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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fast Fit Mollieb 4y 23 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 54 | 40 (3) | 51 (2) | 52 (2) | 63 (1) | 27 (2) | 23 (5) | 32 (5) | 36 (4) | 48 (1) | - | 29 | 29 | 27 | 39 | 48 | 40 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Baybush Rushd 3y 6 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 43 | 41 (4) | 54 (3) | 42 (6) | 63 (1) | 33 (6) | 45 (4) | 59 (2) | 48 (3) | 32 (5) | 39 (5) | 25 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 46 | 39 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Thats So Trueb 2y 7 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 67 | 25 (3) | 58 (1) | 33 (5) | 41 (5) | 47 (3) | 24 (2) | 25 (6) | 30 (6) | 18 (6) | 48 (3) | 25 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 42 | 44 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Alno Roseb 3y 26 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 33 | 58 (1) | 23 (3) | 25 (6) | 52 (3) | 30 (1) | 39 (5) | 25 (5) | 63 (1) | 44 (4) | - | 33 | 24 | 13 | 28 | 44 | 35 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Revilo Eagleb 4y 15 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 59 | 53 (2) | 45 (4) | 54 (4) | 37 (5) | 48 (2) | 45 (3) | 23 (5) | 39 (5) | 43 (5) | 30 (3) | 29 | 23 | 32 | 21 | 47 | 48 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Grumpy Baby Daved 3y 7 | N Langley — 15% R186 W27 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 46 | 43 (5) | 56 (3) | 32 (5) | 55 (5) | 49 (4) | 57 (3) | 39 (6) | 53 (4) | 47 (5) | 57 (2) | 25 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 46 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fast Fit Mollie | 29.01 | 29.33 | 29.49 | 46 | +0.48 | Worst trap on the day | |
| 2 | Baybush Rush | 28.99 | 29.30 | 29.62 | 45 | +0.63 | Well below best last time | |
| 3 | Thats So True | 29.05 | 29.51 | 29.05 | 48 | 0.00 | Best first-bend figure | |
| 4 | Alno Rose | 29.03 | 29.51 | 29.22 | 46 | +0.19 | Won last time at A8 | |
| 5 | Revilo Eagle | 29.00 | 29.23 | 29.05 | 55 | +0.05 | Model pick, fastest | |
| 6 | Grumpy Baby Dave | 28.78 | 29.22 | 29.26 | 55 | +0.48 | Erratic pace pattern |
At A7 level over the standard trip, trap 3 has been the standout box at Kinsley (20.3%), while trap 1 is close to a dead draw (11.6%) — the downhill run to the first bend still punishes a poor getaway even from four turns out. Revilo Eagle tops both the ratings and the speed figures, tied for the fastest in the field on recent times, even though trap 5 hasn't been among the stronger boxes at this grade. Thats So True gets the plum trap 3 draw and carries the best first-bend figure in the race with strong early pace of her own, making her the clear structural threat. Alno Rose won last time out but steps up from A8, while Fast Fit Mollie and Baybush Rush both need to find more than they've shown recently.
Tops both the ratings and the speed figures in this field, tied for the fastest recent times on show. Races as an all-rounder with balanced pace throughout, and was runner-up last time out at this same grade. Trap 5 hasn't been among the stronger boxes at this grade, and she's yet to win at this exact course and distance from eight attempts, but leading the field on both speed and rating is a real combination at a track where the composite alone rarely tells the full story.
Drawn in trap 3, comfortably the best box at this grade, and carries the strongest first-bend figure in the entire field with plenty of early dash to match. A fader by running style, but with early pace this strong that suits Kinsley's downhill approach rather than working against her. Her most recent run came at a shorter trip, so there's a slight query over settling back into this longer test, but the trap and bend combination make her the biggest threat to the selection.
Lands in trap 1, the weakest box at this grade by some distance, winning under 12% historically. Fades late having shown fast early pace, which is a tough combination from the rail. One win from seven course and distance starts. Others have much stronger claims on the draw alone.
A decent course and distance record with a win from ten starts here, but was noticeably below her best time last time out. Balanced running style without a standout strength. In a race with clearer structural cases elsewhere, she looks up against it.
Won last time out but that was at the easier A8 grade, so this represents a step up in class. A confirmed closer who needs the pace up front to be strong, which isn't guaranteed with faders drawn either side of her. Two wins from seven course and distance starts is a fair record.
Shares the fastest raw time in the field but the pace figures are erratic and inconsistent, making him harder to trust than the headline speed number suggests. No course and distance wins from nine attempts. A finishing type who needs things to fall right in a race with faster starters around him.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the clear best box at A7 (20.3% from 320 runs), trap 1 the clear worst (11.6% from 207 runs). Speed and composite both point to Revilo Eagle here, a genuine stacking signal at a track where the composite alone rarely separates the field.
T1:11.6% T2:18.9% T3:20.3% T4:16.5% T5:15.3% T6:17.1%
1,792 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fast Fit Mollie | 56 | 36 | Fader |
2Baybush Rush | 47 | 54 | All-Rounder |
3Thats So True | 55 | 25 | Fader |
4Alno Rose | 23 | 91 | Closer |
5Revilo Eagle | 53 | 46 | All-Rounder |
6Grumpy Baby Dave | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fast Fit Mollie | 0.630 | 0.635 | — |
| 2 | Baybush Rush | — | 0.634 | — |
| 3 | Thats So True | 0.637 | 0.639 | — |
| 4 | Alno Rose | 0.633 | 0.639 | — |
| 5 | Revilo Eagle | 0.628 | 0.632 | — |
| 6 | Grumpy Baby Dave | — | 0.632 | 0.656 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.