Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crystal Rangerd 3y 6 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 51 | 35 (4) | 39 (5) | 45 (4) | 33 (5) | 44 (5) | 54 (3) | 45 (5) | 49 (4) | 53 (4) | - | 20 | 16 | - | 1 | 42 | 45 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dashgrove Shadowd 4y 25 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 47 | 47 (2) | 35 (4) | 44 (3) | 32 (1) | 42 (3) | 35 (5) | 51 (2) | 28 (6) | 32 (1) | 37 (6) | 29 | 29 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 43 | 4 | 9/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Elite Lizzieb 3y 7 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 40 (3) | 19 (5) | 50 (5) | 38 (3) | 38 (4) | 57 (1) | 31 (5) | 47 (2) | 21 (5) | - | 19 | 22 | 28 | 19 | 43 | 44 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Maceyslittlegemb 4y 32 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 47 | 22 (4) | 30 (1) | 27 (6) | 21 (4) | 28 (1) | 36 (5) | 43 (2) | 21 (5) | 46 (4) | 36 (5) | 15 | 29 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mandeville Mistb 2y 4 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 45 | 71 (1) | 39 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | - | 27 | 56 | 42 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Paulinab 1y 3 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 32 (5) | 48 (3) | 50 (2) | 37 (3) | 44 (2) | 47 (3) | 24 (6) | 54 (2) | 30 (1) | 22 (3) | 11 | 25 | 17 | 17 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Ranger | 28.98 | 29.32 | 29.73 | 56 | +0.75 | Model pick, fastest | |
| 2 | Dashgrove Shadow | 29.24 | 29.44 | 29.37 | 54 | +0.13 | 0 wins/8 C&D | |
| 3 | Elite Lizzie | 29.23 | 29.48 | 29.55 | 51 | +0.32 | Best first-bend figure | |
| 4 | Maceyslittlegem | 29.44 | 29.62 | 29.76 | 42 | +0.32 | Slowest in field | |
| 5 | Mandeville Mist | 29.51 | 29.51 | 29.51 | 47 | 0.00 | HP grade last time | |
| 6 | Swift Paulina | 29.11 | 29.45 | 29.89 | 49 | +0.78 | Well below best last time |
This is a competitive A8 contest where Kinsley's downhill approach to the first bend still counts for something even at this longer trip. Trap 4 has been the best box at this grade (20.1%), trap 2 the weakest (14.6%), and neither extreme is occupied by an obvious standout today. Crystal Ranger, despite drawing the modest trap 1, comes out on top of the ratings and is the fastest in the field on the clock — she's yet to win at this course and distance but the raw pace figures are the best on show. Elite Lizzie carries strong early pace and the best first-bend figure in the race from the sharper trap 3 draw, making her the biggest structural threat. Mandeville Mist arrives with a big recent figure from a handicap contest that needs treating with some caution given she has only two starts here, while Swift Paulina, the model's speed-based pick, has struggled to find the frame lately.
Tops the ratings and is comfortably the fastest dog in the field on recent times, even though trap 1 hasn't been the strongest box at this grade. A closer by running style who does her best work from off the pace, which is a slight concern this far back in the draw. Yet to win at this exact course and distance from ten attempts, but the raw pace advantage is the standout factor in an open-looking race.
Carries the best first-bend figure in the field and races with strong early pace, a combination that plays well on Kinsley's downhill approach. Drawn in trap 3, the second-best box at this grade, and the only runner in the race with a course and distance win to her name. Been competitive in three of her last four starts. The clear structural alternative to the pick.
A closer who was runner-up last time out and carries a decent turn of foot, but lands in the weakest trap at this grade with no course and distance wins from eight attempts. Consistent without threatening to win recently. Others have stronger claims from better boxes.
Lands in the best box at this grade but is the slowest dog in the field on recent times and hasn't won at this course and distance from five attempts. Steps up from a sprint distance last time out. The draw is favourable but the raw ability looks a notch below this field.
Just two career starts, winning last time out with a big figure from a handicap contest that isn't directly comparable to open racing at this grade. Impossible to fully trust on such a small sample despite the eye-catching recent run. Worth keeping an eye on the market for guidance.
A front runner who likes to make the early running, which fits the track's downhill bias, but was well below her best time last time out and hasn't troubled the judge in her last three starts. Fair trap for this grade. Needs to bounce back from a flat run to feature.
Key insight: Trap 4 is the best box at A8 (20.1% from 269 runs), trap 2 the weakest (14.6%). Composite Rank 1 (18.6%) and Speed Rank 1 (19.2%) are both moderate signals at this grade — neither dominates.
T1:15.0% T2:14.6% T3:18.4% T4:20.1% T5:17.2% T6:18.0%
1,553 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Crystal Ranger | 51 | 60 | Closer |
2Dashgrove Shadow | 44 | 67 | Closer |
3Elite Lizzie | 60 | 36 | Fader |
4Maceyslittlegem | 49 | 47 | All-Rounder |
5Mandeville Mist | 48 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Swift Paulina | 55 | 46 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Ranger | — | 0.635 |
| 2 | Dashgrove Shadow | 0.626 | 0.637 |
| 3 | Elite Lizzie | 0.640 | 0.638 |
| 4 | Maceyslittlegem | 0.637 | 0.640 |
| 5 | Mandeville Mist | — | 0.637 |
| 6 | Swift Paulina | 0.630 | 0.637 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.