Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Critical Katieb 1y 2 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 44 | 35 (2) | 38 (6) | 52 (4) | 61 (2) | 66 (2) | 23 (6) | 69 (1) | 67 (1) | 24 (5) | 33 (1) | 46 | 34 | 22 | 35 | 56 | 44 | 4 | 2/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Beaming Moscatob 2y 25 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 56 | 74 (1) | 44 (5) | 70 (1) | 55 (2) | 19 (5) | 58 (2) | 68 (1) | 50 (5) | 68 (5) | - | 27 | 35 | 27 | 48 | 61 | 44 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grumpy Walterd 3y 8 | N Langley — 15% R186 W27 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 54 (4) | 56 (4) | 45 (5) | 55 (4) | 44 (6) | 30 (3) | 75 (1) | 40 (5) | 59 (2) | - | 30 | 25 | 34 | 20 | 53 | 44 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Qayd 3y 16 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 73 (1) | 31 (6) | 56 (3) | 63 (4) | 50 (2) | 74 (5) | 58 (1) | 58 (4) | 55 (3) | - | 33 | 31 | 26 | 30 | 62 | 47 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Hooleyb 3y 26 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 42 | 40 (5) | 56 (2) | 55 (3) | 76 (1) | 55 (3) | 74 (1) | 70 (1) | 65 (2) | 58 (3) | 45 (6) | 30 | 30 | 31 | 37 | 58 | 38 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Critical Katie | 28.53 | 28.84 | 29.13 | 46 | +0.60 | 2 wins/6 C&D | |
| 3 | Beaming Moscato | 28.65 | 28.88 | 28.65 | 50 | 0.00 | 4 wins/9 C&D | |
| 4 | Grumpy Walter | 28.46 | 28.88 | 28.82 | 50 | +0.36 | 1 win/9 C&D | |
| 5 | Swift Qay | 28.63 | 28.74 | 28.77 | 51 | +0.14 | Fastest in field | |
| 6 | Swift Hooley | 28.49 | 28.81 | 29.24 | 45 | +0.75 | 3 wins/10 C&D |
Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend still shapes this longer trip, though over 462m the closers get more time to recover than they do in the sprints. At A5 level, trap 3 has been the standout box, winning almost 21% of races here, while trap 1 — empty today after a non-runner — has historically been the weakest. Swift Qay is the fastest in the race on the clock and sits with the strongest trainer in the field, and she won last time out with a career-best figure. Beaming Moscato gets the plum trap-3 draw and has an outstanding course and distance record of her own. Swift Hooley, a confirmed closer, needs the pace up front to be genuine if she's to use her finishing kick, while Grumpy Walter looks to have most to find on these figures.
The fastest dog in the field on recent times and trained by the yard with the best strike rate here at 26%. Won last time out with a career-best figure and has been racing well at this exact grade throughout the last month. Two wins from nine course and distance starts is respectable rather than outstanding, but leading the field on raw speed — the sharper signal at this notoriously hard-to-predict track — plus the trainer form makes her the pick.
Drawn in trap 3, comfortably the best box at this grade at Kinsley, and arrives full of running after a career-best win last time out. Four wins from nine starts at this course and distance is a superb record — well clear of everyone else in the race. Also carries the best early pace figure in the field, which matters given how the downhill approach to the first bend rewards a sharp getaway. The genuine danger to the market leader.
Two wins from six starts at this course and distance is a solid record, and she raced well when second in two of her four most recent runs here. But the last two runs have dipped and this looks a stiffer test than the D3 sprint she contested last time out. Others have the stronger recent claims.
Just one win from nine course and distance starts and the recent figures sit below most of this field. Has the fastest raw time on paper but hasn't been able to turn that into results here lately. Needs the front two to falter to be involved at the finish.
A confirmed closer with three wins from ten course and distance starts, but that running style needs a strong pace up front to be effective given the downhill early-pace bias here. Below her best on the clock last time out and carries the slowest speed rating in this field. More of an each-way interest than a straight win chance.
Key insight: Trap 3 is comfortably the best box at A5 (20.9% from 388 runs). The composite barely separates the ranks here (18.2% vs 18.4% for R2) — Kinsley 462m is one of the hardest tracks in the country to predict on raw ratings alone, so speed and course and distance form have to do the heavy lifting.
T1:13.6% T2:17.4% T3:20.9% T4:17.0% T5:16.4% T6:18.1%
2,310 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Critical Katie | 47 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Beaming Moscato | 53 | 32 | All-Rounder |
4Grumpy Walter | 51 | 40 | All-Rounder |
5Swift Qay | 50 | 52 | All-Rounder |
6Swift Hooley | 45 | 55 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Critical Katie | 0.622 | 0.624 |
| 3 | Beaming Moscato | 0.644 | 0.626 |
| 4 | Grumpy Walter | 0.623 | 0.625 |
| 5 | Swift Qay | 0.622 | 0.622 |
| 6 | Swift Hooley | — | 0.624 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.