| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Slippy Bridgetb 2y 14 | C L Conley — 21% R53 W11 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 41 | 60 (2) | 28 (2) | 27 (3) | 65 (4) | 67 (1) | 45 (3) | - | - | - | - | 8 | 60 | - | 39 | 65 | 55 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Shanghai Willied 3y 36 | G C Wright — 18% R137 W24 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 46 (4) | 66 (1) | 29 (6) | 67 (1) | 12 (5) | 21 (2) | 13 (4) | 56 (2) | 53 (4) | 53 (2) | 34 | 38 | 33 | 38 | 55 | 49 | 3 | 10/11F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Geneva Eagled 4yN/R 23 | B G Backhurst — 16% R217 W34 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 32 | 50 (3) | 46 (4) | 54 (2) | 48 (3) | 58 (4) | 78 (1) | 66 (3) | 53 (4) | 60 (3) | 59 (3) | 35 | 23 | 29 | 19 | 55 | 45 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Best Aoifeb 4y 36 | B G Backhurst — 16% R217 W34 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 30 (6) | 55 (4) | 67 (4) | 44 (5) | 63 (5) | 57 (4) | 65 (3) | 56 (5) | 60 (4) | 17 (5) | 33 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 56 | 46 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Burgess Boldd 4y 36 | D O Pearce — 22% R129 W29 P76 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 53 | 45 (5) | 37 (5) | 65 (1) | 45 (5) | 47 (3) | 40 (5) | 50 (2) | 42 (4) | 55 (3) | 63 (1) | 36 | 33 | 15 | 34 | 52 | 46 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Shanbally Bluesd 3y 17 | G C Wright — 18% R137 W24 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 61 | 69 (1) | 58 (3) | 47 (2) | 56 (3) | 54 (3) | 10 (6) | 22 (1) | 11 (6) | 52 (4) | 35 (6) | 27 | 44 | - | 48 | 52 | 48 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
Slippy Bridget is drawn in the structurally best position in this race — trap 1 at A5 Oxford produces 22.4% winners from 125 runs, a genuine advantage. She has solid track suitability at 60, confirming she knows Oxford. However, her recent form figures have been uninspiring, and a trap suitability of just 8 from trap 1 raises a real question about whether she can take advantage of the rail draw personally. Her last competitive starts appear to have been trials, making it hard to gauge current readiness. The model's prediction rests largely on her track suitability, but the structural draw benefit is undermined by her near-zero personal record from that box.
Won here last time out — the freshest winning form in the race. Danger flagged.
Consistent recent placer but Fader profile over the trip means he tends to finish rather than win.
Pure Closer with low course/distance suitability — needs a lot to go right from an average draw.
Strong structural draw but low suitability scores mean she hasn't proven she can capitalise here.
Shows early but likely to weaken — Fader from the widest draw at a trip where staying power matters.
Multiple dominant traps with broadly similar win rates make structural separation difficult. The predicted winner (Slippy Bridget in T1) has a trap suitability of just 8 — almost no personal winning record from the rail. Recent performance ratings have been very poor, and with trials in recent starts, competitive form is uncertain. This is a speculative race with no clear structural standout.
T1:22.4% T2:21.05% T3:19.4% T4:22.27% T5:20.33% T6:19.44%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Slippy Bridget | 48 | 62 | Closer |
2Shanghai Willie | 59 | 38 | Fader |
3Geneva Eagle | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Best Aoife | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Burgess Bold | 52 | 26 | All-Rounder |
6Shanbally Blues | 59 | 31 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 270m | 450m | 460m | 476m | 491m | 500m | 525m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slippy Bridget | — | 0.613 | 0.618 | — | — | — | 0.598 | 0.558 | — |
| 2 | Shanghai Willie | 0.642 | — | 0.617 | 0.647 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Best Aoife | — | — | 0.617 | — | — | 0.631 | — | — | 0.636 |
| 5 | Burgess Bold | — | — | 0.622 | — | 0.617 | 0.628 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Shanbally Blues | — | — | 0.621 | 0.642 | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.