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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crystal Gemb 5y 15 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 29 (3) | 31 (3) | 33 (2) | 28 (2) | 31 (2) | 87 (3) | 75 (3) | 36 (2) | 33 (2) | 41 (1) | 31 | 31 | 31 | 26 | 32 | 32 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Disengaged 2yN/R 15 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 18 (6) | 30 (2) | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 24 (6) | 23 (5) | 19 (5) | 17 (6) | 40 | 34 | 32 | 37 | 27 | 28 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ The Old Ole Taled 2y 8 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 33 (2) | 32 (2) | 32 (1) | 30 (2) | 30 (2) | 19 (6) | 24 (3) | 18 (6) | 32 (1) | 23 (5) | 38 | 49 | 14 | 53 | 29 | 34 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ How Are Neverd 2y 8 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 22 (6) | 35 (1) | 25 (5) | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 30 (2) | 29 (3) | 21 (6) | 26 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cactus Closedownb 4y 19 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 35 (1) | 33 (1) | 23 (4) | 29 (2) | 24 (4) | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 22 (4) | 23 (4) | 30 (2) | 27 | 26 | 44 | 39 | 28 | 29 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Glenvale Daved 4y 24 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 24 (4) | 30 (3) | 28 (3) | 34 (3) | 32 (3) | 27 (6) | 25 (6) | 29 (5) | 42 (1) | 32 (4) | 30 | 27 | 21 | 12 | 29 | 22 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Gem | 16.60 | 16.70 | 16.62 | 57 | +0.02 | Best trap, fastest | |
| 2 | Disengage | 16.51 | 16.89 | 17.21 | 45 | +0.70 | Well below best last time | |
| 3 | The Old Ole Tale | 16.66 | 16.93 | 16.83 | 48 | +0.17 | Worst trap on the day | |
| 4 | How Are Never | 16.66 | 16.85 | 16.89 | 48 | +0.23 | 1 win/10 C&D | |
| 5 | Cactus Closedown | 16.56 | 16.86 | 16.82 | 51 | +0.26 | Won last time out | |
| 6 | Glenvale Dave | 16.37 | 16.68 | 16.90 | 56 | +0.53 | Hasn't run for a month |
At D3 level over the minimum trip, trap 1 and trap 6 have shared the best of the draw at Kinsley — both winning close to one in five — while trap 3 has been the weakest at just 13.5%. Crystal Gem gets that favoured trap 1 draw, carries the fastest recent times and the highest average rating in the field, ticking every structural box even though she's still seeking her first win at this exact course and distance. Glenvale Dave, in the other strong box, shares similar speed figures but hasn't run for a month. Cactus Closedown was successful last time out from a reasonable trap and offers solid claims of her own. The Old Ole Tale sits in the weakest draw on the day.
Carries the highest average rating and the fastest recent times in this field, and lands in trap 1, one of the two best boxes at this grade. Hasn't yet won at this exact course and distance from five attempts, but has been competitive throughout, finishing third last time out. With the trap, the rating and the speed all pointing the same way, she's the clear pick even without a course and distance win to her name yet.
Won last time out and carries two wins from ten course and distance starts, a reasonable record. Trap 5 has been a solid enough box at this grade. Form has been steady through the last six starts without a big standout figure, but the recent win and decent draw make her the leading alternative to the selection.
Two wins from ten course and distance starts but was well below her best time last time out, finishing last. Recent form has cooled after a decent run of placed efforts. Needs to bounce back sharply to feature.
Two wins from ten course and distance starts and was runner-up last time out, showing she's holding form. Lands in trap 3, the weakest box at this grade, which is the main knock. Others have stronger claims from better draws.
One win from ten course and distance starts and finished last time out. Lands in one of the weaker boxes at this grade. Modest speed figures compared to the pace-setters. Hard to make a strong case for her today.
Shares strong speed figures with the market leader and lands in the other favoured trap at this grade, but hasn't raced in around a month, which brings some uncertainty over sharpness. Just one win from ten course and distance starts. Watch how he's drawn in the market for a guide to fitness.
Key insight: Traps 1 and 6 are effectively tied as the best boxes at D3 (both around 19.2%), while traps 3 and 4 lag well behind (13.5-13.8%). Crystal Gem combines the best trap with the field's fastest times and highest rating.
T1:19.2% T2:16.3% T3:13.5% T4:13.8% T5:18.7% T6:19.2%
1,962 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 275m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Gem | 0.623 | 0.627 |
| 3 | The Old Ole Tale | 0.632 | — |
| 4 | How Are Never | 0.629 | — |
| 5 | Cactus Closedown | 0.629 | — |
| 6 | Glenvale Dave | 0.622 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.