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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ninja Berkleyd 1y 6 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 26 (4) | 56 (2) | 29 (6) | 68 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 28 | 32 | 36 | 50 | 44 | 4 | 2/1F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Glenhead Sydneyd 3y 36 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 46 (5) | 52 (3) | 33 (6) | 61 (2) | 48 (5) | 65 (3) | 47 (4) | 61 (2) | 58 (3) | 49 (4) | 16 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 50 | 31 | 2 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Coolpeach Sarahb 2y 7 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 28 | 62 (2) | 37 (6) | 49 (4) | 35 (6) | 49 (2) | 42 (6) | 45 (5) | 56 (4) | 50 (3) | 55 (3) | 17 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 48 | 34 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lauragh Ebonyd 2y 19 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 56 | 63 (1) | 58 (1) | 43 (4) | 22 (3) | 39 (3) | 45 (3) | 34 (4) | 40 (6) | 39 (3) | 64 (1) | 31 | 20 | - | 36 | 49 | 42 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Seven Oclock Bobd 4y 35 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 48 | 25 (4) | 20 (5) | 37 (1) | 25 (5) | 47 (5) | 30 (2) | 23 (5) | 28 (4) | 22 (6) | 27 (3) | 21 | 24 | 19 | 10 | 47 | 29 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Grumpy Pipd 3y 16 | N Langley — 15% R186 W27 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 42 | 68 (1) | 24 (3) | 12 (6) | 24 (4) | 31 (6) | 53 (4) | 47 (3) | 36 (1) | 57 (4) | 43 (6) | 31 | 25 | 18 | 22 | 51 | 43 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ninja Berkley | 28.99 | 29.28 | 29.12 | 47 | +0.13 | Best trap on the day | |
| 2 | Glenhead Sydney | 28.78 | 29.08 | 29.07 | 54 | +0.29 | 0 wins/10 C&D | |
| 3 | Coolpeach Sarah | 28.83 | 29.15 | 29.42 | 47 | +0.59 | 0 wins/10 C&D | |
| 4 | Lauragh Ebony | 28.95 | 29.27 | 28.95 | 50 | 0.00 | Model pick, 2 wins/6 C&D | |
| 5 | Seven Oclock Bob | 29.39 | 29.39 | 29.39 | 34 | 0.00 | Worst trap, sprint last time | |
| 6 | Grumpy Pip | 28.82 | 29.12 | 29.02 | 54 | +0.20 | Won last time out |
A6 grade brings out one of the biggest trap biases anywhere at Kinsley — trap 1 wins over 21% of races at this level, the strongest single trap edge at any grade here, while trap 5 barely wins one in nine. Lauragh Ebony is the model's clear top selection, backed by the best course and distance win rate in the field and the highest early pace figure on show — a real asset given how much the downhill approach rewards a fast getaway. Ninja Berkley lands in that prime trap 1 draw and also rates strongly, making her the biggest structural threat. Glenhead Sydney and Grumpy Pip share the fastest recent times but both are closers who need the pace to be strong up front, while Seven Oclock Bob has raced at this course and distance only once before and drops in from a sprint last time out.
The model's clear top selection, and won last time out — albeit at the easier A7 grade, so this is a fair step up in class. Carries the best course and distance win rate in this field at two from six starts, and boasts the highest early pace figure on show, a real asset given how much the downhill approach rewards a fast getaway. Trap 4 is the third-best box at this grade. The strongest all-round case on offer.
Rates strongly and lands in trap 1, by far the strongest box at this grade — over one in five winners at A6 have come from there. A fader with strong early pace, which is exactly the profile the downhill run into the first bend rewards. Only three career starts at this course and distance but with a win among them. The combination of a competitive rating and the best trap in the field makes her the clear danger to the pick.
Shares the fastest recent time in the field but is a closer with no wins from ten course and distance starts. Needs a strongly run race up front to use her finishing kick. Solid without a clear route to victory against sharper structural cases elsewhere.
Another closer with no wins from ten course and distance starts and was noticeably below her best time last time out. The lowest first-bend figure in the field suggests she'll be further back than most early. Needs plenty to go right to feature at the finish.
Drops in from a sprint over 268m last time out and has raced at this course and distance only once before, so there's little to go on at this trip. Lands in trap 5, the weakest box at the grade by some distance. Carries the slowest speed rating in the field. Hard to include on any measure.
Won last time out at this same grade and shares the fastest recent time in the field. A closer by running style, which is a slight concern on this downhill track, but one win from six course and distance starts shows she can get the job done here. Respectable claims but not quite matching the top two on the structural factors.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the single strongest trap edge at any Kinsley grade — 21.1% from 285 runs — while trap 5 is close to unwinnable at 11.3%. Trap 4, where Lauragh Ebony is drawn, is the third-best box (18.2%).
T1:21.1% T2:16.6% T3:18.7% T4:18.2% T5:11.3% T6:16.5%
2,409 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ninja Berkley | 56 | 36 | Fader |
2Glenhead Sydney | 49 | 58 | Closer |
3Coolpeach Sarah | 38 | 77 | Closer |
4Lauragh Ebony | 57 | 35 | Fader |
5Seven Oclock Bob | 51 | 42 | All-Rounder |
6Grumpy Pip | 38 | 69 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ninja Berkley | 0.632 | 0.634 | — |
| 2 | Glenhead Sydney | — | 0.630 | — |
| 3 | Coolpeach Sarah | — | 0.630 | — |
| 4 | Lauragh Ebony | 0.640 | 0.634 | 0.569 |
| 5 | Seven Oclock Bob | 0.630 | 0.636 | — |
| 6 | Grumpy Pip | 0.635 | 0.630 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.