| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yo Jonnyd 2y 26 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 65 (1) | 66 (1) | 50 (3) | 9 (6) | 13 (5) | 10 (6) | 11 (6) | 75 (1) | 95 (1) | 51 (5) | 43 | 38 | 14 | 42 | 72 | 61 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballyborna Lassb 2y 35 | C D Hamblin — 24% R63 W15 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 53 | 56 (2) | 29 (2) | 30 (5) | 34 (3) | 29 (4) | 61 (4) | 75 (2) | 56 (1) | 50 (3) | - | 62 | 47 | 36 | 42 | 63 | 59 | 3 | 9/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Foxwood Zachb 2y 38 | B G Backhurst — 17% R223 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 45 | 76 (2) | 61 (4) | 74 (2) | 62 (4) | 79 (1) | 76 (1) | 48 (5) | 76 (1) | 55 (5) | 76 (2) | 83 | 56 | 27 | 53 | 69 | 67 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Cape Lodged 3y 13 | D O Pearce — 21% R143 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 40 | 58 (4) | 76 (1) | 59 (2) | 51 (4) | 67 (2) | 66 (3) | 52 (5) | 53 (4) | 78 (1) | 57 (3) | 34 | 61 | 21 | 61 | 61 | 58 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Mactwinsd 2y 16 | C D Hamblin — 24% R63 W15 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 58 | 37 (2) | 24 (6) | 37 (1) | 19 (6) | 77 (1) | 49 (5) | 42 (4) | 59 (4) | 24 (5) | 42 (1) | 31 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 48 | 41 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Shirtd 2y 15 | R L Hill — 18% R60 W11 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 47 | 56 (4) | 70 (1) | 79 (2) | 53 (4) | 59 (4) | 41 (1) | 42 (1) | 31 (2) | 32 (2) | - | 22 | 48 | - | 14 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 10/3 | |
Foxwood Zach is the pick on the strength of a very consistent Closer profile and exceptional individual form from trap 3 — a trap suitability of 83 is the standout individual signal in this race, telling you this dog has made trap 3 pay time and again. He won here over course and distance at A3 grade just two weeks ago, and while he was only fourth last week, his form trajectory remains healthy with recent performances in the seventies and eighties. Track and distance suitability are both well above 50, confirming this trip at Oxford suits him. Trap 3 produces 16.67% winners structurally — broadly neutral — but his personal record from that box elevates him well above that baseline.
Front runner with course form and good suitability — genuine danger if the closers get into trouble.
Structural draw is promising but Closer profile and grade question prevent a danger flag.
Fader at 450m with modest trap suitability — unlikely to hold on against genuine Closers.
Fader stepping up in class with low suitability scores — the recent A4 win is flattering given the step up.
Inexperienced, low suitability, drawn in the weakest structural trap. Outclassed on current evidence.
T1 dominant at 22.64% from 265 runs. However, T1 here carries a pure Closer (earlyPace 0) who cannot exploit the structural rail advantage. Foxwood Zach's individual trap suitability score of 83 provides overwhelming personal evidence from trap 3 that comfortably offsets the neutral structural position.
T1:22.64% T2:20.68% T3:16.67% T4:18.01% T5:20.39% T6:15.91%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Yo Jonny | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Ballyborna Lass | 55 | 48 | Front Runner |
3Foxwood Zach | 48 | 84 | Closer |
4Cape Lodge | 38 | 39 | Fader |
5Mactwins | 60 | 30 | Fader |
6Shirt | 52 | 52 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.