Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kilara Theod 5y 17 | W M Lyons — 20% R1020 W199 P547 Trainer form — last 3 months | 39 | 47 | - | 17 (6) | 25 (3) | 25 (4) | 32 (1) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 22 (5) | 25 (3) | 25 (2) | 22 (3) | 34 | 34 | 27 | 33 | 25 | 29 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Kiltippin Roseb 5y 25 | W M Lyons — 20% R1020 W199 P547 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 40 | 16 (6) | 28 (2) | 30 (1) | 24 (2) | 31 (6) | 24 (3) | 31 (6) | 21 (4) | 28 (5) | 19 (6) | 31 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 27 | 29 | 3 | 9/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Darraghs Bonod 3y 10 | T D Coote — 19% R564 W105 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 31 (1) | 24 (4) | 19 (6) | 18 (6) | 19 (6) | 27 (2) | 29 (1) | 22 (3) | 14 (6) | 29 (1) | 48 | 39 | - | 60 | 33 | 40 | 1 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Bayview Fredd 5y 36 | M N May — 16% R266 W43 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 47 (4) | 41 (5) | 44 (5) | 65 (1) | 43 (5) | 47 (4) | 34 (5) | 52 (2) | 42 (5) | 51 (3) | 29 | 44 | - | 33 | 48 | 42 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Crystal Buckd 2y 17 | I Zivkovic — 14% R591 W80 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 51 | - | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 30 (1) | 34 (4) | 30 (6) | 29 (1) | 17 (6) | 22 (4) | 33 | 39 | 14 | 43 | 23 | 29 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Polyphenolsd 2y 17 | I Zivkovic — 14% R591 W80 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | 37 | 48 | - | 20 (5) | 21 (5) | 23 (4) | 51 (6) | 25 (4) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | 20 (5) | 21 (5) | 35 | 28 | 22 | 31 | 23 | 27 | 6 | 11/4 | |
Darraghs Bono is drawn in the most productive box at D4 268m Kinsley — trap 3 returns an impressive 24.3% from 255 runs, well above the expected rate. His individual trap suitability of 48 from this draw adds solid personal confirmation that he belongs in the winner's enclosure from this position. He is an all-round type who gets into stride quickly and settles into his races evenly. His competitive record shows wins at D5 and a trial victory, and he has A8 form from last autumn showing he has operated at a much higher level. Trainer Coote runs at a solid 22%, which is an added positive. With near-zero rating separation in this field, the structural case from the dominant draw combined with good individual confirmation makes this the clearest selection on the card.
Clear class drop from higher grades but M N May's 4% win rate is a serious concern — danger at best.
Dominant box with modest individual confirmation — each-way interest.
Slow-starting Fader at a sprint — pace profile is a fundamental problem here.
Dead draw combined with class rise — structural and competitive evidence both point against.
Dominant box but poor individual D4 form — structural advantage not converting to results.
1,588 runs at D4 268m. Three dominant traps — T3 (24.3%), T1 (20.3%), T6 (20.7%). One dead trap — T5 (10.6%). Rank separation 0.7pp — essentially zero. Trap position is the primary and near-exclusive analytical factor in this race.
T1:20.3% T2:17.7% T3:24.3% T4:17.1% T5:10.6% T6:20.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.