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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skeard Tomd 4y 26 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 48 (4) | 17 (4) | 15 (5) | 24 (2) | 26 (2) | 20 (3) | 27 (2) | 22 (4) | 28 (1) | - | 24 | 25 | 36 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crystal Twodotsb 3y 6 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 71 (1) | 25 (3) | 21 (3) | 20 (5) | 29 (1) | 20 (4) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 22 (3) | 23 (3) | 18 | 17 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 30 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Legendary Queenb 1y 2 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 23 (4) | 18 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 21 | 17 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Perryd 1y 5 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 18 (6) | 18 (6) | 18 (6) | 22 (4) | 35 (5) | 55 (1) | 32 (4) | 70 (1) | 23 (3) | 23 (4) | 16 | 20 | 30 | 13 | 25 | 24 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Clay Twisterb 3y 5 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 23 (2) | 19 (5) | 23 (3) | 17 (6) | 23 (3) | 25 (2) | 25 (6) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 25 (3) | 26 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 22 | 25 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Madam Tigerb 4yN/R 34 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 29 (6) | 18 (5) | 17 (6) | 26 (2) | 20 (4) | 30 (1) | 17 (5) | 23 (3) | 22 (3) | 26 (6) | 23 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 16 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skeard Tom | 16.95 | 17.24 | 17.68 | 41 | +0.73 | Well below best last time | |
| 2 | Crystal Twodots | 16.98 | 17.14 | 17.12 | 51 | +0.14 | 2 wins/10 C&D | |
| 3 | Legendary Queen | 17.14 | 17.30 | 17.14 | 45 | 0.00 | Only 2 career runs | |
| 4 | Swift Perry | 17.04 | 17.20 | 17.24 | 47 | +0.20 | 0 wins/6 C&D | |
| 5 | Clay Twister | 16.84 | 17.08 | 17.04 | 55 | +0.20 | Fastest in field | |
| 6 | Madam Tiger | 16.82 | 17.13 | 17.19 | 53 | +0.37 | Dropping back in trip |
The downhill sweep into the first bend at Kinsley makes early speed the priority over the minimum trip, and at D5 level trap 2 and trap 4 have shared the best of the draw, both winning around one in five, while trap 6 has been the weakest. Clay Twister carries the fastest recent times in the field and races with plenty of dash from the boxes — exactly the profile this gradient rewards — even though she's drawn in a middling trap 5. Crystal Twodots, in the stronger trap 2, has the highest average rating here and was successful last time out. Madam Tiger drops back in trip having last run over 462m and lands in the weakest box on the day's figures, while Legendary Queen and Swift Perry both carry thin or modest recent form.
Carries the fastest recent times in the field and races with real dash from the traps, the exact profile that Kinsley's downhill run into the first bend rewards. Form has been consistent in the low twenties over her last six starts, and while she hasn't yet won at this course and distance, she's been competitive throughout with a second-place finish last time out. Speed has been the sharper signal than the ratings at this grade, and she leads the field on it comfortably.
Drawn in one of the two best boxes at this grade and carries the highest average rating in the field after a winning run last time out, though that figure came from a handicap contest and should be treated with some caution. Two wins from ten course and distance starts is a reasonable record. The clear alternative if the pace-setter doesn't have things her own way.
Just one win from ten course and distance starts and was well below his best time last time out. Trainer Hurst has a decent overall strike rate but this runner's own recent figures don't stand out in this field. Hard to make a strong case for him on current evidence.
Just two career starts and no course and distance wins yet, so there's very little to go on. The suitability figures across the board are close to zero, reflecting how little evidence has been built up. One for the market to guide rather than the form book.
Lands in one of the two best boxes at this grade but has yet to win from six course and distance starts, and her most recent runs have been modest. A closer by running style, which is a difficult ask on this downhill sprint. Others have stronger claims despite the good draw.
Drops back in trip having last raced over 462m, so her recent form isn't directly comparable to this sprint. Lands in trap 6, the weakest box at this grade. Quick enough on the clock but the draw and the distance switch both count against her.
Key insight: Traps 2 and 4 are essentially tied as the best boxes at D5 (both just over 20%), while trap 6 is the weakest (15.7%). Speed Rank 1 wins 21.2% at this grade, in line with the composite's 19.3% — both carry some weight here.
T1:15.9% T2:20.5% T3:16.7% T4:20.5% T5:17.5% T6:15.7%
1,469 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skeard Tom | 0.644 | — |
| 2 | Crystal Twodots | 0.639 | — |
| 3 | Legendary Queen | 0.645 | — |
| 4 | Swift Perry | 0.642 | 0.643 |
| 5 | Clay Twister | 0.637 | 0.645 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.