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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Treanmanagh Rubyb 2y 8 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 23 (5) | 27 (2) | 20 (5) | 25 (4) | 28 (5) | 32 (1) | 41 (2) | 27 (5) | 22 (6) | 21 (6) | 23 | 27 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 5 | 13/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Heathsastrikerb 2y 6 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 20 (5) | 30 (1) | 23 (4) | 57 (3) | 19 (5) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 15 | 21 | 23 | 31 | 28 | 27 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Russian Doctord 1y 4 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 30 (1) | 14 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 20 | - | 27 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Crystal Willowb 1y 3 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 26 (2) | 25 (3) | 29 (1) | 29 (1) | 18 (5) | 17 (5) | 28 (1) | 17 (6) | 27 (2) | 23 (3) | 46 | 41 | 19 | 45 | 25 | 31 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ferndale Ginb 4y 15 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 69 (2) | 20 (4) | 25 (3) | 30 (1) | 20 (5) | 25 (3) | 19 (5) | 24 (3) | 27 (2) | 27 (2) | 28 | 26 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Alno Duked 3y 6 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 28 (2) | 23 (2) | 25 (4) | 15 (6) | 29 (3) | 26 (5) | 28 (6) | 24 (6) | 32 (1) | 26 (2) | 27 | 21 | 32 | 32 | 25 | 27 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treanmanagh Ruby | 16.63 | 16.94 | 17.03 | 52 | +0.40 | Confirmed closer | |
| 2 | Heathsastriker | 16.76 | 17.04 | 17.19 | 46 | +0.43 | 3 wins/10 C&D | |
| 3 | Russian Doctor | 16.75 | 17.27 | 16.75 | 48 | 0.00 | Only 2 career runs | |
| 4 | Crystal Willow | 16.83 | 17.08 | 16.83 | 49 | 0.00 | 3 wins/10 C&D | |
| 5 | Ferndale Gin | 16.81 | 16.99 | 17.16 | 46 | +0.35 | Worst trap on the day | |
| 6 | Alno Duke | 16.68 | 16.93 | 16.73 | 56 | +0.05 | Model pick - fastest |
Kinsley's distinctive downhill run to the first bend rewards dogs who can burst into an early lead here at the minimum trip — closers rarely get the chance to reel one back in. At D4 level specifically, trap 3 has been by far the best box, winning more than one in four, while trap 5 is close to a dead draw at under 10%. Alno Duke looks the sharpest away from trap 6, a strong box at this grade, with Heathsastriker and Crystal Willow both boasting excellent course and distance form from traps 2 and 4. Treanmanagh Ruby is a confirmed closer, which makes life hard on this gradient, while Ferndale Gin lands in the weakest box on the day's figures and needs plenty to go right just to be involved.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock and drawn in trap 6, one of the stronger boxes at this grade at Kinsley. Races as an all-rounder rather than relying purely on closing speed, which suits the downhill run to the first bend perfectly. Has finished runner-up in each of his last two starts here and the pace figures back up a genuinely fast test. Speed has been the sharper signal at this grade all year and he leads the field on it.
Boasts an excellent course and distance record — three wins from ten starts at this track and trip, the best strike rate of anyone in the race. Carries the highest proven average rating in the field and was successful last time out at this same grade. If Alno Duke doesn't have things all his own way from the gate, this looks the one most likely to pick up the pieces.
Sets herself up as the one to catch given she's a confirmed closer who does her best work from off the pace. That running style is a tough watch at Kinsley's downhill sprint, where front-runners are rarely reeled in before the line. Very consistent, placing regularly, but the profile works against her from trap one on this track.
Just two career starts, winning last time out at the lower D5 grade before stepping up to face this company. Impossible to fully assess on such a small sample, but the trap-three draw has been the standout box at this grade, winning more than one in four historically. Worth watching in the market given the draw advantage.
Matches Heathsastriker on course and distance form with three wins from ten starts at this track and trip, and the suitability figures rate her strongly across the board for this grade and box. A shade slower on the raw clock than the pace-setters but has been racing to a very consistent level. Would need the front pair to falter to figure at the finish.
Lands in trap five, the weakest box at this grade by some distance, winning under one in ten from that draw historically. The eye-catching recent figure came from a handicap contest and isn't directly comparable to open-race form at this grade. Others have stronger claims on both the draw and the recent grading picture.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the standout box at D4 (26.5% from 317 runs), trap 5 is close to unwinnable (9.8% from 317 runs). Speed Rank 1 wins 23.4% at this grade, well clear of Composite Rank 1's 18.3% — speed is the sharper signal at Kinsley sprints.
T1:18.5% T2:17.9% T3:26.5% T4:17.2% T5:9.8% T6:17.5%
1,991 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treanmanagh Ruby | 0.632 | 0.648 |
| 2 | Heathsastriker | 0.636 | — |
| 3 | Russian Doctor | 0.644 | — |
| 4 | Crystal Willow | 0.637 | — |
| 5 | Ferndale Gin | 0.634 | — |
| 6 | Alno Duke | 0.632 | 0.656 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.