile, she needs the leaders to come back to her — and the closing style is a mild concern at a Kinsley track that rewards early pace. The elephant in the room is her last run, when she finished sixth with a score of just 45 after those consecutive 80s. Whether that run was a blip or a sign of a broader issue is the key question. On ability, she is the one to beat here; on recent form, she gives the dangers a gap to exploit.
Best average performance, great bend rating, suits Kinsley's downhill run — main rival to the pick.
Three consecutive wins, highest average performance — the most dangerous rival in the race.
Dead box without the class to overcome it — structural evidence points firmly against.
Dominant box with individual confirmation and strong last run — solid each-way contender.
Consistent A4 mid-fielder but Fader profile limits win prospects — place only at best.
1,677 runs at A4 462m. Trap 3 is structurally dominant at 21.8% from 271 runs. Trap 1 is structurally dead at 11.5% from 227 runs. Rank separation of just 1.2pp — near-zero, structural factors dominate the analysis.
T1:11.5% T2:17.2% T3:21.8% T4:16.8% T5:15.2% T6:15.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Markstreet Barry | 43 | 48 | All-Rounder |
2Sober Ballad | 47 | 72 | Closer |
3Scuba Stevie | 49 | 70 | Closer |
4Grantstown Road | 59 | 37 | Fader |
5Lundhill Alfie | 58 | 30 | Fader |
6Killieford Negri | 51 | 52 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.