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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hes Dynamited 2yREP 6 | M P Brown — 18% R397 W73 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 28 (4) | 31 (3) | 35 (2) | 35 (1) | 29 (2) | 21 (4) | 28 (2) | 26 (3) | 28 (2) | 22 (6) | 34 | 37 | 10 | 34 | 29 | 32 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Browns Swiftiesb 2y 7 | M P Brown — 18% R397 W73 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 32 (4) | 38 (1) | 31 (3) | 27 (5) | 35 (1) | 27 (4) | 25 (6) | 39 (1) | 28 (4) | 34 (1) | 35 | 38 | 25 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Blackrose Blued 2y 35 | M Lewis — 16% R248 W39 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 42 (5) | 53 (3) | 72 (2) | 56 (3) | 75 (1) | 73 (2) | 77 (2) | 78 (3) | 38 (4) | - | 42 | 14 | - | - | 38 | 22 | 6 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Wishful Deckod 3y 16 | M Lewis — 16% R248 W39 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 29 (5) | 33 (2) | 25 (5) | 29 (4) | 29 (5) | 33 (4) | 37 (1) | 34 (2) | 30 (2) | 33 (3) | 42 | 31 | 17 | 26 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Gothic Operad 3y 7 | M P Brown — 18% R397 W73 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 33 (2) | 35 (2) | 29 (4) | 36 (1) | 27 (3) | 30 (2) | 32 (2) | 32 (2) | 31 (3) | 29 (5) | 42 | 36 | 29 | 41 | 32 | 35 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Wee Mac Jimbod 2y 44 | K J Cobbold — 26% R203 W53 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 89 (5) | 57 (1) | 87 (4) | 60 (1) | 83 (4) | 63 (1) | 52 (5) | 85 (5) | 61 (1) | - | 28 | 31 | - | - | 73 | 20 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aayamza Dreamer | No 277m form - all previous runs over 462m or further. Times not comparable. | — | No 277m form | ||||
| 2 | Browns Swifties | 16.68 | 16.89 | 16.91 | 47 | +0.23 | Down from D1 | |
| 3 | Blackrose Blue | No 277m form - all previous runs over 400m or further. Times not comparable. | — | No 277m form | ||||
| 4 | Wishful Decko | 16.50 | 16.78 | 16.87 | 51 | +0.37 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 5 | Gothic Opera | 16.65 | 16.79 | 16.65 | 52 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Wee Mac Jimbo | No 277m form - all previous runs over 462m. Times not comparable. | — | No 277m form | ||||
Yarmouth's minimum-trip sprint doesn't carry a strong published trap bias - all six boxes sit within three points of each other in this grade, from trap six's 18% up to trap five's near-22%, so it's early speed and bend ability rather than the draw that decides this one. Three of the six runners have never raced over this trip before, arriving off nothing but 462-metre or longer form, so their early pace over the minimum distance is a genuine unknown. Gothic Opera, Wishful Decko and Browns Swifties are the three with proper sprint form and clocked times here, and it's between that trio that the finish will most likely be fought out. Gothic Opera has been running the best of them, placed in her last two starts at this exact grade and trip and clocking the fastest recent time of the group.
Placed second in each of her last two starts at this exact grade and trip, and won when dropped a level to D3 a few weeks before that - genuine, honest sprint form at the distance that matters tonight. She's the fastest of the proven sprinters in this field on recent clockings and comes out of the best-performing box at this grade, which has produced getting on for one in four winners. Her trainer's record in these conditions is a fair one too, adding another layer to the case. Everything that can stack behind a pick at this level has stacked behind her - the fastest recent time, the best draw, and form that reads as building rather than fading.
Form has been up and down at this trip - a second-place effort ten days ago sandwiched between three fifth-place finishes - but the clock tells a different story, with the fastest recorded best time of anyone in this field. Trap four hasn't been a standout box at this grade but it's serviceable, and his trainer's record here edges out the selection's slightly. If Gothic Opera doesn't have the run of things, this is the one with the raw speed to capitalise. The most dangerous runner in the race on the numbers, even if the finishing positions haven't matched the times recently.
Drops right down from 462 metres in A3 company to the minimum trip tonight - a completely different test with no recorded form or clocked time at this distance to judge her by. The suitability figures back that up, showing no track or distance form logged at 277 metres. She does carry recent form in much stronger company, including a second-place finish at A3 level, so there's clearly ability there if the sprint trip suits. This is one for the market to sort out - either the speed translates and she surprises this field, or the step down is too big an ask tactically at the sharper trip.
Won at this same grade three weeks ago and again at D3 level in June, so there's a winning habit at the trip even though he steps back down after finishing fourth in the stronger D1 grade last time out. The slowest recorded time of the three proven sprinters in this field is a knock against him, and trap two hasn't been among the better boxes at this grade. His trainer's record in these conditions is respectable and the recent class drop should help. A each-way type rather than the one to beat.
All recent form has come at 462 metres and further, including a run at Doncaster over 661 metres, so tonight's minimum trip is new territory entirely. The suitability figures show nothing logged at this track and distance, and her running style has been that of a confirmed closer who needs time to get competitive - the sort of profile that doesn't naturally translate to a sharp sprint. Recent form in the longer races has been modest rather than eye-catching too. Hard to have any confidence in this drop in trip.
Racing exclusively at 462 metres in A1 to A3 company throughout his career to date, this is a first look at the minimum trip and there's no time or form at this distance to lean on. He has been a fair performer at the longer trip, with wins at A1 and A2 level earlier in the year, so there's real quality in there if it transfers. His running style has been balanced rather than out-and-out pace, which is a slight concern for a sharp sprint from the widest box. Interesting on class but a big unknown tactically.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins nearly 28% of races in this grade, a solid signal, while the trap draw makes little difference here - all boxes cluster between 18% and 22%.
T1 18.63% T2 18.52% T3 20.48% T4 19.51% T5 21.88% T6 18.33%
472 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 300m | 330m | 400m | 462m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hes Dynamite | 0.608 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Browns Swifties | 0.610 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Blackrose Blue | — | 0.554 | 0.565 | 0.611 | 0.622 | 0.553 |
| 4 | Wishful Decko | 0.606 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Gothic Opera | 0.606 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Wee Mac Jimbo | — | — | — | — | 0.615 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.