Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Zebedee Paphosd 1y 24 | C L Conley — 17% R53 W9 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 49 | 37 (5) | 37 (5) | 33 (6) | 31 (5) | 55 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 34 | 56 | - | 51 | 43 | 44 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Sawpit Stanleyd 2y 35 | D A Hunt — 5% R37 W2 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 43 | 48 (3) | 44 (4) | 52 (2) | 15 (4) | 13 (4) | 56 (1) | 47 (2) | 33 (5) | 45 (3) | 36 (5) | 47 | 30 | - | 34 | 44 | 42 | 5 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Chadwell Tysond 3y 15 | G C Wright — 15% R143 W22 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 58 | 31 (1) | 18 (6) | 22 (4) | 10 (6) | 16 (3) | 52 (1) | 48 (1) | 34 (2) | 41 (4) | 25 (6) | 27 | 30 | - | 38 | 43 | 39 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Spot On Diamondd 4y 36 | K Dodington — 16% R121 W19 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 61 | 10 (5) | 32 (6) | 59 (1) | 41 (4) | 37 (5) | 60 (2) | 40 (6) | 62 (3) | 75 (1) | 21 (2) | 30 | 38 | 47 | 32 | 48 | 43 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Gert Lushb 2y 25 | K Dodington — 16% R121 W19 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 23 (6) | 44 (1) | 38 (5) | 43 (3) | 43 (4) | 83 (2) | 45 (4) | 41 (5) | 64 (2) | 60 (4) | 55 | 32 | 20 | 30 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Savana Boycied 3y 35 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 52 | 59 (1) | 32 (5) | 35 (6) | 23 (2) | 24 (1) | 17 (4) | 15 (4) | 7 (6) | 32 (5) | 37 (6) | 41 | 39 | - | 27 | 35 | 35 | 6 | 8/1 | |
Zebedee Paphos is the pick on the strength of an extraordinary structural draw — trap 1 at A7 Oxford produces nearly 28% winners, the highest win rate of any trap at any distance or grade on today's card, even if the sample of 93 runs is slightly below the standard threshold. He has solid course and distance suitability of 56 and 51 respectively, showing genuine affinity for Oxford over the 450 metre trip. Recent form has been patchy — a fifth in his last start after winning at A8 — but the combination of dominant structural draw and proven course form is compelling. This is his first run at A7 grade, which is the one genuine question mark, but the trap argument is very hard to ignore.
Won A7 here from dominant structural draw — best course/grade form evidence in the field. Danger flagged.
Best trainer in the race and recent win, but structural draw works against him on this data. Watch with interest.
Good form but big class jump from A9. One to follow rather than support at this grade today.
Best trap structural alignment in the race but pure Closer profile means the pace scenario must be right.
Limited form and suitability evidence at this grade and distance — unlikely to threaten.
LOW SEPARATION race — composite ranks inverted at A7, rating model barely separates dogs. T1 structural signal (27.96%) is extraordinary even at 93 runs. Zebedee Paphos in T1 has good course and distance suitability confirming personal affinity. T4 dominant with Spot On Diamond who has won at A7 here before, and T5 dominant with Gert Lush who has strong personal trap suitability (55) but a Closer profile.
T1:27.96% T2:16.67% T3:17.34% T4:21.18% T5:22.93% T6:19.72%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Zebedee Paphos | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Sawpit Stanley | 42 | 69 | Closer |
3Chadwell Tyson | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
4Spot On Diamond | 65 | 9 | Fader |
5Gert Lush | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Savana Boycie | 54 | 25 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.