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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yo Cashoutb 2y 14 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 88 | 15 (5) | 25 (4) | 18 (3) | 14 (6) | 16 (4) | 44 (6) | 29 (4) | 68 (5) | 68 (1) | - | 61 | 53 | 11 | 56 | 43 | 48 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Montana Jazzb 2y 16 | D O Pearce — 21% R143 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 12 | 35 (2) | 33 (2) | 40 (1) | 54 (2) | 37 (5) | 56 (2) | 32 (1) | 27 (4) | 22 (5) | 29 (3) | 55 | 59 | 30 | 40 | 41 | 45 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Rathnasare Dreamd 4y 43 | G C Wright — 15% R143 W22 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 13 (5) | 27 (5) | 40 (5) | 66 (1) | 34 (4) | 32 (2) | 40 (2) | 34 (1) | 24 (3) | - | 42 | 40 | 26 | 42 | 38 | 39 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Tamannab 5y 33 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 20 (5) | 32 (1) | 6 (6) | 13 (3) | 28 (6) | 35 (4) | 19 (2) | 34 (6) | 30 (3) | - | 42 | 38 | 41 | 43 | 31 | 35 | 4 | 11/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Sakarid 3y 14 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 29 (2) | 30 (3) | 38 (1) | 25 (1) | 23 (2) | 10 (6) | 21 (2) | 19 (4) | 32 (3) | 34 (2) | 37 | 33 | 35 | 37 | 33 | 34 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ardera Salb 4y 35 | K Dodington — 16% R121 W19 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 25 (5) | 36 (1) | 25 (5) | 77 (3) | 79 (4) | 34 (3) | 32 (4) | 33 (3) | 41 (1) | 33 (3) | 36 | 34 | 32 | 44 | 35 | 36 | 3 | 15/8F | |
Montana Jazz is the predicted winner after landing this exact race last week — winning from trap 2 at D2 over 253 metres at Oxford on March 27. The model is backing a repeat, and repeat wins by the same horse over the same course and distance cannot simply be dismissed. She has a solid course record and trap suitability of 55 confirms her personal affinity for trap 2 here. The genuine concern is that she is a Closer with a first-bend rating of just 12 — at 253 metres, Closers who cannot corner are relying on others to collapse in front of them. Last week it worked; this week, with Yo Cashout drawn alongside, the bend advantage is held by a direct rival.
Best first-bend credentials by a wide margin at a distance where cornering decides outcomes — AI Pick flagged.
Dominant structural draw and recent course win. Limited pace data prevents higher confidence.
Solid structural draw and consistent placer — not winning but reliable in the minor positions.
Best structural draw but individual profile doesn't confirm the aggregate advantage.
Consistent minor placer with best speed rating, but trainer record and no-win recent form make it hard to support.
At 253m, first-bend rating and pace profile are decisive. Yo Cashout's first-bend rating of 88 is outstanding — by far the best in the field — and his trap suitability from trap 1 (61) provides strong individual confirmation. Montana Jazz won here last week but her first-bend rating of just 12 and Closer profile are serious structural concerns at this distance.
T1:18.18% T2:18.9% T3:23.76% T4:21.11% T5:24.37% T6:20.59%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 253m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.