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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Clononeen Anab 2y 15 | I J Barnard — 21% R257 W54 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 44 | 57 (4) | 26 (5) | 51 (5) | 78 (1) | 60 (2) | 50 (5) | 57 (3) | 44 (4) | 36 (5) | - | 18 | 32 | - | 26 | 58 | 35 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Droppys Typicald 2y 36 | K Dawson — 25% R12 W3 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 100 | 29 (6) | 45 (6) | 63 0 | 59 (5) | 64 (3) | 84 (4) | 78 (1) | 64 (6) | - | - | 5 | - | 30 | - | 62 | 21 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Booksellerd 2y 9 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 79 (1) | 56 (3) | 45 (5) | 74 (1) | 40 (6) | 67 (1) | 53 (2) | 43 (5) | 62 (1) | 59 (1) | 58 | 46 | - | 53 | 60 | 49 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Radical Beard 2y 28 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 43 | 59 (2) | 76 (2) | 68 (2) | 74 (2) | 84 (1) | 61 (3) | 77 (1) | 58 (3) | 75 (1) | 62 (2) | 48 | 43 | 27 | 54 | 69 | 45 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fastnet Freezed 1y 26 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 43 | 69 (3) | 72 (3) | 59 (5) | 68 (3) | 84 (4) | 63 (1) | 76 (4) | 60 (1) | - | - | - | 35 | 20 | 30 | 69 | 42 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Droppys Typical | 28.01 | 28.30 | 28.86 | 50 | +0.85 | 500m → 462m | |
| 6 | Fastnet Freeze | 28.10 | 28.37 | 28.40 | 54 | +0.30 | Fastest speed rating | |
| 5 | Radical Bear | 28.16 | 28.39 | 28.72 | 48 | +0.56 | Consistent placer | |
| 4 | Bookseller | 28.25 | 28.72 | 28.25 | 47 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Clononeen Ana | 28.33 | 28.59 | 28.58 | 44 | +0.25 | Won last but at lower grade |
Yarmouth's 462-metre track is famously fair and well-cambered, with barely any edge conferred by trap or running style - this venue produces the fewest all-the-way winners of any UK circuit, just one in five, because the long home straight regularly catches out dogs who lead too soon. Don't get carried away with early pace here; the closers get their say. Fastnet Freeze and Bookseller, drawn adjacent in the two outside boxes and trained from the same yard, look the two with most to offer - Fastnet Freeze because his finishing kick and top speed rating are tailor-made for that long run to the line, Bookseller on the strength of her outstanding course and distance record. Droppys Typical is the wildcard, dropping sharply in class from much stronger grade over a longer trip, with no recent form at today's test to lean on.
In good touch without quite winning lately, finishing third in each of her last two starts against similar company. She carries the fastest speed rating of anyone in this field and crucially she finishes strongly from off the pace - exactly the profile that thrives at Yarmouth, where the long run to the line regularly catches out the leaders. A solid course and distance record too, three wins from nine runs here. Trained from the same yard as Bookseller, the second string on the ratings, which points to genuine confidence in this box. On pure figures the fastest dog with the best-suited running style for this track.
Won readily last time out at the grade below and now steps up to face this stronger company - a natural progression rather than an overreach given how well she travelled. Tops the ratings in this field, and the standout factor is her record at this exact track and trip: five wins from her last ten runs here, a strike rate way above what most dogs in this field can show. Her trainer Morris wins better than one in four in these conditions, and there's a touch of intrigue in that the same yard also saddles Fastnet Freeze from the far trap. Not the quickest on the clock, which is the one knock, but the ratings and the course record make her the most dangerous alternative to the pick.
A significant switch here, dropping down from open-race company over the longer 491 and 500-metre trips into this A3 test at 462 metres - a considerably easier assignment on paper, but with no recent form at today's exact trip to point to. Her early pace figures have been excellent in that stronger company, and she posted a strong first-bend rating in one of her recent runs, so raw ability clearly exists. The concern is she's been fading late in her recent starts and her pace has been inconsistent. If the class drop and the shorter trip suit, she could be dangerous; if not, she may find this a step into the unknown that doesn't pay off. One for the market to guide.
Remarkably consistent lately, placing second in four of her last six starts without quite getting her nose in front, including a second-place effort last time at this exact grade. An excellent course and distance record backs up the eye test - three wins and eight places from ten runs here, one of the strongest in the field. She's not the fastest on the clock and her trainer's win rate is modest, but the sheer weight of placed form makes her hard to leave out entirely. A workmanlike sort who'll be involved without necessarily finding the extra needed to beat the principals.
Won nicely at the grade below two starts back but that was against weaker opposition, and her most recent run at this level was well beaten in fourth. She owns the best average time of anyone in this field, which shows she can go fast consistently even if her best single effort isn't the outright quickest. A fair course and distance record - one win and two places from eight runs here. Balanced in her pace rather than a pure closer or leader, which is a reasonable fit for this fair track, but she has it to do against a field with stronger recent claims.
Key insight: This is the track where the ratings hold up best in the country - trust the top-rated dog more here than almost anywhere else, but combine it with course and distance form for the strongest signal.
Trap 3 best at 25%, trap 6 weakest at 15%, but the spread is modest at this fair, well-cambered track
1,716 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Clononeen Ana | 46 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Droppys Typical | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Bookseller | 50 | 36 | All-Rounder |
5Radical Bear | 50 | 52 | All-Rounder |
6Fastnet Freeze | 47 | 61 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 305m | 462m | 491m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clononeen Ana | 0.605 | — | 0.619 | — | — |
| 3 | Droppys Typical | — | 0.608 | — | 0.609 | 0.615 |
| 4 | Bookseller | — | — | 0.622 | — | — |
| 5 | Radical Bear | — | — | 0.614 | — | — |
| 6 | Fastnet Freeze | — | — | 0.614 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.