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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grumpy Adagiob 2yN/R 4 | N Langley — 15% R186 W27 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 47 | 46 (5) | 70 (1) | 53 (2) | 52 (4) | 59 (2) | 53 (4) | 70 (1) | 51 (4) | 46 (5) | 61 (2) | 42 | 34 | 36 | 40 | 56 | 42 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Deecee Nikkib 3y 6 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 24 | 57 (4) | 52 (4) | 59 (2) | 51 (4) | 66 (2) | 60 (2) | 75 (1) | 59 (2) | 49 (4) | 75 (1) | 32 | 44 | 33 | 37 | 59 | 47 | 3 | 5/6F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lamiab 2y 16 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 78 | 100 | 27 (5) | 33 (4) | 27 (1) | 34 (3) | 49 (5) | 44 (5) | 33 (1) | 24 (1) | - | - | 13 | 18 | - | - | 40 | 61 | 1 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mingdrum Focusb 1y 34 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 47 | 40 (5) | 35 (6) | 53 (4) | 55 (4) | 70 (1) | 64 (1) | 38 (5) | 62 (2) | 27 (3) | 23 (5) | 22 | 31 | 31 | 22 | 50 | 32 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Norristown Mayb 2y 9 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 57 | 37 (1) | 61 (2) | 65 (2) | 59 (2) | 47 (4) | 37 (1) | 27 (4) | 44 (2) | 54 (4) | - | 37 | 35 | 26 | 40 | 57 | 49 | 2 | 15/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grumpy Adagio | 28.73 | 28.96 | 29.26 | 42 | +0.53 | Best trap, 2 wins/10 C&D | |
| 2 | Deecee Nikki | 28.54 | 28.81 | 28.83 | 55 | +0.29 | 2 wins/10 C&D | |
| 3 | Lamia | No 462m form — recent races all over 268m. Times not directly comparable to this field. | — | First run at this trip | ||||
| 4 | Mingdrum Focus | 28.70 | 29.06 | 29.21 | 42 | +0.51 | Weakest recent form | |
| 5 | Norristown May | 28.70 | 28.94 | 28.73 | 52 | +0.03 | Won last time at 268m | |
A6 grade brings out Kinsley's biggest trap edge — trap 1 wins over one in five races at this level, the strongest bias at any grade here — and Grumpy Adagio gets that exact draw today. But the standout figure in this race belongs to Lamia, who has been racing over the minimum 268m sprint at this same track and produces eye-catching times that dwarf anything else in this field. The catch is she's never raced this 462m trip before, a genuine unknown given how different a test the extra distance represents. Deecee Nikki and Norristown May both carry solid recent figures of their own from traps 2 and 5, while Mingdrum Focus has the weakest recent form on show.
Produces by far the fastest times and highest rating in this field, but every one of those figures comes from sprinting over 268m — she has never raced this 462m trip before, a genuine unknown that has to be taken seriously. When she has stepped up in distance previously, at Hove over 500m, the results were modest. The raw pace is exceptional, but whether it translates to nearly double her recent racing distance is the whole question mark over this pick.
Lands in trap 1, the single strongest trap edge at any grade at Kinsley, winning over one in five races historically. A closer with a decent finishing kick and two wins from ten course and distance starts. The recent time was below her best last time out, but the draw advantage alone makes her a serious player in an unusual race.
Carries the highest conventional average rating in the field and two wins from ten course and distance starts. A pure closer who needs the pace to be strong up front, which could suit if Lamia and others go quick early. Consistent form throughout her recent starts.
The weakest recent form in the field, with figures well below the level shown by the others here. Two wins from eight course and distance starts in the past, but nothing recent to suggest she can repeat that. Hard to find a strong case for her today.
Won last time out, though that came at the shorter 268m sprint trip rather than this longer distance. Carries strong early pace which should help her cope with the step up. Lands in trap 5, the weakest box at this grade, which is the main concern. Seven course and distance runs without a win yet.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the single strongest trap edge at any Kinsley grade (21.1%). Lamia's rating and speed figures are the standout in the field, but they're built entirely on sprint form over 268m — she has zero course and distance experience at 462m.
T1:21.1% T2:16.6% T3:18.7% T4:18.2% T5:11.3% T6:16.5%
2,409 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Grumpy Adagio | 44 | 64 | Closer |
2Deecee Nikki | 20 | 100 | Closer |
3Lamia | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Mingdrum Focus | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Norristown May | 59 | 36 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 285m | 462m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deecee Nikki | — | — | 0.623 | — |
| 3 | Lamia | 0.625 | 0.609 | — | 0.613 |
| 4 | Mingdrum Focus | 0.634 | — | 0.629 | — |
| 5 | Norristown May | 0.623 | — | 0.626 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.