| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Hollyhill Isabelb 3yN/R 16 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 61 | 35 (4) | 39 (5) | 21 (5) | 44 (4) | 45 (3) | 50 (3) | 64 (1) | 52 (2) | 32 (6) | 58 (3) | 25 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 44 | 43 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Harlequin Swiftb 2y 16 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 68 | 28 (5) | 26 (4) | 44 (3) | 42 (4) | 35 (1) | 31 (2) | 24 (3) | 27 (3) | 27 (4) | 24 (5) | 27 | 31 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 40 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Savana Memoriesd 3y 14 | M Lewis — 16% R248 W39 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 45 | 40 (5) | 30 (6) | 9 (5) | 13 (5) | 54 (3) | 66 (2) | 63 (2) | 68 (4) | 58 (4) | 75 (2) | 29 | 5 | - | - | 40 | 37 | 2 | 5/6F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Make Sailb 2y 8 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 41 | 48 (2) | 41 (3) | 41 (4) | 39 (4) | 35 (5) | 40 (4) | 46 (3) | 46 (3) | 52 (1) | 47 (4) | 20 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 43 | 47 | 3 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fercullen Aceb 1yN/R 4 | M Lewis — 16% R248 W39 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 32 (6) | 42 (3) | 46 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 39 | 32 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hollyhill Isabel | 28.60 | 28.99 | 29.59 | 58 | +0.99 | off recent best | |
| 5 | Make Sail | 28.63 | 28.98 | 29.14 | 64 | +0.51 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Harlequin Swift | 28.82 | 29.22 | 29.71 | 47 | +0.89 | off recent best | |
| 6 | Fercullen Ace | 28.93 | 29.24 | 29.64 | 47 | +0.71 | off recent best | |
| 4 | Savana Memories | 29.09 | 29.22 | 29.19 | 52 | +0.10 |
Yarmouth's 462 metres is one of the fairest tests in the country — a well-cambered, galloping circuit that hands out almost no built-in advantage to any box, and it has the fewest all-the-way winners of any UK track at just one in five. The long home straight means dogs who lead early are frequently reeled in close to home, so strong closers are never out of it. At A8 grade the trap picture is fairly flat — trap three edges it at around 22.5% with trap five close behind, while trap one has been the weakest at 16%. Make Sail holds a clear edge on the clock over this field, while Hollyhill Isabel brings the best average performance figure and by far the strongest trainer record in the race. With little separating the traps at this grade, this looks a straight fight between raw pace and the strongest overall package.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock by a clear margin, and the form has been admirably consistent in the low forties across the last six starts. Placed last time out. Trainer E G Samuels has a modest record in these conditions, which is the one blemish on an otherwise strong case, but on a genuinely fair track like Yarmouth the clock tends to tell the truth, and nobody here matches this pace.
Carries the highest average performance figure in this field and is the second-fastest on the clock, a strong combination at this level. Trainer K L Windebank has comfortably the best record of anyone in this race at these conditions, over one in four winners. Finished fourth last time but the underlying figures are the best in the field on paper. The strongest all-round case after the selection.
Wildly volatile recent form, swinging from single figures up to the mid-sixties within the same run of starts — genuinely hard to read. Modest pace figures on the clock and no strong trainer or trap signal to lean on. The volatility makes this one for the notebook rather than serious consideration.
Only three recorded starts to judge her on, so the sample is thin, and she finished last of six in her most recent outing. No suitability data yet at this track, trap or distance — a genuine unknown. Trainer M Lewis has a fair record in these conditions. Hard to place much confidence in limited evidence.
Modest recent form, finishing fifth last time out and generally in the twenties to low forties on the performance scale. Drawn in the best trap at this grade, which offers some encouragement, and shares the strongest trainer in the field with Hollyhill Isabel. Not among the quicker types on the clock though, which caps the claim.
Key insight: The data shows 800 runs at this track, trip and grade — a fairly even spread across the traps.
T1:16.07% T2:18.32% T3:22.58% T4:18.25% T5:21.74% T6:17.09%
800 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Hollyhill Isabel | 61 | 42 | Fader |
3Harlequin Swift | 68 | 15 | Fader |
4Savana Memories | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Make Sail | 38 | 83 | Closer |
6Fercullen Ace | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 388m | 462m | 548m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harlequin Swift | 0.613 | — | 0.632 | — |
| 4 | Savana Memories | — | 0.629 | 0.637 | 0.636 |
| 5 | Make Sail | — | — | 0.627 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.